|Bid||22.07 x 3200|
|Ask||22.46 x 800|
|Day's Range||22.45 - 23.09|
|52 Week Range||17.00 - 29.88|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||0.78|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||15.28|
|Earnings Date||May 29, 2019 - Jun 3, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||0.55 (2.48%)|
|1y Target Est||24.86|
American Eagle Outfitters Inc NYSE:AEOView full report here! Summary * ETFs holding this stock are seeing positive inflows * Bearish sentiment is low and declining * Economic output in this company's sector is expanding Bearish sentimentShort interest | PositiveShort interest is low for AEO with fewer than 5% of shares on loan. Additionally, this was an improvement in sentiment as investors who seek to profit from falling equity prices reduced their short positions on April 3. Money flowETF/Index ownership | PositiveETF activity is positive. Over the last month, ETFs holding AEO are favorable with net inflows of $72.56 billion. This was the highest net inflow seen over the last one-year.Error parsing the SmartText Economic sentimentPMI by IHS Markit | PositiveAccording to the latest IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, output in the Consumer Services sector is rising. The rate of growth is strong relative to the trend shown over the past year, and is accelerating. Credit worthinessCredit default swapCDS data is not available for this security.Please send all inquiries related to the report to email@example.com.Charts and report PDFs will only be available for 30 days after publishing.This document has been produced for information purposes only and is not to be relied upon or as construed as investment advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IHS Markit disclaims any responsibility or liability, whether in contract, tort (including, without limitation, negligence), equity or otherwise, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on or the use of this material in any way. Please view the full legal disclaimer and methodology information on pages 2-3 of the full report.
Piper Jaffray defined these teens as members of Generation Z, with the average age at 16 years old. Over 8,000 teens were surveyed for this report across 47 states.
You might not know Duluth Holdings (NASDAQ:DLTH) by name. However, you almost certainly know their distinctive marketing campaign. Indeed, their commercials feature the right mix between broad appeal and humor, lifting the bull case for DLTH stock. * 7 High-Risk Stocks With Big Potential Rewards The structure is so simple yet so brilliant. Source: Bill McChesney via Flickr (modified) A cartoon character, typically a plump, middle-aged man, encounters a common problem with his attire. DLTH comes to the rescue with their unique brand of clothing. Our protagonist is happy, and the viewing audience is left in stitches. It's a shtick, but it's an effective one. Back in 2015, total revenue dollars didn't even crack a quarter-of-a-billion. Now, sales are well above half-a-billion. And while Duluth Holdings stock has had a wild ride since its initial public offering more than three years ago, the company has demonstrated potential.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsIf investments were graded only on narratives, DLTH stock would absolutely soar. Unfortunately, the markets also want to see results. That's where the apparel-maker with its lovable characters fell well short.As our own Karl Utermohlen reported, Duluth generated income of $20.8 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. This number translates to approximately 64 cents per share, which was a significant improvement over the year-ago-quarter's results. Back then, the company produced earnings of 55 cents per share.However, this quarter, analysts were looking for earnings per share of 75 cents. In another blemish for DLTH stock, management rang up sales of $250.5 million. Again, this tally fell short of analysts' consensus expectations for $257.5 million.Adding to concerns, the apparel industry is extremely competitive. Fashion trends are unpredictable, especially among millennials. Therefore, I'm not surprised that Duluth Holdings stock dropped nearly 19% in after-hours trading. There's a Reason Why DLTH Stock TankedGiven the ugliness that has already happened and is sure to follow, your best bet is to steer clear. Duluth Holdings stock has turned into a falling knife, with a high probability of a stabbing.I say this because shares fell for a reason. Due to the law of small numbers, an up-and-coming organization can't afford to miss revenue expectations. Moreover, you don't want to miss sales and earnings targets.But if you dig a little deeper, you'll find that the revenue miss also has its own, nuanced explanation. According to Duluth CEO Stephanie Pugliese, the company overall enjoyed many successes in 2018, including rising sales in Q4.So, what happened? On the Q4 conference call, Pugliese disclosed that sales momentum remained strong through the first week of December. However, a broader consumer slowdown pressured the retail sector, eventually dooming DLTH stock.I'm assuming she's talking about the government shutdown, which likely had a disproportionate impact on Duluth Holdings stock. If you browse their website, Duluth apparel caters heavily towards the blue collar, outdoorsy type.When the government temporarily closed its doors, it didn't just negatively affect federal employees. It also affected business contracts and rural communities, which surround many impacted federal institutions. Under normal circumstances, rural life is tough. But when you have a government shutdown on top of it, it takes the wind out of you.Therefore, a substantial amount of Duluth's core customers had to dial back their spending. Certainly, the timing of the company's revenue dearth matches that of the shutdown.That doesn't mean I'm necessarily gung-ho on DLTH stock. However, I think the markets are making a mistake in not really listening to Pugliese's reasonable and logical explanation. Tailwinds for Duluth Holdings StockI really can't tell you how the markets will react to DLTH stock over the next few days. By the numbers, the Q4 earning report genuinely stunk up the room.But again, if you're risk-tolerant, look deeper. Inside, you'll find compelling tailwinds that distinguish DLTH from other apparel-makers like Gap (NYSE:GPS), American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO), and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF).First, Duluth products emphasize function over form. For most of the field, it's the other way around. This helps DLTH stock in the long run, because the company isn't as levered to fashion whims as its rivals. As long as management produces practical, utilitarian clothes, they're pretty much golden.Second, Duluth customers love the company. Pugliese noted double-digit growth in the company's active user base. While a small detail, you shouldn't ignore it. This brand loyalty could one day lift DLTH stock from its current doldrums.Finally, that marketing gem of theirs will keep the Duluth name in the limelight for years to come. I don't have any brand association with the three companies I mentioned above, even though I've bought their products. * 10 Dangerous Dividend Stocks to Avoid I've never purchased Duluth clothing, but I remember several of their commercials. That's off-the-charts marketing, and at some point, it may translate to a higher share price.As of this writing, Josh Enomoto did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 5 Data Center Buys That Deliver Sizable Income * 7 High-Risk Stocks With Big Potential Rewards * 3 Marijuana Stocks to Watch as New York, New Jersey Delay Legalization Compare Brokers The post Earnings Disappointment for DLTH Stock Has a Silver Lining appeared first on InvestorPlace.
American Eagle (AEO) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.
Want to participate in a research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and earn a $60 gift card! Today we'll evaluate American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (NYSE:AEO) to determine whether it could have potential as an investment i...
L Brands (LB) is struggling to reset the dwindling Victoria's Secret brand. Also, sluggishness in PINK brand, dismal margin and a high debt level add to the company's woes.
American Eagle (AEO) gains from its strategic initiatives including omni-channel efforts and brand strength. Also, the company marks 16th straight quarter of positive comps.
U.S. equities are rallying higher on Monday thanks to strong economic data out of China, raising hopes that the drag from the U.S.-China trade standoff is abating. Both the official and the Caixin manufacturing PMI moved back into expansion territory for March. This overshadowed some disappointment in the latest U.S. retail sales numbers.The primary motivating factor for the stock market remains a fear of missing out, or FOMO, as the Federal Reserve's dovish turn in January continues to underpin equity prices. Also helping is the conclusion of the Trump-Russia Special Council investigation, raising the specter of new spending on infrastructure -- something President Trump is already discussing.As a result, the major averages are bouncing nicely off of critical support levels and threatening to break up and out of their post-October trading ranges. While extended large-cap issues like Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) get all the attention, a number of cheap small-cap stocks are showing signs of life.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 10 Tech Stocks That Transformed Their Business Here are five small-cap stocks to buy: Caesars Entertainment (CZR) Click to EnlargeShares of casino and resort operator Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ:CZR) are once again making a run at its 200-day moving average, a level that has constrained the stock since last summer. Management has been battling with activist investor Carl Icahn, but have recently come to an agreement on director appointments and nominations in exchange for limiting his position to 28% of the float. Coverage was recently resumed with an Outperform rating at Credit Suisse.The company will next report results on May 23. Analysts are looking for a loss of 16 cents per share on revenues of $2.1 billion. When the company last reported on Feb. 21, earnings of 25 cents per share beat estimates by 36 cents on an 11.3% rise in revenues. Redfin (RDFN) Click to EnlargeShares of home selling and listing service Redfin (NASDAQ:RDFN), which aims to put downward pressure on real estate brokerage fees (the subject of a possible class action lawsuit, it should be noted), are perking up lately. As we head into the peak summer buying season, and with long-term interest rates moving lower, there's hope that the housing market can catch another leg higher despite affordability issues. * 7 Emerging Market Stocks to Buy as Certainty Around U.S. Stocks Dwindles The company will next report results on May 9 after the close. Analysts are looking for a loss of 75 cents per share on revenues of nearly $104 million. When the company last reported on Feb. 14, a loss of 14 cents per share missed estimates by 19 cents on a 29.5% rise in revenues. American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Click to EnlargeShares of American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) are peaking their head above its 200-day moving average for the first time since early November, further retracing a near 50% decline from the highs set last summer. Investors are excited about a plan to expand into Europe, with the first stores expected to open in Ireland this summer.The company will next report results on June 5 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of 21 cents per share on revenues of $869.8 million. When the company last reported on March 6, earnings of 43 cents per share beat estimates by a penny on a 1.2% rise in revenues. KB Home (KBH) Click to EnlargeShares of KB Home (NYSE:KBH) are pushing up and away from their 200-day moving average, fully reversing the decline from the late September highs and setting the stage for a push back toward levels seen in early 2018 near the $40-a-share threshold. Management recently noted that order declines are slowing, suggesting that the housing market -- despite affordability headwinds -- is beginning to firm up. * 10 F-Rated Stocks to Sell in This Narrow Market The company will next report results on June 25 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of 40 cents per share on revenues of $997 million. When the company last reported on March 26, earnings of 31 cents per share beat estimates by 6 cents on a 6.9% drop in revenues. Century Aluminum (CENX) Click to EnlargeShares of Century Aluminum (NASDAQ:CENX) are looking ready to exit a seven-month consolidation range with a push back above its 50-day moving average -- potentially ending a long selloff that started over a year ago. With China's manufacturing activity perking up again, investors are looking for the demand for raw materials like industrial metals to perk up. Shares were recently upgraded to hold by analysts at Berenberg.The company will next report results on May 23 after the close. Analysts are looking for a loss of 78 cents per share on revenues of $508.65 million. When the company last reported on Feb. 21, a loss of 43 cents per share beat estimates by 10 cents on a 1% decline in revenue.As of this writing, William Roth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Tech Stocks That Transformed Their Business * 8 Genomic Testing Stocks That Can Ease the Sting of Theranos * 7 Weak Blue-Chip Stocks to Trim Immediately Compare Brokers The post 5 Cheap Small-Cap Stocks to Buy appeared first on InvestorPlace.
The ratings on the P&I classes were affirmed because the transaction's key metrics, including Moody's loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, Moody's stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and the transaction's Herfindahl Index (Herf), are within acceptable ranges. Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 1.9% of the current pooled balance, compared to 3.2% at Moody's last review. Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 2.0% of the original pooled balance, compared to 2.5% at the last review.
U.S. equities are pushing higher on Thursday, keeping the S&P 500 over critical support near the 2,800 level. While interest rates remain in focus, with weakness on the long end of the Treasury yield curve, stocks seem to be strengthening on President Donald Trump's tailwinds this week (Russia probe wrapping up, pressure on OPEC to lower oil prices) as well as ongoing dovishness from the major central banks.Some strength in the U.S. dollar is helping U.S. equities as well, attracting foreign inflows chasing currency carry trades.As a result, a number of stocks in the consumer sector are perking up. While the economic data has been soft lately, the job market remains red hot. And that is driving expectations of an ongoing surge in retail spending.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 8 Genomic Testing Stocks That Can Ease the Sting of Theranos Here are four stocks in the area worth a look: Retail Stocks to Watch: Lululemon (LULU)Shares of Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) are surging higher -- up more than 15% as I write this -- thanks to the reporting of better-than-expected results after the close on Wednesday. Earnings of $1.85 beat estimates by 10 cents on $1.2 billion in revenue. Forward guidance was strong as well on confidence in its online business.The company will next report results on June 26 after the close. Analysts at Canaccord raised their price target on a belief that positive catalysts, including product mix and consumer engagement, will continue. Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY)Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ:BBBY) stock is rising up and over its late February highs, definitively moving away from its 200-day moving average to return to levels not seen since September. The move could well mark the end of a downtrend going all the way back to early 2015 that saw shares fall from a high near $74 to a low of around $10.35 late last year -- a loss of nearly 90%. * 7 Reasons to Buy Housing Stocks in 2019 The company will next report results on April 10 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of $1.10 per share on revenues of $3.3 billion. When the company last reported on Jan. 9, earnings of 18 cents per share beat estimates by a penny on a 2.6% rise in revenues. Analysts at Telsey Advisory Group recently raised their price target on expectations of management changes. American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)Shares of American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) are challenging their 200-day moving average, setting up a breakout from its post-November consolidation range. The company has enjoyed steady success in the notoriously finicky teen retail segment, posting 16 consecutive quarters of positive comp-store sales growth.The company will next report results on May 30 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of 21 cents per share on revenues of $855 million. When the company last reported on March 6, earnings of 43 cents per share beat estimates by a penny on a 1.2% rise in revenues. Kohl's (KSS)Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) shares are attempting another breakout above their 200-day moving average, challenging resistance from a five-month consolidation range and setting up a run at the high set in November. The stock was recently upgraded by analysts at Atlantic Equities thanks to new initiatives like a partnership with Planet Fitness (NYSE:PLNT). * 7 Beaten-Up Stocks to Buy as They Reverse Course The company will next report results on May 21 before the bell. Analysts are looking for earnings of 70 cents per share on revenues of nearly $4 billion. When the company last reported on March 5, earnings of $2.24 beat estimates by six cents on a 3.4% drop in revenues.As of this writing, William Roth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * The 7 Best Bond Funds to Buy for a Shift in Interest Rates * 10 Tech Stocks With Key Products That Face an Uncertain Future * 7 SaaS Stocks to Buy for Long-Term Gains Compare Brokers The post 4 Retail Stocks on the Move appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Iconic denim brand Levi Strauss & Co. (NYSE:LEVI) has returned to the New York Stock Exchange and demand for Levi's initial public offering (IPO) is off the charts. After all, it's not often you get to buy into a 166-year-old company. Started by Levi Strauss and his customer Jacob Davis in 1873, the denim maker is taking a second crack at being a public company. The first time was in 1971. It lasted 14 years before descendants of the founder took the company private for $1.6 billion in 1985, at the time, the largest buyout of a publicly held U.S. firm. Flash forward to 2019, and it's ready for a second kick at the cat. InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsI hadn't thought about writing about Levi's IPO, but then I got an email from Motif Investing offering IPO shares, and I just had to take a look at its prospectus. While I have total respect for the job CEO Chip Bergh has done turning the denim brand around, I've got my doubts about buying LEVI stock, which is bound to be popular. * 7 Beaten-Up Stocks to Buy as They Reverse Course Here's why: 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO: It's Too PriceyAfter looking at Levi's prospectus, I concluded that its IPO is pricey from a valuation perspective. However, when I saw a MarketWatch article suggesting its stock is undervalued, I just had to understand the authors' rationale.Fundamentally, the authors believe that Levi's enterprise value as a multiple of invested capital at 2.7 times is low given its return on that invested capital over the past five years has never dropped below 14%.Furthermore, the authors conclude that Levi's fair value based on its discounted future cash flow is worth $19 a share or a market cap of $7.3 billion [based on 385.5 million shares outstanding after the IPO].I don't see things nearly as rosy. While you might think it makes sense to compare Levi's to other jean manufacturers and retailers, I'm going to compare it to Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU), a brand that's still very much in growth mode, and an alternative you ought to consider before pulling the trigger on LEVI stock. In fiscal 2018, Levi's had adjusted EBITDA of $706.6 million. At the midpoint of its $14-$16 price range, Levi's is valued at 8.2 times its adjusted EBITDA [$5.78B divided by $706.6M]. In fiscal 2018, Lululemon's EBITDA was $564.2 million, which means its market cap of $19.3 billion is 34 times EBITDA. On the surface, it seems like a no-brainer in Levi's favor. However, you have to remember that LULU has grown revenues by 66% over the past four years compared to 17% for Levi's. Also, LULU's operating margin is 17%, 740 basis points higher than Levi's. As long as Lululemon continues to grow its men's, Asian and online businesses, it will continue to outperform Levi's.Do yourself a favor and compare Levi's to companies like VF (NYSE:VFC) and American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) and you'll see that a valuation of $5.78 billion or more is quite high on a comparative basis. 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO: Dual-Class Share StructureIf you want to own shares of Levi's be prepared for the Haas family to run the show because they control Levi's through the Class B shares. I'm of two minds when it comes to dual-class share structures. On the one hand, having a majority of the votes in the hands of long-term investors is a good thing. However, on the downside, is the fact that many of the large institutions that will be buying Levi's shares will have almost zero say in how the company is run. Oh, sure, in good times, who cares about corporate governance, but when Levi's falters, and it will because all companies go through difficult times, CEO Charles Bergh will have to convince not only the board but the entire Haas family of his plan to right the ship. * 7 Beaten-Up Stocks to Buy as They Reverse Course That's never an easy task. 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO: Nothing But JeansWell, that's not entirely true. In recent years, Levi's has done an excellent job reducing its dependence on bottoms. In 2018, 74% of its revenue (both men and women) were from bottoms, 20% from tops, and 6% from footwear and accessories. Three years earlier, bottoms were 83% of its business, tops accounted for 11% of revenue and footwear and accessories the remaining 6%. However, its Levi's brand continues to be the dominant player, accounting for 86% of its overall figure, a number that's barely budged over the past four years. What's confusing about the prospectus is its interchangeable use of the words bottoms and pants. If I'm reading it correctly, pants, which accounted for 68% of overall revenue in 2018, are jeans and khakis, while the figure for bottoms includes pants as wells as skirts and shorts, which accounted for 6% of its overall revenue, flat to 2016.Also, its Dockers brand has slipped in importance, accounting for 7% of overall revenue in 2018, down from 10% in 2015. As denim goes, so goes Levi's. It wasn't too long ago that experts were calling for the demise of the blue jean. While I doubt that's ever going to come to pass, you never know if a new trend will arrive to supplant both denim and athleisure wear in the future. 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO: Debt on Top of DebtAssuming Levi's goes out at a valuation of $5.78 billion, the company's long-term debt of $1.1 billion will be 19% of its market cap. That's not a massive amount by any means considering it's got more than $700 million on its balance sheet, but I can't help wonder why it hasn't paid down its debt over the past four years.Since fiscal 2014, Levi's paid off just $158 million of its long-term debt, which consists of $486 million in 5% senior notes due in May 2025 and $535 million of 3.375% senior notes due in March 2027. In addition, Levi's has paid out $300 million in dividends to shareholders (primarily the Haas family) over the past five years, not including the $110 million it will pay out in fiscal 2019The company expects to generate as much as $184 million in net proceeds from the sale of Class A shares other than those of the selling shareholders. None of which is earmarked for debt repayment. * 5 Stocks To Buy for the Happiest Employees That seems odd considering the high level of debt and cash. 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO: Finding the Right BalanceIn the InvestorPlace stock-picking contest for 2019, I picked Canada Goose (NYSE:GOOS) because I believe it's developing a trifecta of growth -- wholesale, direct-to-consumer and online -- that will allow it to grow the top line by double-digits for the next few years without spending too much money on expensive store openings. By limiting the number of retail locations to 20-30 in some of the world's best cities, it provides the brand with a good advertising vehicle, while keeping the costs down. Levi's opened 74 stores in fiscal 2018 alone, including a 17,000 square-foot location in New York City's Times Square. That brings the company's retail footprint to 831 stores with another 500 shop-in-shops. When you consider that those retail stores along with its e-commerce sites accounted for just 35% its overall revenue in fiscal 2018 -- with an embarrassingly low 4% from e-commerce -- I have to wonder if it will ever find the right balance between the three revenue streams. In the last three years, Levi's capital expenditures have increased by 55% from $103 million in 2016 to $159 million in 2018. If it keeps opening 17,000 square-foot flagships, it's going to need a lot more than $159 million to get the job done. I'd watch spending if you do buy shares in the company. 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO: Bergh's CompensationThere's no question that CEO Charles Bergh has done a good job turning around the brand. Last July, the Harvard Business Review published a good article about Bergh's transformation. If you're planning to invest, I recommend you read it. Of the four part's of Bergh's strategy, all of them are very much a work in progress. The one needing the most work is its goal to become a leading omnichannel retailer. In my books, you're not a successful omnichannel retailer unless you're generating at least 20% of your revenue online. In 2018 and 2017, Levi's e-commerce revenue accounted for just 4% of its overall revenue, well short of what's required for omnichannel excellence. For all Bergh's accomplished, he's still got a lot to prove in my opinion. Ultimately, has he done enough to justify three-year total compensation of $34.3 million, which doesn't include the $138 million worth of stock he'll own or have the right to acquire after Levi's IPO? * 5 of the Best Dow Jones Stocks to Buy for Solid Dividends If you buy Levi's shares, I guess you're going to find out. 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO: Weak Asian BusinessOf all the negatives I've found about Levi's, the lack of success in Asia is the biggest surprise.In fiscal 2018, its Asian business contributed just 16% of Levi's overall revenue compared to 29% for Europe and 55% for the Americas. On a constant currency basis, its Asian business grew revenues by 8.2% in 2018, 180 basis points less than its growth in the Americas and less than half that of Europe. To catch up to Europe's overall revenue of $1.6 billion, Asia's got to double its sales to do so. True, you can look at it from the perspective that the best is yet to come, but given how competitive the Asian market is, I doubt that's going to happen anytime soon.Worse still, Asia's operating margin in 2018 was 9.8%, 830 and 800 basis points less than Europe and the Americas, respectively. Asia's got to hustle if Levi's hopes to get to $10 billion in sales by 2023. At the time of this writing, Will Ashworth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Specialty Retail ETFs to Buy the Industry's Disruption * 5 Stocks To Buy for the Happiest Employees * 3 Out-of-Favor Consumer Stocks to Buy Compare Brokers The post 7 Reasons to Steer Clear of the Levi IPO appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Shares in Levi Strauss & Co surged 31 percent in their debut on Thursday, giving the jeans maker a market value of $8.7 billion and suggesting strong investor appetite before much-awaited listings from Lyft and Uber. The self-proclaimed inventor of the blue jeans, which has grown to become one of the world's most recognized denim brands, Levi Strauss hopes to use a part of the proceeds from the IPO to expand in emerging markets such as Brazil, China and India. Levi accounted for 5 percent of the global jeans market in 2018, according to market research firm Euromonitor.
Guess Inc. says denim, an area where it was once a dominant force, will be a focus going forward. "Today, our denim penetration is much lower than our historic levels and I believe we can grow it back with a great product assortment, strong store presentation, and effective marketing," said Carlos Alberini, chief executive of the fashion brand, according to a FactSet transcript. Guess shares have plummeted 14% in Thursday trading after the company reported a fourth-quarter earnings miss. The denim category is filled with tough competition, including American Eagle Outfitters Inc. and Levi Strauss & Co. , which went public on Thursday. Guess shares have tumbled nearly 9% in 2019 while the S&P 500 index has rallied 13.4% for the period.
Levi Strauss & Co fetched a higher price than expected in its initial public offering (IPO) on Wednesday, selling $623.3 million in shares as the U.S. jeans maker looks to return to the stock market after 34 years as a family-owned company. The success of the IPO underscores the diverging fortunes of retail companies over the last few years. With the stock market hovering near all-time highs, Levi said it priced its IPO at $17 share, just above its target range of $14 to $16, valuing the company at about $6.6 billion.
Shares of Express (NYSE:EXPR) dropped on Wednesday, March13, after the mall apparel retailer reported fourth quarter numbers which largely missed estimates, while delivering a first quarter guide which widely missed estimates. Broadly speaking, there wasn't much good in the fourth quarter earnings report. Investors immediately recognized that. Express stock dropped more than 15% in early Wednesday morning trade.Source: Mike Mozart via FlickrBut, Express stock has since rebounded. As of this writing, EXPR is down just 6% in Wednesday afternoon trade, and has rallied 10% since the open.The ostensible implication is that the post-earnings sell-off in Express was overdone. The stock got way too cheap for its own good, and quickly rebounded. But, will this rebound continue?InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsI'm not convinced. I love to buy the dips in fundamentally undervalued and technically oversold stocks. But, there is a significant and increasing lack of clarity when it comes to the long term Express growth narrative, and that lack of clarity is coupling with continued weak numbers to erode the long term bull thesis on Express stock.As such, it's tough to say with any certainty that Express stock is fundamentally undervalued here. * 7 Small-Cap Stocks That Make the Grade So long as that remains true, Express stock will have a tough time rebounding. That's not to say it won't rebound. It might. All you need is one good quarter to light a fire under this stock. But, waiting for that one good quarter is a big risk, and as a risk-adverse investor, I'm more comfortable sitting on the sidelines with this name. The Numbers Aren't GoodBroadly speaking, the numbers at Express just aren't good.Comparable sales growth is negative. Comps came in at down 6% in the quarter, versus the consensus estimate for a 3.3% drop. Worse yet, it's not like this negative comp is the result of a bad retail environment.Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) reported a 3% comp in the overlapping period. American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) recorded a 6% comp. Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) had a 3% comp quarter, while Tilly's (NYSE:TLYS) said holiday comps rose nearly 6%.In other words, negative comps at Express is an Express-specific problem. That's not good. It gives credence to the theory that, as the traditional retail world is shrinking and giving way to the ecommerce world, consumers are increasingly passing up on shopping at Express. Long term, if this continues, that creates a pathway for Express to the retail graveyard.In other bad news, ecommerce sales growth slowed sharply to 5% in the fourth quarter, down from what was a streak for 20%-plus and 30%-plus digital sales growth quarters. Merchandise margins fell back 150 basis points due to promotional activity. The SG&A rate keeps going up against falling sales.Occupancy costs are rising, too. Cash on the balance sheet in falling. Meanwhile, the first quarter guide calls for a 10% drop in comparable sales and for profits to swing from a narrow gain in the year ago quarter, to a wide loss this quarter.Overall, there wasn't much, if any, good in the Q4 earnings report. That's not to say that a turnaround isn't in the cards. But, it is to say that a turnaround looks increasingly unlikely, especially considering most other mall retailers are bouncing back, and Express is not. Long Term Value Is ElusiveBecause the numbers have been bad for so long and continue to be bad in an environment that is largely favorable for retailers (healthy economy, healthy consumer confidence, low unemployment, big wage gains, so on and so forth), the long term value behind EXPR stock is elusive.On one hand, this is a company which could miraculously leverage celebrity endorsements, real estate optimization, and reinvigorated ecommerce growth to drive a big turnaround in sales and margins. In that scenario, Express could realistically net $0.50 in EPS within the next several years, making today's $5 price tag seem rather anemic, especially considering about half the current market cap is covered by cash on the balance sheet.On the other hand, sales may not turnaround anytime soon. Margins may keep falling, and expense rates may keep rising. If so, EPS will likely be stuck in the $0.25 range for the foreseeable future, making today's $5 price tag actually seem steep, especially considering that the big cash balance is only going down (cash and equivalents have been chopped in half over the past several years).At this point in time, it's unclear which one of those scenarios will come true. If anything, the bear thesis has more merit than the bull thesis given the Q4 numbers. As such, Express stock isn't worth the risk here. Bottom Line on Express StockWith really beaten up retail stocks like Express, all you need is one good quarter to light a fire under the stock and spark a huge rally. But, investors have been waiting for that quarter from Express for a long time. Most signs indicate this wait won't be over anytime soon. That's why I'm more comfortable on the sidelines when it comes to EXPR.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long URBN and TLYS. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 5 of the Best Stocks to Buy Under $10 * 7 Single-Digit P/E Stocks With Massive Upside * 7 Best Quantum Computing Stocks Trading Today Compare Brokers The post Express Stock Could Have a Lot Further to Fall, so Don't Buy the Dip appeared first on InvestorPlace.
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. has launched a pop-up shop in New York City's Soho neighborhood in partnership with sneaker reseller Urban Necessities. The pop-up has special-edition sneakers, high-end merchandise and hard-to-find styles from brands like Supreme, Anti Social Social Club, and Nike Inc.'s Jordan brand priced from $150 to $50,000. Urban Necessities, which has a store on the Las Vegas Strip, specializes in styles for the enthusiast, or "sneakerheads." Some enthusiasts and others have taken to Twitter to scoff at the idea of American Eagle, known for jeans and other gear aimed at teens, getting into the sneaker game. MarketWatch reached out to American Eagle for further comment about the pop-up, and will update with any response. American Eagle shares have gained 7.2% in 2019 while the S&P 500 index is up 13% for the period.
Diving into the world of tech - a Gen Z startup company named Dote is announcing a new live video group shopping feature called 'Shopping Party' allowing social media influencers to shop and engage with the company's e-commerce catalog and their followers. Yahoo Finance's J.P. Mangalindan interviews Dote's CEO about their new venture.