|Bid||0.00 x 800|
|Ask||0.00 x 1000|
|Day's Range||78.89 - 79.02|
|52 Week Range||78.30 - 82.71|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.05%|
In its meeting, the FOMC indicated that US financial market volatility had increased since its last meeting in March. Members felt that low-volatility (VXX) strategies had been less prevalent in February, leading to market turmoil. The May meeting minutes indicated that members felt that US financial conditions had somewhat tightened in the inter-meeting period but that they remained accommodative—a signal that members were comfortable with the further tightening of financial conditions.
China invests the trade surplus it has with its trading partners in US government securities (GOVT). According to the data available from the US Treasury, China owns close to 20% of total outstanding US debt, and the total value of these securities is close to $1.2 trillion.
This came as a surprise to the markets, as the president’s comments stood in stark contrast to those made by the US Treasury secretary, Steve Mnuchin, who is heading the negotiations from the US side. Mnuchin said that the United States and China (MCHI) were close to a deal after a joint statement from both the sides was released on May 19, and the stock markets (VOO) rallied at the beginning of this week as US-China trade tensions seemed to be cooling off. Why was Trump unhappy?
Vanguard, the second-largest U.S. issuer of exchange traded funds, said it has filed plans with the Securities and Exchange Commission to introduce the Vanguard Total World Bond ETF. Vanguard previously used the ETF of ETFs on one of its other bond ETFs. The Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF (VTC) debuted last year and holds the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCSH) , Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) and Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCLT) .
Vanguard is gearing up to launch a new exchange-traded fund, announcing that it filed a preliminary registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission for the Vanguard Total World Bond ETF. "With the Total World Bond ETF, Vanguard will be the first firm to offer U.S. investors a single index product with exposure to the entire global investment-grade bond universe," said Vanguard Chief Investment Officer Greg Davis in the press release.
Index fund and exchange-traded fund (ETF) giant Vanguard said that it is planning to introduce the Vanguard Total World Bond ETF. The Vanguard Total World Bond ETF is expected to debut in the third quarter and will use an ETF of ETFs structure, an approach Vanguard previously applied with the Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF ( VTC). VTC, which debuted in November, holds Vanguard's other three corporate bond ETFs – the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF ( VCSH), Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF ( VCIT) and Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF ( VCLT).
The US Federal Reserve considers the state of the employment market and the level of inflation (TIP) when making monetary policy decisions. Unemployment in the US is at a multi-decade low, leading to a shortage of skilled labor and forcing employers to increase wages to attract employees. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (or LEI) uses average weekly initial claims as a constituent in its economic model rather than the popular non-farm payrolls because weekly claims, when adjusted for seasonality, provide a more accurate account of underlying economic conditions.
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (or LEI) is a monthly economic data release that helps investors track changes to the US business cycle. This index was constructed using an economic model that incorporates changes to ten forward-looking economic indicators. The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research institute that prepares reports for different economies.
VALLEY FORGE, Pa., May 21, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Vanguard today filed a preliminary registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission for Vanguard Total World Bond ETF. The fund will be structured as an ETF of ETFs, investing directly in two existing low-cost ETFs: Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) and Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (BNDX). This structure enables the Vanguard Total World Bond ETF to achieve immediate scale by using existing exposure from the underlying ETFs and is expected to result in tighter bid/ask spreads and lower operating expenses than investing directly in the benchmark's constituents.
US ten-year bond market yields have scaled a new seven-year peak at 3.07, their highest level since July 2011. This 100-basis-point move, which happened over the span of a little over eight months, has taken its toll on bond prices. Thanks to rising crude prices, increased chances of higher inflation have been fueling the recent rally in rates.
As per the latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch (or BofAML) Global Fund Manager survey released on May 15, growth expectations have slipped to the lowest level in the last two years. The report indicated that global fund managers expect a slowdown in global growth with only 1% of the respondents thinking that the global economy would strengthen in the next 12 months. Only 2% of respondents were expecting a recession in 2018, while most of the respondents expect the next recession by the first quarter of 2020.
Recently, Goldman Sachs (GS) said that falling unemployment and the rising budget deficit could drive the Fed’s faster interest rate hike process. When there are more bonds and fewer buyers in the economy, the government will try to pay investors higher in the form of yields to buy US bonds (BND), which will ultimately increase the interest rates in the economy (SPY) (QQQ). The Fed hiked the interest rate for the sixth time since December 2015.
The April retail sales report was released on May 15, and the surprise reaction to this report was an increase in bond (BND) yields across the board. There are numerous ways to explain the spike in yields, and the retail (XRT) sales data only acted as a catalyst to the Treasury (GOVT) sell-off, which began a few hours before the retail sales data was released. With the US economy showing signs of continued improvements and other developed economies slowing down, chances are that the US could lead the tightening cycle, which could have led to an increase in bond yields on Tuesday.
The US Census Bureau releases a monthly report on retail sales in the United States. As per its website, the Census Bureau conducts an advance monthly survey of retail trade and food services companies. The April retail sales report indicated that the gains were broad-based with nine of the 13 major categories moving higher during the month.
US bond market investors were relieved after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics’ April report, published May 10, indicated a lower-than-expected inflation growth rate. The latest inflation (VTIP) report indicated that core inflation increased at a slower pace of 0.1% in April, boosting hopes for a slower pace of rate hikes from the Fed. At its May meeting, the Fed stated that it would continue tightening and inflation (TDTT) would reach 2% in future months. The decline in bond yields after the disappointing jobs and inflation reports could be temporary, as inflation expectations may be fueled by higher crude prices.
US indexes (SPY) are reaching highs as investors ignore possible threats of the US pull-out from the Iran nuclear deal and focus on increasing crude prices. Markets have been driven higher by surging energy company stocks (XLE), which are expected to reap the benefits of higher crude oil prices. On May 10, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ inflation (TIP) report gave investors another reason to pile on risk, with April inflation growth coming in below expectations, at 0.1%.
US bond market yields continue to trend higher, but their overall movement last week was limited. Despite this limited movement, a few takeaways from the week hint at how interesting the bond markets could get in the future. The market’s reaction can be interpreted as investors seeing that the Federal Reserve will stick to its tightening stance in the future and that a change in inflation expectations will drive bond yields.
The initial reaction of the bond (BND) market to President Trump’s decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal was a decline in bond yields across the board. The yields, however, failed to stay at these lower levels and quickly bounced back after President Trump’s speech.
As exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have grown more popular among investors of all types, they have also become increasingly confusing and complicated. Particularly for those investors looking to invest in ETFs for the first time, it can be difficult to determine the best way to do so. Currently, there are close to 2,000 ETFs available to investors, covering a total of roughly $3 trillion in assets.
Most investors and financial advisors would argue for some degree of diversification, otherwise known as spreading your bets, to help manage risk, as the great investor, Sir John Templeton stated, if you own a number of different investments, then even if one did very badly, such as owning a stock that went bankrupt, you'd live to fight another day. On the other hand, Warren Buffett takes the opposite view, as a skilled investor he prefers to own only the handful of companies that he has strong conviction that will rise in value. Interestingly, Buffett himself recommends that savers who aren't expert in investing, such as his wife, put 90% in an S&P 500 tracker, such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and 10% in a bond fund such as the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (or BLS) released the “Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey” (or JOLTS) data for March on May 8. The BLS collects the data through a monthly survey of nearly 16,000 employers in the government, private (XLI), and non-farm sectors. The survey measures new employees hired, employees who have quit, employees who have been asked to leave, and other job separations.
US bond market yields cooled off after hitting a four-year high at the end of April. Bond yields fell after the April employment report was lower than expected. The unemployment rate dropped below 4% for the first time in 20 years, which was the highlight of the report.
ADP, a human capital management solution provider, releases a monthly report on US non-farm employment. The report captures the change in the number of jobs added across different sectors in the US. ADP claims to process the payrolls of more than 24 million US workers, which provides first-hand insight into the US employment market. The monthly report is prepared using actual and anonymous payroll data from 411,000 US clients that ADP services. The report precedes the monthly non-farm payrolls report from the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics). ...
US bond markets were the main focus in a week dominated by earnings. In the previous week, the US ten-year bond yield broke above 3% for the first time in four years. Last week’s reports on the first-quarter GDP and the Employee Cost Index signaled that the Fed could increase rates three times this year, which pushed bond yields higher. By the end of the week, the yield retreated from the higher levels. The euphoria around the 3% mark seems to be declining. Whether the yield is at 3%, 2.96%, 3.1%, the overall trend is important. The trend seems to be tilted towards higher yields. ...
Billionaire investor Jeffrey Gundlach has stated numerous times in the past few months that if the ten-year US Treasury yield rises above 3.0% at an accelerated rate, it could pressure the S&P 500 Index (SPY). At the 2018 Sohn Investment Conference, Gundlach said that a 3.0% yield would be an important mark for the central bank in its rate hike process.