11.28 +0.01 (0.09%)
After hours: 4:25PM EDT
|Bid||11.27 x 305200|
|Ask||11.28 x 312700|
|Day's Range||11.25 - 11.37|
|52 Week Range||11.25 - 13.11|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.25%|
As we’ve discussed previously in this series, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) has fallen ~8.0% year-to-date and ~11.0% from its April peak. Historically, gold prices have declined in the summer months, only to climb in August onward due to the seasonal pattern of demand for gold. Physical gold demand from Asian countries such as India supports its price after that.
Usually, gold (GLD) is considered to be a “safe-haven asset” and gains due to economic or political turmoil. The latest evidence is Turkey’s economic and currency crisis. On August 13, gold prices (IAU) fell to 17-month lows despite the raging crisis in Turkey, which also seems to be spreading to other regions.
The US consumer price index (or CPI) for July rose 0.2% sequentially and 2.9% over the last 12 months. The core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and energy components, rose by 2.4% in the 12 months to July, which was the largest increase in core CPI since September 2008. In June, core CPI rose by 2.3%.
According to a Reuters poll of 35 analysts and traders, the average gold price (GLD(IAU) forecast for 2018 and 2019 is $1,301 and $1,325 per ounce, respectively. Heavy losses suffered by gold prices in the second quarter led most of the analysts to lower their price estimates for the precious metal.
Gold prices (IAU) have been on an almost one-way downward trajectory since mid-April. Although the Federal Reserve didn’t raise rates during its August meeting as was widely expected, it sounded more bullish on the US economy (SPY)(DIA). The Fed was also upbeat on household spending and business fixed investment in the US.
Fresh Sell-Off Hits Gold: Is $1,200 the Next Stop? Investors, market participants, and analysts have been puzzled by gold’s weakness in recent months despite escalating trade war tensions and geopolitical risks. The Fed’s aggressive stance on interest rate hikes has also been weighing on gold.
Many investors might seek to buy gold at a discounted price while some risk aggressive investors want to short gold for the near term via ETFs.
Gold prices (IAU) have been on a losing spree since mid-April due to the US dollar’s strength and diverging monetary policies in the United States (IVV) and the rest of the world. During the congressional testimony, Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave an upbeat assessment of the US (VOO) economy. The assets are attractive when interest rates (TLT) are high because gold doesn’t generate any income.
Globally listed gold exchange traded products, including the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEArca: GLD), iShares Gold Trust (NYSEArca: IAU) have recently been struggling and some market observers believe the yellow ...
A record number of fund managers in the BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) July survey believe that gold (GLD) (IAU) is undervalued. About 17% of them said gold was trading below its actual market worth, and 25% said oil (USO) is overvalued.
Gold tested the low end of its trading range in May. As gold has shown price weakness ahead of Fed rate increases, we expect gold to continue to drift around the bottom of the range until the expected rate increase on June 12. Futures positioning and flows into gold bullion exchange traded products suggest gold is poised for another post-Fed meeting rally. The immediate challenge comes from strong economic growth and robust jobs numbers that bolster the case for higher interest rates.
The second half of 2018 should be very interesting for the gold market. The chart shows the gold price has formed a wedge or pennant pattern that has been in place for several years. The positive aspect of this pattern is the trend of higher lows.
Investors looking for a more cost-effective avenue for investing in gold have a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) to consider following Tuesday's debut of the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust ( GLDM). The SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust is the latest product in the long-running partnership between State Street Global Advisors (SSgA) and the World Gold Council (WGC), the groups behind the SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD).
Gold continues to offer good returns, and investors who are interested in owning the precious metal may consider buying shares in a gold exchange-traded fund (ETF). These funds are managed by gold experts, so you stand a better chance of making money than you would on your own.
Oil prices (USO) soared ~6.0% in the week ended June 22. After its meeting on June 22, OPEC decided to raise its output. However, this increase was lower than what the markets expected.
ABN Amro believes that there is more downside to gold prices (IAU) from the current levels, although it would be temporary. The firm sees gold prices falling to $1,250 per ounce by the end of 2018 before rallying in 2019. It believes the US dollar’s (UUP) strength could the major driver of gold’s weakness in 2018.
Over the past year or so, we’ve seen an increasing number of industry big names lending their names to ETFs.
RAAX remains fully invested across commodities, natural resource equities, and MLPs. As they were at launch, the largest weightings remain in diversified commodities (30%), gold bullion (20%), and agribusiness equities (20%). However, its allocation to gold equities now stands at 10%, increasing overall gold exposure to 30%.
The VanEck Vectors Real Asset Allocation ETF (RAAX) launched, on April 9, into a period of strong performance for real assets. RAAX performed well on both an absolute and relative basis. Through April, in the first 16 days of its life, RAAX returned +2.98% based on net asset value versus +2.41% for its benchmark, the Blended Real Asset Index, which is comprised of an equally weighted blend of the returns of Bloomberg Commodity Index, S&P Real Assets Equity Index, and VanEck Natural Resources Index*. Equal weightings are reset monthly.
When stocks sell off, gold often shines. The stock market fell sharply Thursday after President Trump canceled the summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
Ray Dalio Is Holding on to Gold: Are You? As the 13F filings became available during the start of last week, much of the market buzz was about what money managers are holding and what they are staying away from. Ray Dalio held his holdings in the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Fund and the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) constant.
Precious metals funds are a smart and effective way of adding diversification to an investment portfolio. When choosing the best precious metals funds to buy, there are a few criteria to follow for narrowing your search: Use ETFs or ETNs: Exchange-traded funds and exchange-traded notes are generally preferred for investing in precious metals over mutual funds. This is because most precious metals mutual funds buy stocks of miners, which offers only indirect exposure to precious metals, whereas ETFs and ETNs can offer more direct exposure through indices and commodities markets.
Form 13F filings for major financial firms became available earlier this week, and much of the buzz around the top money managers has to do with their stock picks over the past few months. Somewhat less prominent in the ongoing analysis of the SEC filings of top hedge funds, though, is the fact that at least two prominent billionaire money managers maintained faith in gold, in spite of the fact that increased interest rates threaten to trim gains for the precious metal. Ray Dalio's Bridgewater preserved its stake in SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD), the largest exchange-traded product linked to gold bullion.