272.12 -0.89 (-0.33%)
Pre-Market: 5:23AM EST
|Bid||272.31 x 800|
|Ask||272.35 x 1000|
|Day's Range||267.01 - 273.54|
|52 Week Range||252.92 - 293.94|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.00|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.09%|
Industrial production numbers are expected to be released at 9:15 a.m. ET, followed by Quarterly Services Report at 10 a.m. ET, Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index at 11 a.m. ET ad Baker-Hughes Rig Count at 1 p.m. ET. At 11:30 a.m. ET, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans is due to speak about current economic conditions and monetary policy at a roundtable in Chicago. U.S. stock index futures indicated a slightly lower open Friday morning as investors look ahead to fresh economic data and monitor political developments overseas.
Institutions like global banks, pension funds, endowments and hedge funds actually move the markets. Individual investors like you and me try to draft behind the whales and feed off of their leftovers. If institutions are favoring large cap tech stocks, they will rise.
Could Gold Be the Best Bet amid Increased Economic Uncertainty? The Fed’s interest rate hikes and outlook, trade war concerns, and the better US market (SPY) (QQQ) performance have been the key factors behind the dollar’s strength. The Federal Reserve has already raised the rates three times this year and is expected to raise them for the fourth time in December.
The Section 232 tariffs were President Trump’s first move in the trade war. Since then, President Trump imposed tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods. The US-China trade war and the general slowdown in China’s aluminum demand have taken a toll on aluminum prices, which hurt aluminum producers’ earnings.
Delta Air Lines’ (DAL) stock has been gaining solid momentum lately. One of the main reasons could be the company’s strong third-quarter 2018 results. Its revenues and earnings beat Wall Street estimates and improved year-over-year. Also, an encouraging fourth quarter and 2018 outlook drove the stock higher.
Gold prices (GLD) saw their first monthly gain in the last seven months in October when prices rose by 2.1%. Gold prices are down by 7.4% YTD, and they are down 10.6% from their April peak. While gold prices seemed to have lost their safe-haven status as they kept on falling even amid all the geopolitical, trade, and emerging market tensions, October has reinstated that appeal to some extent.
On November 14, US crude oil December futures rose 1% and closed at $56.25 per barrel. News of OPEC’s rescue plan might have helped US crude oil prices end the three-day losing streak.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch seems unusually bullish these days despite a series of major market sell-offs and mounting uncertainty about economic growth and corporate earnings. The firm's forecast calls for stocks to rally through the end of the year, although the gains may be accompanied by increased volatility.
In the BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) November 2018 survey, trade war concerns were again named as the top concern among global fund managers. About 35% of fund managers surveyed cited it as their top tail risk, which is the same as last month and lower than 43% in September. The trade risk is still fresh, and the recent trade escalations between the United States and China (FXI) have kept fund managers concerned about ongoing trade tensions.
The stunning sell-off among tech stocks has rattled many investors, causing them to rethink their attitudes about both this market sector and risk. After anemic efforts to stage a rebound, tech stocks are still well below their highs. On Nov. 14, the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX), widely used as a proxy for the tech sector, closed 12.1% below its all-time high set in intraday trading on Oct. 1.
November marked the second straight month of investors’ bearishness with 44% of them believing that global economic growth will decelerate in the next 12 months. It believes that investor sentiment could take a sudden turn for the worse. While 16% of investors surveyed in October thought that the stock market has peaked, the number increased to 30% in November.
Another day in the red for U.S. equity markets as Apple led a tech stock slide that bled across the major indexes. The S&P 500 has fallen for 5 straight sessions and is now negative for the month after falling 7 percent in October. Shares of Apple, that recovered a little, are now teetering on the edge of a Bear Market, down nearly 20 percent or more from their recent highs. A third of the stocks in the S&P 500 are also in Bear Market territory, even though the entire index is not.
BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) conducted a survey that polled 225 global investors with $641 billion in total assets under management between November 2 and November 8.
The rally in tech names, especially the FAANG stocks including Facebook (FB) and Netflix (NFLX), has been a pillar of support for markets (SPY). However, some of the technology names that helped drive markets have seen selling pressure after a strong first half of 2018. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) crossed the $1 trillion market capitalization in 2018. While Amazon might give away its gains soon, Apple didn’t hold onto the trophy.
Concerns about the Chinese economy have been among the major risks spooking investors globally. Concerns about China’s growth outlook impact metal and mining companies (SPY) like Freeport-McMoRan (FCX). China (FXI) is also a major market for US giants like Ford (F) and Apple (AAPL). On November 14, China released several economic indicators.
US equity markets saw a sharp sell-off last month and pared some of their 2018 gains. November hasn’t been much better. Broader equity markets are still below their 2018 highs. Among the broader market ETFs, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has gained 0.5% in November. SPY has risen 3.3% in 2018 based on the closing prices on November 13. However, the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) has lost 1.9% in November.
Higher steel prices have lifted US steel companies’ profitability this year. In this part, we’ll compare steel companies’ third-quarter adjusted EBITDA, which is the preferred profitability metric for steel companies (SPY).
As of November 12, US crude oil prices have fallen 27.1% from the multiyear closing high of $76.41 per barrel on October 3. Oversupply concerns have led the decline in oil prices. Based on a Reuters report, OPEC members and non-OPEC oil producers might develop a plan to reduce their oil output by up to 1.4 MMbpd (million barrels per day) in 2019. In the oil market report on November 14, the International Energy Agency expects global oil demand growth to rise by 1.3 MMbpd and 1.4 MMbpd in 2018 and 2019, respectively. A production cut of that magnitude might limit oil’s fall.
While the October stock market sell-off caused great anxiety among individual investors, many of the world's largest fund managers used it as an opportunity to go bargain hunting, according to the latest release of the monthly Global Fund Manager Survey conducted by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML).
Previously in this series, we compared steel companies’ third-quarter shipments. In this part, we’ll look at their ASP (average selling price). The ASP is a key driver of steel companies’ performance and impacts their profitability. We saw a sharp rise in steel companies’ ASP this year after President Trump’s Section 232 tariffs lifted US steel prices (SPY) to multiyear highs.
Everything is Down Again US stock futures, Asian (except Japan), and European equities are all down today, together with oil yet again, in what is now a record slide in intensity. The US Dollar is flat. The S&P 500 is now decisively below its 200 day moving average. Italian bond are down again this morning, […] The post Market Morning: Everything Is Down, Brexit Agreement, Trump Cornered, Saudi Sanctions? appeared first on Market Exclusive.
What started as a promising rally this morning on the heels of a strong earnings report from Home Depot fizzled into another day in the red for the DJIA and S&P 500. The Nasdaq was flat. Double-talk out of the White House on the progress or lack of progress with China on trade just confused everyone since both countries seem pretty dug in. The G20 Meetings in Argentina are coming up at the end of the month, so China and the U.S. may just be dancing this tango until the summit.
As we discussed in the previous two parts of this series, rising interest rates and the US-China war (FXI) are two of the major reasons for investors’ pessimism. Meanwhile, President Trump seems to be playing the “blame game” regarding the ongoing market turmoil. According to a BBC report, in an interview with Fox & Friends in August, President Trump said, “I tell you what, if I ever got impeached, I think the market would crash, I think everybody would be very poor.” When the market crash started in October during his time in office, President Trump started blaming the Fed for the economic turmoil.
The U.S. benchmarks’ fleeting post-election rally attempt has fizzled, writes Michael Ashbaugh, with the S&P 500 violating its 200-day moving average.
With a return of 35.3% YTD (year-to-date), United Continental (UAL) is currently the best-performing stock among the five largest US airline companies (by market capitalization). United Continental has also outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s (SPY) returns. SPY tracks an index of large and mid-cap stocks selected by the S&P committee. SPY has gained 2.1% YTD.