|Bid||30.29 x 900|
|Ask||30.39 x 900|
|Day's Range||30.15 - 30.84|
|52 Week Range||25.15 - 300.00|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||N/A|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||N/A (N/A)|
|1y Target Est||54.20|
Cowen’s Vivien Azer came out with her top picks for new coverage of U.S. cannabis companies, and she is starting Green Thumb Industries at an outperform rating. Yahoo Finance's Zack Guzman and Heidi Chung are joined by Vera Gibbons, NonPoliticalNews.com Founder, to discuss.
Vaping has become a burgeoning health concern, as the seventh vaping-related death recently occurred in California. How are cannabis companies affected?
Anyone who's been halfway paying attention to the action in cannabis stocks knows it hasn't been an easy ride. From the most well-known names to the most obscure, it's been a volatile and difficult ride. Aphria (NYSE:APHA) is no exception, with Aphria stock down big from its highs.Source: Shutterstock Shares have fallen roughly 40% from the February highs and almost 60% from its 52-week highs. To say that it's been a rough ride is putting it lightly and these two performance marks emphasizes as much.Earlier this week, we highlighted a silver lining in Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB). After the company reported earnings, shares took a tumble. But so far at least, the stock has avoided a lower low. That's the positive take despite the revenue miss and bearish reaction in the stock price.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsHowever, APHA stock has its own silver lining: the stock is actually trending higher. Aphria Stock Is Stronger Than It SeemsComing into August, Aphria stock had been dragging hard. Shares were down almost 50% in just a few months and sentiment couldn't have been worse. Then better-than-expected earnings propelled shares higher, as the stock ran from a low of $5.02 to roughly $7.50 just a day later.The one-day ~50% rally set the tone for APHA, even though shares are now lower at this point. I think the stock is down from its post-earnings high as investors try to work through various resistance points and as they fight the bearish stigma attached to the industry right now. * 7 Tech Stocks You Should Avoid Now There's no reason to mince words about it: Cannabis stocks are out of favor right now. That's not likely to persist forever, which is why it's important to look for stocks showing relative strength. While Aphria stock is not showing strength relative to the market, it is showing strength relative to its peers.Identifying stocks with relative strength is because they're the ones that tend to outperform when the group comes back in favor.Even though shares have been under pressure lately, Aphria stock is still up 16.2% so far in 2019. That's better than Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), Aurora Cannabis and Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON). CRON, ACB and CGC are all positive on the year too, but lag APHA.The performance is also better than Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) and New Age Beverages (NASDAQ:NBEV), which are both down in 2019.Of the group, Aphria stock is the top performer over the last six, three and one month. For the last timeframe, APHA stock is up almost 11%. So this is certainly worth paying attention to. The Exact Breakout Point As you can see on the chart above, we have an ascending triangle formation developing in Aphria stock. That's where uptrend support (blue line) continues to squeeze a stock higher against a static level of resistance. It's a bullish trade development, as investors look for a breakout.In this case, recent resistance has been near $7.20. But that's not the big breakout point, in my view. Instead, I'm looking at the $7.60 level. This level has been notable resistance since the April breakdown. If Aphria stock can clear it, it will also mean that APHA has reclaimed its 200-day moving average.In this case, clearing $7.60 could trigger a big-time breakout. The first upside target is 61.8% retracement at $8.68. Above that and I'm looking for a gap-fill up to $9.85.There is risk, though.If uptrend support fails, it puts the ascending triangle formation at risk of failing. Below it and the 50-day moving average is the first downside target. Below that puts the $5.80 level on watch and below that, the $5 mark is possible. The Bottom Line on APHA StockThe bottom line here is simple: Aphria stock is the most well-behaved stock in the cannabis space showing the most relative strength among its peers. Its stock has a very clear setup on the charts, while its most recent earnings report was good enough to ignite the recent rally.A glance at the balance sheet reveals $422 million in cash and short-term equivalents. That's notable, given the stock's $1.67 billion market cap.Further, current assets of $577 million is more than five times its current liabilities of $102.5 million. Total assets also significantly outweigh total liabilities, total $1.8 billion vs. $524 million. * 7 Momentum Stocks to Buy On the Dip In other words, Aphria is more than capable of covering its short-term obligations as it focuses on growing its business. If there's a speculative cannabis stock worth monitoring right now, it's Aphria in my opinion.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Momentum Stocks to Buy On the Dip * 7 Dow Titans Breaking Higher * 5 Growth Stocks to Sell as Rates Move Higher The post Aphria Stock Is the Most Well-Behaved Pot Stock on the Market appeared first on InvestorPlace.
The cannabis industry as a whole continues to face unforeseen pressures, and Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) hasn't been an exception to that headwind. But, of all the marijuana stocks worth a closer look now, CGC stock is at the top of that relatively short list.Source: Jarretera / Shutterstock.com That's not been the case in a long, long while. In July, CGC's board of directors, which is mostly controlled by the company's single-biggest shareholder Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), terminated CEO Bruce Linton. This led to a disruption at a critical time for cannabis companies.A sequential decline in quarterly revenue rattled owners of Canopy Growth stock in August as well, further fanning already-bearish flames. The backdrop has been decidedly grim.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsYet, this month's rebound effort is undeniable, and arguably well-supported. Canopy Growth Stock Takes the LeadSince early this month, cannabis stocks have started to put some distance between themselves in terms of performance. Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) is up 21% since the end of August, while Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) has broken even and CannTrust Holdings (NYSE:CTST) has given up 13% of its value.CGC stock is at the upper end of that performance race, gaining nearly 19% this month.The divergence likely has much to do with an increasing understanding of each companies' nuances following a wave of earnings reports. * 7 Momentum Stocks to Buy On the Dip That's certainly been the case for Canopy Growth, which has enjoyed the added benefit of interim CEO Mark Zekulin making a proactive effort to unwind some of the damage that's been done to Canopy Growth stock over the course of the past two months. His focal point?"We have been in construction for 70 months," Zekulin told CNN. "We have four months left on that expansion plan. … A lot of that work is now done and the real focus is taking the chess board that we've set and really focusing on now executing."The market seems to be buying the idea, although there's an even bigger reason CGC stock could have rekindled its bullishness. Winning Where it CountsThe cannabis industry is still gelling, and its players are still trying to figure out their place in it.Canopy Growth's place is, for the most part, recreational marijuana -- and recreational marijuana in Canada in particular. For the quarter ending in June, 72% of revenue was made up by sales of recreational cannabis, and only 12% of its sales were made to international customers. And, 80% of its gross sales were of dry cannabis used for smoking.The revenue headwind was and is a legitimate concern. But a couple of key details were glossed over by a market that was ready to see the glass as half empty rather than half full. Chief among those details is the fact that the revenue lull wasn't the indication of waning demand it was being made out to be.The evidence: The average selling price of cannabis, per gram, in Canada hasn't swayed since mid-July, holding steady at $7.22 CAD. Prices in the United States, meanwhile, have actually improved since mid-July, negating the chatter that supply has far outpaced demand.In that vein, although the quarter ending in June wasn't the one Canopy Growth stock owners were hoping for, demand continued to rise. Adult-use purchases of cannabis in Canada reached a record $85 CAD million in June, rising for a fourth-straight month.That's right in Canopy's sweet spot. And it's happening at a time when the company is about to maximize all those pieces on the proverbial chess board. The Bottom Line for CGC StockDon't misread the message. Canopy still has much to prove, and even with the recent selloff, the stock remains outrageously overvalued.That's not a particularly big liability in this instance though. While Canopy Growth admittedly spent too aggressively on acquisitions, those acquisitions do improve the company's capacity to connect with consumers and secure more supply. Canopy just needs to get more out of those assets. That's in the works, even before a new CEO takes the helm.How far or how high that might take CGC stock remains uncertain. But, up 20% from last month's low is a good start to a rebound. And it has plenty of backing via lip service.You could certainly do worse.As of this writing, James Brumley did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can learn more about him at his website jamesbrumley.com, or follow him on Twitter, at @jbrumley. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Momentum Stocks to Buy On the Dip * 7 Dow Titans Breaking Higher * 5 Growth Stocks to Sell as Rates Move Higher The post Canopy Growth Stock Emerges as Top Pick appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) recently reported earnings and sales came up short. As such, Aurora Cannabis stock sold off. It's been a painful run for cannabis stocks over the past few months as they desperately lack a catalyst to send their share prices higher.Source: Shutterstock Earnings clearly won't be it for Aurora Cannabis stock at this point. However, there is one silver lining to the recent decline: no new lows.That's right. Sometimes good news can be found in bearish developments. Should ACB stock log a higher low, then it may be on the road to recovery. Let's explore:InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Revenue MissOn September 11, Aurora Cannabis reported revenue of 98.84 million CAD. That missed analysts' expectations by more than 4.5 million CAD. While that many not seem like a big deal, investors have to take the miss in context. * 7 Tech Stocks You Should Avoid Now It's the company's second straight revenue miss and its fifth miss out of the last six quarters. Further, Aurora Cannabis doesn't have the type of valuation that supports its stock price when it misses on top-line sales. That goes for most if not all of the cannabis industry, including Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), Aphria (NYSE:APHA), Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) and others.In other words, these companies have incredibly high valuations that are all banking on equally incredible growth. And while sales quintupled year-over-year in the most recent quarter for ACB, it came up short of expectations.It doesn't help that margins have been under pressure as well.It's not that Aurora Cannabis has a poor balance sheet or that the cannabis market is hitting a dead end. It's that sentiment is not bullish, and momentum is bearish for cannabis stock right now. ACB and others need some positive catalysts, and missing headline expectations isn't one of them. Trading Aurora Cannabis StockAhead of earnings, Aurora Cannabis stock had rallied through the 50-day moving average. However, it ran right into downtrend resistance (blue line). Had the results been strong, investors may have been in store for a strong finish to the week. Click to EnlargeNow, shares are down about 8.5% from Wednesday's close. With the fall, the ACB stock price is back below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. When these two moving averages went from support to resistance is outlined very clearly on the chart via purple arrows.That was a prelude to failing support that ushered in a wave of selling. Luckily for InvestorPlace readers, they saw this break months ago and have been able to sidestep some of the pain.The post-earnings decline also solidified downtrend resistance. As we discussed at the top of the article though, the silver lining is that ACB stock has not made new 2019 lows -- at least, not yet.From here, bulls need to make sure Aurora Cannabis stock stays above $5.40. If this level gives way, a test of downtrend support becomes possible, as does a test of the $5 mark. Instead, if ACB stock can hold up and avoid a new low, it can start to work higher despite a lower-than-expected revenue result. Rallying on weaker-than-expected results can be viewed as a bullish development, as it may suggest all the bad news is priced in.The simple way to evaluate Aurora Cannabis stock from here? Note the $5.40 benchmark. Below it is bad, above it is constructive. Bottom Line on ACB StockLet's not mince words here: Aurora Cannabis is very much a speculative "prove-it" stock. That is, it's not a blue-chip name like Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) or Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). Nor is it a dependable staple going through a hard time like Boeing (NYSE:BA).While Aurora Cannabis is one of the notable names in a high-growth emerging industry, it's still a speculative name that needs to prove to investors that it can turn that revenue growth into cash flow and continue to expand with discipline. From CFO Glen Ibbott:We continue to see strong growth in cannabis revenues in both medical and consumer categories. Our cultivation execution continues to drive production costs lower and improve gross margins. Aurora's diversified product portfolio remains in demand with patients and consumers alike.Aurora has seen a significant increase in assets, climbing from $1.43 billion at year-end 2018 to $4.2 billion in its most recent quarter. In the same time frame, total liabilities have increased from $253 million to approximately $850 million. While liability growth outpaces asset growth, its assets far outweigh liabilities.ACB has staying power, at least in the short term. But what it and the recent of the cannabis space really need is a catalyst and better sentiment.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Recession-Resistant Services Stocks to Buy * 7 Hot Penny Stocks to Consider Now * 7 Tech Stocks You Should Avoid Now The post Is Aurora Cannabis Stock a Buy Despite a Revenue Miss?Â appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) joined companies like Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) and Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) when its recent earnings report sent ACB stock on a 9% tumble.Source: Shutterstock Because of this, there has been a wide-scale bear move. The fact is that investors have been too optimistic about the growth prospects from Canada. There have also been issues with supply chains in the country as well as black market activities.So when may things change? It may take a while.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsBut even before this, the ACB stock price had been under increasing pressure. Since March, the shares have gone from $10 to $5.70.Now, as for the fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report for the company, there was still lots of growth. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, revenues jumped by 52%. There was also an annual 72% ramp. * 7 Tech Stocks You Should Avoid Now Yet Wall Street wanted much more. ACB reported C$98.9 million on the top-line while the consensus was calling for C$103 million. Note that before this the company had tempered its annual guidance.Something else about the earnings report that likely weighed on Aurora Cannabis stock was the softness in the global business. Consider that there was only a 12% increase in the medical segment in Europe to C$4.5 million.InvestorPlace.com's Josh Enomoto summed things up as follows:"The cannabis market has stepped out of the honeymoon phase and into the 'show me' phase. In other words, investors are tired of hearing bedtime stories. Instead, they want some evidence that these tales are based on facts." Bad News for ACB StockAurora Cannabis stock got hit again this week, off about 4%. The reason: negative commentary from Stifel Nicolaus analyst Andrew Carter. Primarily because of the earnings report, especially with the sluggishness in foreign markets, he slapped a "sell" rating on the shares. He lowered his price target from C$7 to C$5.He also thinks the terrible sentiment in the cannabis sector will make it more difficult for Aurora Cannabis to raise more money. No doubt, this could mean that any equity offering could see substantial dilution - which could mean even further deterioration of the stock price. An Upside for ACB StockDespite all the bad news, there remain silver linings. Aurora Cannabis has the advantage of scale and a global infrastructure (there are 15 production facilities, with sales and operations in 25 countries). For example, during the quarter the company produced over 29,000 kilograms, compared to 15,590 for the prior quarter.Another advantage for Aurora Cannabis stock is that it has Nelson Peltz as a strategic advisor. He is a top activist investor who has extensive experience with consumer goods companies like Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), Mondelez (NASDAQ:MDLZ), and Wendy's (NASDAQ:WEN). Peltz should be invaluable in providing high-level contacts and funding resources.And finally, there is the catalyst of "Legalization 2.0." This refers to when Canada will legalize the sale of cannabis edibles, beverages and vaping products. The law will require a 60-day permit process, after which sales will be allowed.This should help to boost revenues. However, in light of the concerns with cannabis companies right now, there may not much action with Aurora Cannabis stock until next year. So for now, there is probably no rush to make a buy.Tom Taulli is the author of the book, Artificial Intelligence Basics: A Non-Technical Introduction. Follow him on Twitter at @ttaulli. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Recession-Resistant Services Stocks to Buy * 7 Hot Penny Stocks to Consider Now * 7 Tech Stocks You Should Avoid Now The post It Doesn't Look like ACB Stock Is Going Anywhere This Year appeared first on InvestorPlace.
On September 12, the New Jersey Senate was set to vote on the expungement bill for cannabis convicts. However, new legislation was introduced.
The consensus target price for Cronos Group stock fell to 19.88 Canadian dollars from 20.3 Canadian dollars in August, which represents a fall of ~2.07%.
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Anheuser-Busch, Tilray, Boston Beer, Constellation Brands and Aphria
At the beginning of last month, Aphria (NYSE:APHA) was on top of the world. The cannabis company's fiscal fourth quarter revenue blew past estimates, catapulting Aphria stock higher by more than 40%. Investors were elated.Source: Shutterstock APHA stock is now down 10% from that peak and seemingly still drifting lower. So much for the notion that one of the pot industry's rare profitable companies is a must-own name.There's more to the setback than just a little bad luck though. The immediate evaporation of all that enthusiasm is an indication of just how unconfident the market is in Aphria. Ditto for its peers, which have performed similarly poorly for the same timeframe.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThe frustrating part is, this particular stock actually deserves a little more credit than it's getting. Aphria Stock Fails to LaunchAs a refresher, last quarter's top line of $128.6 million easily topped estimates of $97.8 million. The bulk of that figure was contributed by the acquisition of an existing distribution business in Europe, called CC Pharma.Canadian sales of recreational marijuana only came to $18.5 million, though that figure was still up 85% year-over-year. * 7 Discount Retail Stocks to Buy for a Recession Most noteworthy of all, Aphria turned a profit of five (Canadian) cents per share. Even the most notable names in the business like Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) and Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) are still losing money.The numbers were mostly irrelevant a couple of days after the earnings figures were posted though. That's how long it took the post-earnings bullishness to fade. It also was more or less how long it took other cannabis stocks to come down off of their most recent post-earnings high (if they created one at all).What gives?Although cannabis has a clear future, most of the highly-touted and highly-traded cannabis stocks are grossly overvalued compared to the kind of revenue they'll be able to produce even in the distant future. It's the unspoken reality most marijuana investors quietly suspect but are hesitant to voice.The irony is, Aphria is something of an exception to that unspoken paradigm. It just doesn't matter. Aphria Stock Is Reasonably ValuedThe widely-applied pessimism is certainly understandable. Canopy Growth lost a ton of money last quarter, even after stripping out the impact of a writedown. Tilray logged a loss last quarter too, of $31 million, tripling its loss from a year earlier and leaving investors wondering if there's actually any money to be made in the pot business. There is, and Aphria is making some of it.Granted, it's not easy, and probably won't be consistent income for a long, long while. But it's there. Last quarter, Aphria reported an adjusted EBITDA of $1.85 million on its cannabis operations. Its distribution business, separately, added $3.87 million worth of EBITDA to the mix.It's not great, but it's something. And, as Aphria scales up and gets better at what it does, the margins as measured by percentage will improve. Aphria believes they'll start to meaningfully improve this year, in fact, forecasting an EBITDA total of between CA$88 million and $$95 million for the fiscal year that just began.Multiplying that figure by a typical enterprise value/EBITDA figure of 14 would translate into a market cap on the order of $1.3 billion. Aphria's is at $1.7 billion, which is more than it theoretically should be, but some tolerances have to be made for the rapid sales and EBITDA growth the company is producing.On a price/sales basis, the market cap of $1.7 billion is a very reasonable 2.5 times this year's expected top line of between CA$650 million and CA$700 million. That's right around the marketwide average. And, let's not forget that Aphria is also legitimately profitable. Looking Ahead for Aphria StockEven the marijuana movement's most enthusiastic investors struggle to say pot stocks didn't get ahead of themselves, driven higher by hype before these companies knew everything they need to know. Much of the weakness seen since March of this year reflects the realization that simply being in the cannabis business is no assurance of success.Right or wrong, Aphria stock is guilty by association. When most other names in the business are losing ground due to valuation concerns, the selling can be rather indiscriminate.Aphria's $670 million worth of goodwill sitting on the balance sheet doesn't help either, as it could easily turn into a writedown sooner or later.Still, APHA stock is a name worth adding to your watchlist, as it's one of the more sensible stocks to own in a new industry that drove investors into a wild frenzy last year. The question, of course, is figuring out when that groupwide bearish pressure might finally ease up.As of this writing, James Brumley did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can learn more about him at his website jamesbrumley.com, or follow him on Twitter, at @jbrumley. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Big IPO Stocks From 2019 to Watch * 7 Discount Retail Stocks to Buy for a Recession * 7 Stocks to Buy Benefiting From Millennial Money The post Unfortunately, Aphria Stock Suffers from Guilt by Association appeared first on InvestorPlace.
For the cannabis sector, there has been a grueling bear market since April or so. Even the tier-one companies have suffered major double-digit declines, such as Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) and Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY).Source: Shutterstock Then again, the run-up that came before the downtrend was parabolic as the sentiment got excessive. Let's face it, there was too much optimism about the potential impact from the legalization of the Canadian market. It also did not help that there were problems with the supply chain as well as black market activity. So when things did not pan out as expected, a painful correction was inevitable.But I do think this is presenting some interesting opportunities in the space. For example, take a look at Hexo (NYSE:HEXO) stock, which has been cut in half during the past six months.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThe company is certainly well positioned to benefit from the long-term potential in the Canadian market. Keep in mind that Hexo dominates the Quebec market, with a 30% share.What's more, the company continues to make strides with production. Hexo has aggressively expanded its footprint to about 1.8 million square feet, with annual production of 150,00 kilograms. * 7 Discount Retail Stocks to Buy for a Recession M&A has also been critical. To this end, Hexo shelled out $197 million for Newstrike Brands Ltd, which added to annual capacity by about 150,000 kilograms.Yet the focus on production has not been about quantity over quality. Consider that the company has been a heavy investor in innovation and R&D, which has allowed for higher margin offerings.According to Hexo CEO Sebastien St-Louis, on the latest earnings call: "We now have 25 PhDs on staff. They're focused on developing new and innovative products for the market, best-in-class technology for our 'Powered by HEXO' experiences. Building on our innovative technology is critical in building brands." Strategic Alliance With Molson Coors BrewingI think a critical factor for Hexo stock is its partnership with Molson Coors Brewing (NYSE:TAP). No doubt, there are the benefits of leverage from the broad capabilities of global distribution, marketing expertise and logistics. Such factors will likely prove essential in breaking through the noise in the marketplace.The deal with TAP will also allow Hexo to benefit from the "Cannabis 2.0." This refers to October 17th, when it will be legal to sell cannabis extracts in Canada (although the selling will not be allowed until mid-December because of the requirement to get a permit). The market is likely to be significant, with the potential for $1 billion+ in spending next year.To prepare for this, Hexo and TAP have been jointly creating a variety of products, such as beverages, gummies and vapes. In other words, there could be a nice catalyst for revenue growth. For example, in regards to fiscal year 2020, Hexo is projecting that the top-line will hit a hefty $400 million and that there will be a doubling in fiscal Q4. Bottom Line On The Hexo Stock PriceGiven the consistent downtrend in Hexo stock, it's understandable that investors want to back off. There are legitimate fears that this could be the proverbial "falling knife."Yet it really does look like the sentiment for Hexo stock has gotten to overly negative levels. Besides, the growth story looks intact, especially with Cannabis 2.0, and the company has strong production and a solid position in the Canadian market. So for investors with a long-term perspective, I think Hexo stock looks like an interesting play at current levels.Tom Taulli is the author of the book, Artificial Intelligence Basics: A Non-Technical Introduction. Follow him on Twitter at @ttaulli. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Big IPO Stocks From 2019 to Watch * 7 Discount Retail Stocks to Buy for a Recession * 7 Stocks to Buy Benefiting From Millennial Money The post The Molson Coors Deal Will Be a Game Changer for HEXO Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.
This week, we saw Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (NYSE: TEVA ) make a big move in the cannabis industry, through a distribution deal between its subsidiary Salomon, Levin, Elstein, and InterCure Ltd ...
On Sep. 11, earnings results from Alberta-based Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) stock took the center stage in the cannabis space. To the surprise of analysts, ACB stock posted disappointing earnings. Earlier in August, ACB stock has already decreased the forecast. So when Aurora Cannabis stock missed the diminished expectations, investors were not forgiving.For cannabis investors, ACB stock needs little introduction. At present, Aurora Cannabis is Canada's largest producer of cannabis, which gives the company certain economies of scale. Especially in its early days, Aurora Cannabis stock was a can't-miss for investors. Yet since March, it has come off a long way from peak performance.The ACB stock price is now hovering around $5.90, close to January's lows in the $5 range. Understandably, investors are wondering what may be next for ACB stock given the recent decline in the price. Let's look at the company's fundamentals, industry developments, as well as the stock price.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips ACB Stock's Q4 Results Failed to ImpressWhen it released Q4 results for the fiscal year ended June 30, Aurora Cannabis stock missed revenue expectations. ACB stock's net loss came at C$2.26 million on net revenue of C$98.94 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of C$11.7 million (or $8.9 million).Analysts had estimated revenue of C$108 million. In Q4 last year, Aurora stock had reported net income of C$79.9 million, on net revenue of C$19.1 million.Like many other cannabis producers -- such as Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) or Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) -- ACB has so far not able to convert the revenue growth into real profits.ACB stock's disappointing earnings follow several other poor results from large Canadian cannabis companies. And not everyone is convinced that Canadian recreational pot sales will remain strong.Most pot stocks are burning through loads of cash and losing money like there's no tomorrow. Cash flows are far from predictable. Investors are concerned that the initial hype surrounding the industry could be decreasing further.It is likely that the rich valuations in this commodity-based consumer market may take a further hit in the coming months. The recent price weakness in most pot stocks including ACB has improved relative valuations, but these stocks aren't cheap. Headwinds That May Affect Aurora Cannabis StockIt is important to remember that weed is an agricultural commodity. In late 2018, during the early weeks following legalization, Canadians spent about $40 million on legal weed. However, since then sales haven't really held up. Instead the figures have come in much less robust than initially anticipated.In other words, there are possibly too many players in Canada, a relatively small market. Annual Canadian sales are not likely to exceed $4 billion. In the legal retail market there is an oversupply. And as the largest producer, Aurora Cannabis is likely to have a major supply in its inventory.On the other hand, the black market is still thriving in Canada. Thus, how can a producer like Aurora Cannabis maintain high margins in an industry that does not have meaningful growth potential?No one knows when (or if) federal legalization will happen in the U.S. And other international sales outside these two countries are not big enough to act as a substantial catalyst for the share price of ACB as well as other pot stocks.Could consolidation be a way forward for most of these cannabis producers like Aurora stock? Could Canadian Legalization 2.0 Help ACB Stock?In Canada, pot edibles and beverages will become legal on Oct. 17, one year from the original legalization of cannabis in the country. Industry watchers are referring to this new era in Canadian pot markets as "Legalization 2.0."New products are not expected to hit shelves till Dec. 16 as license holders will have to give Health Canada 60 days notice if they intend to sell them. Upcoming Canadian regulations will strictly limit what types of consumables can be produced and marketed. For example, manufacturers cannot legally combine pot and alcohol in products.In some ways, this significant legal development feels like deja-vu. Many industry watchers regard the legalization of edibles and beverages as another another significant milestone for pot companies. So what does that mean for ACB stock?Around this time last year, Canadian cannabis stocks had started rallying in anticipation of the nationwide adult-use legalization. For example in mid-August, 2018, Aurora Cannabis stock touched a low of $4.05. By mid-October, ACB stock saw a high of $12.53.Therefore, the hype surrounding the launch of pot edibles and drinks in Canada is likely to give a bit of fizz to ACB stock in the coming weeks, too. However I don't expect as big of a jump this September.In other words, it might become a classic case of "buy the rumor; sell the news." The Bottom Line on ACB StockIn the coming weeks, I expect ACB stock to trade between $5 and $7. From a valuation standpoint, the stock is not necessarily a bargain at $5. However, I expect the second stage of legalization in Canada to give a boost to most pot stocks.For Aurora stock, $7 level would be likely to act as strong resistance. Only after the stock is able to push through and stay above $7 can Aurora shareholders begin to relax for the longer-term prospects.The cannabis industry remains speculative at best. Yet there may still be an opportunity for those with a high risk tolerance. Given the new steps in legalization in Canada, this quarter might be an opportune time to start a position ACB stock.As of this writing, Tezcan Gecgil did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Big IPO Stocks From 2019 to Watch * 7 Discount Retail Stocks to Buy for a Recession * 7 Stocks to Buy Benefiting From Millennial Money The post Aurora Cannabis Stock Share Price Might Still Move Up appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Among investment sectors, few have incurred the kind of volatility as legal marijuana. Major Canadian cannabis players like Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) and Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) forwarded disappointing earnings reports. Thus, with Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) set to launch its fiscal fourth-quarter results, many had hopeful eyes on Aurora Cannabis stock.Source: Shutterstock Unfortunately, those expectations were badly misplaced. Aurora disclosed its Q4 numbers after Wednesday's close, and Wall Street did not react kindly. On the top line, the medical-cannabis specialist rang up $98.9 million CAD, which represented a 52% lift from the prior quarter. However, Aurora management forecasted Q4 sales to come in between $100 million CAD to $107 million CAD. As a result of the revenue miss, the ACB stock price tanked in after-hours trading.After a night's rest to digest the news, the Street immediately hit the "sell" button. Due to the mini-panic, Aurora Cannabis stock closed Sept. 12 below the $6 level. From a technical perspective, this was an unfortunate development. ACB stock was finally looking interesting since the beginning of this month. Now, questions have sprouted about this once-vaunted cannabis player.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsAnother factor that has raised concerns among investors is Aurora's international business. One of the biggest investment arguments for Aurora Cannabis stock is its international footprint, the biggest in the sector. However, most of the company's financial performance comes from its local Canadian market. * 10 Battered Tech Stocks to Buy Now But in Europe, for example, the company generated $4.5 million CAD in medical-cannabis sales. That's up 12%, a very modest rate compared to its Canadian growth rate. With management continuing to make high-dollar investments, can ACB stock survive? Aurora Cannabis Stock Tanked for Understandable ReasonsHeading into the Q4 earnings report, the ACB stock price had robust technical momentum. At the same time, on a fundamental basis, the organization was going up against a wall of pressure.Primarily, every other major cannabis player had failed to impress the Street. Unlike in late 2017, Aurora Cannabis stock and its ilk did not benefit from the honeymoon effect. Cannabis investments no longer moved on compelling narratives, such as Canada legalizing recreational weed. Instead, prospective buyers were placing extra attention on the "boring" stuff, like fiscal sustainability.That created a major problem. Let me be blunt: There are two reasons why mainstream financial institutions take a pass on cannabis-related businesses. First, legal uncertainties -- and political controversies -- surround the sector. Second, the financials for most of these names are rough.And that's been the story for Aurora Cannabis stock and its peers throughout this year. Undoubtedly, Aurora and the rest of the marijuana market offer tremendous potential in their narratives. For example, if the U.S. legalizes marijuana, it changes the calculus for ACB stock.But before the narrative comes the reality. While Aurora's revenue growth has been impressive on a mathematical scale, so has its debt load. Sure, companies like Aurora have healthy cash balances, in part due to strategic partnerships. Yet the concern is this: Aurora cannot keep spending without turning at least some of its narrative potential into hard results.Ultimately, I think that's why the Street was so disappointed. The cannabis market has stepped out of the honeymoon phase and into the "show me" phase. In other words, investors are tired of hearing bedtime stories. Instead, they want some evidence that these tales are based on facts.If you looked at the Q4 results, you really didn't get that impression from Aurora Cannabis stock. Should You Dump ACB Stock?Part of being a good investor is knowing when to give up. Unlike sports, there's no such thing as a moral victory in the markets. Either you're making money or you're not.Under this framework, Aurora Cannabis stock looks like a candidate to sell. And I don't blame you if you decide to go that route.That said, here's the plain truth about ACB stock: No matter what anybody says about the financials, the play here has always been the narrative. When companies in established industries show the kind of quarterly results that Aurora does, you should jettison immediately -- we know approximately the upper boundaries of traditional industries.But we really don't know anything about marijuana. Maybe the segment peaked in Ottawa, and everybody else doesn't know it yet. Or, the U.S. and other regions will start opening the legalization door.Clearly, Aurora Cannabis is banking aggressively on this latter possibility. Whether you believe in the same will determine how you approach ACB stock.As of this writing, Josh Enomoto did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Battered Tech Stocks to Buy Now * 7 Strong-Buy Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying Now * The 7 Best Penny Stocks to Buy The post Hereas Why Aurora Cannabis Stock Stumbled appeared first on InvestorPlace.
If you've followed my work over the past year, you know that I'm a strong supporter of marijuana stocks. While the viability of individual names varies, overall, the lack of a defined upside excites me. In other words, the cannabis market could be the most transformative of our generation. Or it could crash and burn. For CannTrust Holdings (NYSE:CTST) and CannTrust stock, I'm referring to the latter.Source: Shutterstock In short, CTST stock could be the first of the major New York Stock Exchange-traded cannabis companies to implode. Granted, I'm not breaking new ground here. Since the beginning of July of this year, shares have cratered over 68%. It's a good thing that Stockcharts.com defaults to a logarithmic scale for their charts; otherwise, it'd be hard to fit that magnitude of a drop in nominal unit-based scale.Initially, the troubles for CannTrust stock began when Health Canada, the namesake country's federal health agency, discovered a shocking scandal: CannTrust was illegally growing cannabis. But it wasn't just the infraction against clearly defined rules and protocol that hemorrhaged CTST stock. Instead, it was the violation's deliberate nature.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsCannTrust employees, with the knowledge of executive leadership, created illegal grow rooms hidden behind false walls. Clearly, management premeditated their actions. Thus, it was no surprise that the company fired former CEO Peter Aceto with cause. * 10 Battered Tech Stocks to Buy Now If that wasn't bad enough for CannTrust stock, we have another scandal: black market cannabis seeds allegedly got mixed into CannTrust's inventory.While it's not as dramatic of a headline as the hidden grow rooms, this latest controversy could spell big trouble for CTST stock. Thus, I wouldn't even gamble on the name. CannTrust Stock Has Zero CredibilitySince its inception, virtually all marijuana companies sought one attribute: credibility.During the early stages of the green market, companies attempted to convince investors, potential partners and financial institutions that their underlying business was realistically viable. Right now, these same firms are attempting to show that they can convert some of these storylines into actual results.However, it's been a trying time. Established leaders, such as Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON), Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) and most recently Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) have attempted to do this conversion through their earnings results. So far, they've failed spectacularly.But with CTST stock, you have the worst of both worlds. Obviously, if CannTrust knowingly created illegal grow rooms, investors can't trust their financials. And if the story about black-market seeds is true, the company can't even manage its own products. Thus, CTST has neither financial nor fundamental credibility.And that really means only one thing: CannTrust stock is a goner.Believe me: although the black-market seeds sound like a granular and perhaps inconsequential violation, it's actually an earth-shattering one.That's because we have a vaping crisis on our hands. Recently, President Donald Trump declared his intentions to ban all flavored e-liquids used in vaporizers. Citing an epidemic in underage vaping, Trump didn't appear open to negotiations.Now, if you dig into this story deeper, you'll recognize that the Food and Drug Administration is leaning toward illegally acquired THC-laden cannabis as a prime suspect for the surge in lung illnesses.I mention this because of the power of public perception. Tacitly, the FDA appears to suggest that proper, retail vaping products are fine to use. But with CannTrust's latest scandal, it proves that you can't even trust established, legitimate organizations.It's truly an ugly situation for CannTrust stock. Wall Street Has Lost Patience with CTST StockAlthough the vaping crisis has taken center stage, my opinion is this: the controversy will boil over eventually, leading to some reasonable concessions on both sides. For instance, many e-liquid companies need to take responsibility and stop using marketing that allures children.Anti-smoking advocates succeeded in eliminating Joe Camel, the Camel cigarette's once-popular brand face. Understandably, the cartoonish character attracted children, which of course is a big no-no. Anti-vaping advocates can do the same for donut-flavored e-liquids, for instance.But when it comes to CannTrust, I think the bad taste they created is simply too much. Seemingly everything about this company is a lie. Worse yet, their actions impugn the (hopefully) reputable behaviors of their peers. Since marijuana stocks tend to rise and fall in sympathy with each other, CannTrust stock will victimize many names.When the markets settle down, they'll give a second chance to the established leaders in this space. But for CTST stock, I think Wall Street has lost its patience. One massive scandal is already enough. But having two in a highly controversial market? Why bother with CannTrust when literally every other cannabis-based opportunity is better?As of this writing, Josh Enomoto did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Battered Tech Stocks to Buy Now * 7 Strong-Buy Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying Now * The 7 Best Penny Stocks to Buy The post Hereas Why You Canat Trust CannTrust Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Aurora Cannabis missed its own revenue estimates for the fourth quarter, but Chief Corporate Officer Cam Battley explains why it wasn't all bad news.
Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) stock dropped in after-hours trading on a weak earnings report. Shares fell from $6.49 at the close Sept. 11 to below the $6 level. With results failing to meet consensus, investor sentiment for ACB stock could become more negative. But is this recent stumble an opportunity to load up on Aurora Cannabis stock?Source: Jarretera / Shutterstock.com Shares continue to trade at a high valuation. But the long-term strategy for Aurora may still be in motion. Let's take a closer look and see if there's short-term upside for the ACB stock price. ACB Stock Earnings Fall Shy of ConsensusOn Sept. 11, Aurora released earnings for their fourth quarter which ended June 30. Net cannabis revenue grew 61% from the prior year's quarter, to $94.6 million CAD. The company's cash cost to produce per gram fell 20% to $1.14 CAD per gram. Gross margins grew to 58% from 55% in the prior year's quarter. Thanks to increased margins, the company's adjusted EBITDA losses shrunk from $36.6 million CAD in Q3 2019 to a $11.7 million CAD loss in Q4 2019.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsFor fiscal year 2019, sales were $247.9 million CAD. This is an 349% increase from the prior fiscal year. But despite this growth, Aurora fell short of consensus. Earlier in 2019, ACB anticipated positive adjusted EBITDA by the end of FY19. But the company revised this guidance in August. After yesterday's earnings, the company is no longer referencing "positive adjusted EBITDA." Instead, Aurora "expects adjusted EBITDA to improve." * 10 Battered Tech Stocks to Buy Now The analyst community also pared down their estimates after the August walk-back. According to FactSet (NYSE:FDS), prior to August, analysts estimated Q4 revenue of roughly $112 million CAD. This was cut to a range of $100 million CAD-$107 million CAD. With actual Q4 performance falling short of this revised consensus, there are new challenges to the growth story with ACB stock.Other cannabis stocks have posted weak results in the past few months. Weak numbers at Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) pushed shares down 25% since mid-August. Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) shares have fallen from $41.16 per share to near $30 per share since its August earnings release. Reality is bringing pot stock valuations back to earth. Does this mean it's time to buy on the dip? Let's take a look at the valuation of ACB stock relative to peers. Aurora Cannabis Stock Trades at a Premium to PeersACB stock trades at a premium to most of its peers. Aurora Cannabis stock trades at an enterprise value/sales ratio of 53. Compare this to Canopy Growth, which trades at an EV/Sales ratio of 40.5. Tilray trades at an EV/Sales of 36.2. Aphria (NYSE:APHA) trades at a low EV/Sales ratio of 9.7. The only major pot stock trading at a higher valuation is Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON). Cronos trades at a staggering EV/Sales ratio of 106.4.But does this make ACB stock overvalued? The cannabis sector in general continues to be richly priced. Despite stumbles, investors anticipate a bright future for the marijuana industry. But with top-line performance falling short of expectations, can investors expect a short-term rebound? The Canadian marijuana market continues to be over saturated. A fully open U.S. market continues to be out of reach. Congress has made little progress on federal marijuana legislation.A saving grace for Aurora Cannabis stock is the company's global diversification. As I have mentioned previously, Aurora's focus on European markets has been a strength. Aurora has also focused more on the stable medical segment. But other risks counter the bullish case. The company's heavy use of convertible debt could cause problems down the road. Additional issuance of shares could drive the ACB stock price down further. Stay on the Sidelines With AuroraIt's tough to stomach the current ACB stock price. While the company has many strengths, the path to profitability remains unclear. There needs to be a shakeout in the Canadian cannabis market before it can become profitable. Solid movement on the U.S. federal legalization front needs to happen. One of the major marijuana stocks needs to hit profitability. Even if said "profitability" is adjusted positive EBITDA.I believe marijuana stocks will fall further. Aurora Cannabis stock is no exception. The company's shares could rebound on a crumb of good news. But in the short term, all bets are off with regards to the ACB stock price. To play it safe, stay on the sidelines with Aurora. Wait for a more opportune moment. If valuations turn irrationally low, make your move. But otherwise do not enter a position.As of this writing, Thomas Niel did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Battered Tech Stocks to Buy Now * 7 Strong-Buy Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying Now * The 7 Best Penny Stocks to Buy The post Weak Earnings Might Cause Aurora Cannabis Stock to Keep Falling appeared first on InvestorPlace.
It goes without saying that Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) has endured a rough summer. Market leadership could not compensate for falling multiples, earnings and revenue misses, and a CEO firing. Canopy Growth has bounced back from near-term lows. Still, it remains too early to tell whether that bounce represents a pause in the decline or a genuine turnaround. Until investors can get a clear direction on CGC stock, I recommend staying away for now.Source: Jarretera / Shutterstock.com Investors Should Prepare for a FallCanopy Growth, and the marijuana industry overall, wants to put this summer behind them. Since the end of April, CGC stock has lost nearly half of its value. Differences with investor Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) cost CEO Bruce Linton his job. Moreover, a massive revenue and earnings miss for the second quarter only added to the pain.Unfortunately, the fall could bring a further fall. The price of dried cannabis has failed to gain traction as inventories rise. Further, the cash position of CGC continues to fall as it fell by 36% over the previous two quarters.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 10 Healthcare Stocks to Buy Despite the Headlines Furthermore, despite the decline, CGC remains expensive. It currently trades at about 37.2 times sales. In the recent past, such a multiple did not phase investors. However, we have dealt with a market where peers such as Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB), Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), and Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) have also seen their stocks drop.Moreover, the profit picture looks increasingly bleak. For the next fiscal year, analysts had predicted a profit of 31 Canadian cents (24 cents) per share 90 days ago. Now, that estimate has become a loss of 75 Canadian cents per share. That will place further pressure on its cash and could lead to more debt or more stock issuance in a climate of falling prices. Don't Bet on Quick LegalizationSo what would revive Canopy Growth stock? InvestorPlace contributor Will Ashworth argued that Trump legalizing weed across the country would boost both his re-election chances and CGC.I happen to agree in principle. I also like that CGC positioned itself to jump into the U.S. with the Acreage Holdings (OTCMKTS:ACRGF) purchase once weed becomes legalized. However, we have to operate in the environment we have, not the one we want. Hence, I do not recommend investing based on that piece unless the political winds change direction. While sudden legalization, especially in the U.S., would help Canopy Growth, investors should instead assume legal status comes to the developed world at a slower pace. How Should I Trade CGC?In my view, investors should exit their positions in CGC for now. In the near term, the industry probably faces multiple compression. Investors should not expect the market to grant Canopy Growth stock any type of immunity. Even though fall will arrive soon, investors need to prepare for winter and probably a more permanent climate of lower valuations.Still, once the market stops selling off CGC, I see the equity as a lucrative long-term investment. First, I believe this industry downturn will ultimately benefit CGC stock. Countries across the world continue to march toward legalization.Canada's strict regulatory structure on the marijuana industry has generally not done its companies any favors. However, they helped hugely by seeing the trend toward legalization early and moving first to embrace it. Now, Canopy Growth can use its dominant position in Canada to achieve early mover status in places such as Europe. This process will only speed up should the U.S. move toward legal status more quickly than anticipated.Moreover, the downturn will lead to an industry shakeout. In this downturn, the more financially-troubled firms will have to sell out to larger firms such as Canopy Growth, in many cases on the cheap. Others will simply close their doors. Either way, over the next few years, CGC will face much fewer competitors at home. * 10 Stocks to Sell in Market-Cursed September Canopy Growth stock has become dead money in the near term. However, once it endures a harsh winter, I think it will spring forward to massive long-term gains.As of this writing, Will Healy did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned stocks. You can follow Will on Twitter at @HealyWriting. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Stocks to Sell in Market-Cursed September * 7 of the Worst IPO Stocks in 2019 * 7 Best Stocks That Crushed It This Earnings Season The post Time to Write Off Canopy Growth Stock in the Short Term appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Cannabis ETFs the ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF and the Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences Index ETF were up 0.7% and 0.4%, respectively, at 2:15 PM today.
After Tilray's second-quarter earnings, Benchmark reduced its target price to $80 from $120. Cowen and Company reduced the target price to $60 from $150.
Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) stock remains overvalued. Despite cannabis sector's summer selloff, CRON stock still trades at a premium to peers. But with recent acquisitions, the company's future prospect may start to meet expectations. Last month's acquisition of several U.S.-based CBD businesses could help bolster the company's growth strategy.Source: Shutterstock But what makes CRON stock a better pick than the rest? Peers such as Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) and Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) are not without their flaws. But both sell at more reasonable valuations.Is there opportunity with Altria Group (NYSE:MO) backed Cronos? Or should investors seek cannabis plays elsewhere? Let's take a closer look at Cronos Group stock.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips What's The Latest at CRON?In August, Cronos Group purchased 4 U.S.-based CBD businesses from Redwood Holding Group. The most notable asset purchased in this deal was the Lord Jones brand of CBD-infused skincare products. In the U.S., marijuana has yet to be legalized on the federal level. But CBD is fully legal. Gaining a toehold in the American market via CBD is just the first step. * Take Buffett's Advice: 5 Vanguard Funds to Buy But Capitol Hill is moving slow on legalization. Without access to banking services, "Big Pot" in the United States remains a pipe dream (for now). This didn't stop Altria Group from making a big bet on Cronos. Altria (parent of Phillip Morris USA and a major investor in vaping giant Juul) made a $1.8 billion investment. This gave the tobacco giant a big seat at the table.The relationship with Altria helps Cronos with their vaping product strategy. But the health effects of vaping have dominated the headlines. However, as InvestorPlace contributor Josh Enomoto wrote on September 10, the "vaping crisis" could cool down over time. But with these challenges, its tough to see a clear path to profitability. With the stock trading at such a high enterprise value/sales ratio, Cronos needs to hit it out of the park to "grow into its valuation". Cronos Remains Extremely OvervaluedCRON stock continues to trade at a premium. The company's enterprise value/sales (EV/Sales) ratio is a staggering 109.9. For comparison, Aurora Cannabis trades at an EV/sales ratio of 51.6. Canopy Growth shares change hands at a EV/sales ratio of 40.1. Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) has an EV/sales ratio of 32.9. Aphria (NYSE:APHA) sells at a relatively reasonable EV/sales ratio of 9.8.Is Crono's premium valuation all thanks to Altria? Having America's biggest tobacco company on your side is a plus. But it is no guarantee of U.S. market domination. The deal was highly dilutive for Cronos shareholders. Altria received a slug of warrants along with their investment. These warrants have a strike price of $19/share. This is well above Crono's current price of $11.73/share. But the high amount of warrants outstanding minimizes upside.But this deal gave Cronos plenty of capital. As of June 30, 2019, CRON had CAD $1.6 billion in cash, and CAD $745 million in short-term investments. Even after the recent asset purchases, the company has plenty of money to fuel growth. Additional capital raises are unlikely. The company is operating at a loss. But it is not hemorrhaging money as quickly as its peers. This means downside is limited. But with upside challenges, it is tough to see the value in CRON stock. Look Elsewhere For a Pot PlayI am still waiting for pot stocks to reach lower valuations. But you may be more keen on placing a bet on the cannabis sector. If you are looking for a pot play, look at any other stock but Cronos. The company continues to trade at a mind-boggling valuation. It has a logical strategic partner (a tobacco company). But it remains unclear how this will translate into a market edge.I have been bearish on both Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth. But at least both of these companies offer a clearer path to success. Among the other major marijuana stocks, companies like Aphria stand out for their reasonable valuation. * 10 Stocks to Sell in Market-Cursed September It may pay to take your time with marijuana stocks. Valuations could reach more reasonable valuations down the road. But if you are looking for a pot play today, look at anything else but Cronos Group stock.As of this writing, Thomas Niel did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Stocks to Sell in Market-Cursed September * 7 of the Worst IPO Stocks in 2019 * 7 Best Stocks That Crushed It This Earnings Season The post Stay Far Away From CRON Stock Until Its Valuation Comes Down appeared first on InvestorPlace.
A few weeks ago I shared an opinion on Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) stock when it had upside potential. The celebration was short since after a just a brief pop, the whole cannabis sector fell apart in heavy selling. ACB, Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), Cronos (NYSE:CRON), and ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (NYSEARCA:MJ) stocks all fell 10% to 20% in a matter of hours.Needless to say, consequently, the ACB stock bulls left a $3 potential spike on the table. The good news is that they have since found footing and now again there is another upside opportunity in the making.The pot stocks are still in the process of recovering the losses. Aurora Cannabis stock looks relatively strong among them in this effort. Even with its recent misfortunes, Aurora Cannabis stock is still up 21% year-to-date. So a few bad days on a chart don't necessarily kill the whole story of a stock.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 10 Stocks to Sell in Market-Cursed September In my last Aurora Cannabis stock write-up, I also noted that equities in general were headed into geopolitical headline hell, so it was a risky trade at the time. The idea was that ACB had support below $6 per share so that the bulls had a solid base from which to spring.The good news is that this latest test proved that support held. In spite of resistance above, there should be another attempt at a rally in ACB stock even from here. Aurora Cannabis Stock Still Eyeing $8For almost four months, Aurora Cannabis stock has slid inside a descending channel of lower highs and lower lows. This last dip from mid-August may have forced the issue because it formed a short-term bottom.If so, then all the ACB bulls need to do is maintain a series of higher highs to close above $6.4 per share. Then they would retake the reins and have the opportunity to finally breakout from the descending trend. The result would be the opportunity to target $8 per share or higher. Aurora Cannabis is a momentum stock so it runs fast enough that they could plow through resistance.I caution against heavy conviction in this trade. The fundamentals for ACB and the entire sector are horrendous. ACB stock sells at 140 times sales so it is very bloated from the traditional sense. Unless the investor knows otherwise, I treat this like a trade and not an investment and set tight stops.The important levels below are between $5.9 and $5.6 per share. Below that and ACB could easily lose another dollar, so traders need to be nimble on bad days. Because just like there is upside potential to $8, there is downside risk to $5 or lower.The mid-term technical oscillators and price-to-moving-averages relationships support the theory that there is an upswing in momentum brewing: One that could fuel this rally in Aurora Cannabis stock. Experts in the field remain unanimous in their optimism.But again I caution about the nature of the opportunity. This is a speculative stock. Unless the timeline is long for the bet, traders need to be spry and aware of the levels. Bottom Line on ACB StockThese are risky stocks. This is nothing against ACB, but this industry didn't even exist just mere months ago. Furthermore, it is still illegal in the United States. Yes, there are states that have legalized marijuana but the federal government still has not followed suit.The enthusiasm on Wall Street for these stocks stems from the wide application for cannabis. Recreational use is already popular but investors' interests extend far beyond that. Companies from all industries are interested in cannabis including the medical, cosmetics, dermatology, beverage, food, and many more industries. It's only a matter of time before it finds its way to retail store shelves.Long term, the game changer source of optimism will probably be a favorable change in U.S. federal law. Imagine what ACB stock and its brethren would do if the U.S. follows Canada and legalizes cannabis nationwide.Nicolas Chahine is the managing director of SellSpreads.com. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Join his live chat room for free here. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Stocks to Sell in Market-Cursed September * 7 of the Worst IPO Stocks in 2019 * 7 Best Stocks That Crushed It This Earnings Season The post Aurora Cannabis Stock Still Eyeing $8 appeared first on InvestorPlace.