|Bid||101.30 x 8600|
|Ask||101.46 x 12000|
|Day's Range||101.06 - 101.25|
|52 Week Range||101.06 - 108.81|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.15%|
What Do March Leading Indicators Signal for the US Economy? The US bond markets were back in focus as the chatter about the yield curve flattening has grown louder in recent weeks. The decision of the US FOMC during its March meeting to increase the Fed funds rate by 0.25% had an uneven impact on the yield curve.
The US bond markets were under pressure as the yield curve continued flattening until Wednesday last week. The yield spread between the two-year and ten-year reached a decade low of 41 basis points on Wednesday, but a rebound in commodity prices triggered higher inflation expectations and led to the sharp rally of US bond yields last week. The Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF, which tracks the performance of the bond markets, ended the previous week at 79.02, a fall of 0.77% for the week ending April 20.
The Fed is sure to hike more than once this year, but the key question is how many times. One market watcher says investors could look in an unusual place for a clue on when the central bike is ready to strike.
The Fed is sure to hike more than once this year, but the key question is how many times. One market watcher says investors could look in an unusual place for a clue on when the central bike is ready to ...
US bond markets’ relief after a dovish FOMC statement was short lived as geopolitical tensions took center stage. US bond yields rose along the curve dominated by a sharp increase in yields at the short-end of the curve, which reignited fears of the yield curve flattening. The 2s10s spread has now reduced to 45 basis points and the 2s30s spread has been reduced to a fresh cycle low of 66 basis points.
In the recent weeks, the performance of the US bond markets (BND) has been influenced by trade conflicts between the US and other nations, primarily China (FXI), rather than the underlying economic performance. First, there were the steel and aluminum import tariffs, which were followed by $50 billion worth of tariffs on Chinese imports. The fear of a full-blown trade war reduced risk appetite and increased demand for safe-haven assets like bonds, which further pushed yields lower.
Another crucial factor that closely plays on precious metals prices is the US interest rate—more specifically, the Federal Reserve’s decisions on moving the interest rate. During the Fed’s meeting in the third week of March, it took a hawkish stance, causing precious metals to rise instead of fall. The Fed mentioned that it would like to raise interest rates two rather than three more times in 2018.
Will New Tariffs Push China to React? At the beginning of 2018, there were reports that China was considering stopping buying US Treasuries (GOVT). As China is the largest foreign holder of US debt, any decline in purchases or even selling by China (FXI) could mean huge trouble for the US bond markets (BND).
As traders turn risk-off in response to escalating trade war tensions, investors have been diving into safety bets like Treasury bonds and related ETFs. A weekly data compilation by Bank of America Merrill ...
Amazon’s stock has plummeted after President Donald Trump took to Twitter to call for action against the company’s practices. Amazon took first place on the list followed by master limited partnerships (MLPs), which are finding themselves in a tough spot. Facebook was the third most popular topic as the company tries to contain a data breach scandal. Gold took fourth spot as investors bid up the precious metal in light of falling stock prices, while government bonds are last on the list. Check out our previous trends edition at Trending: Pressure Mounts on Facebook as Data Breach Conundrum Deepens.
What Do these 10 Economic Indicators Signal for the US Economy? The US bond markets, which have been under pressure from rising interest rates, had a minor respite as bond yields cooled off after a lower-than-expected increase in worker wages in February. Recent market developments that led to a risk-off trade increased the demand for safe-haven bonds, which helped the recovery in bond prices. The slope of the bond market yield curve is used as a forward indicator.
The US bond markets were relieved last week after the FOMC’s (Federal Open Market Committee) statement regarding its 0.25% rate hike sounded more dovish than expected. This forecast came as a relief to the bond markets, which had been reeling from fears about rising bond yields. The two-year bond yields declined for the first time in many months in response to the FOMC statement. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) ended the previous week at $79.52, depreciating by 0.01% for the week ended March 23.
The US bond markets moved marginally higher in the previous week as investors’ worry about rising bond yields fell after the February inflation print showed stable growth. The Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF, which tracks the performance of the bond markets, ended the previous week at 79.5, appreciating by 0.26% for the week ending March 16.
Of late, the most crucial factors affecting gold prices are the US dollar and the potential change in the US interest rate. Precious metals are highly sensitive to movements in Treasury rates, as gold and Treasuries are competitors as haven assets. As investors await the Federal Reserve’s meeting in a few days, there’s a high chance that the interest rate will rise.
Exchange-traded funds that track U.S. Treasurys have struggled thus far in 2018, with investors retreating from the sector—particularly bonds with longer durations—as fears over inflation and higher rates ...
The US bond markets were the only asset class that failed to rally after the February jobs report was released on March 9, 2018. The bond market, however, suffered further losses as every other segment of the jobs report pointed to a strong employment market, leaving the bias tilted toward further rate hikes. Rising rates are negative for the bond market, and investors holding these bonds tend to lose their asset value.
Financial markets have witnessed an abrupt change in their approach to bond markets over the past two months. Up until the end of 2017, markets were not convinced that inflation could rise according to the Fed’s expectations, and so long-term rates (TLT) did not rise in tandem with short-term rates (SHY), leading the yield curve to flatten. Then the employment report for January indicated that worker wages had increased more than expected, which allowed the chance for inflation to rise.
Are bond bulls emerging from their hideouts? The US bond markets managed to gain some lost ground as bond bulls reemerged. The key focal point of bond traders was the FOMC meeting minutes, where the FOMC members were concerned about inflation, but they weren’t sure about inflation drastically increasing.
Is Volatility Set to Drop Further after Stock Market Rebound? US bond markets found some relief in the week ending February 16, as bond yields retreated from their multiyear high at the end of the week. The issue that was squeezing bond investors hasn’t gone away. The inherent risk of rising yields still exists, and last week’s respite could prove to be temporary at least for bond markets.