|Bid||0.00 x 0|
|Ask||0.00 x 0|
|Day's Range||74.65 - 75.32|
|52 Week Range||61.80 - 79.42|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.14%|
Between July 12 and July 19, US equity indexes’ correlation with US crude oil September futures was as follows: The S&P 500’s (SPY) was 20.6%. The S&P Mid-Cap 400’s (IVOO) was 84.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s (DIA) was -10.1%.
Between July 12 and 19, major energy ETFs’ correlation with US crude oil August futures was as follows: The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF’s (XOP) was 98.1%. The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF’s (XLE) was 90.8%. The VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF’s (OIH) was 75.3%. The Alerian MLP ETF’s (AMLP) was 68.7%.
ION Geophysical’s (IO) YTD (year-to-date) returns were 29.4% until July 19. In comparison, the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) has increased 4.0% YTD. XLE tracks an index of US energy companies in the S&P 500 Index. The VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH) witnessed -1.6% YTD returns. OIH tracks an index of 25 oilfield equipment and services companies. ION Geophysical has outperformed XLE and OIH since the beginning of 2018.
Schlumberger Limited (NYSE: SLB) is the world’s leading oilfield services company. It provides customers with everything from physical equipment, such as drill bits and drilling rigs, to project management and the software to monitor a drilling rig or oilfield.
The S&P 500 Index fell ~0.4% to 2,804.49 on July 19. The index fell due to disappointing second-quarter earnings results from some of the S&P 500 companies and escalating trade tensions between the US and Europe. The European Union could impose tariffs on goods imported from the US. Six out of the 11 key sectors in the S&P 500 fell on July 19.
The Census Bureau releases a monthly report on retail sales in the United States. The report is an early estimate of the sales for the surveyed month.
The current implied volatility in Whiting Petroleum (WLL) is ~57.24%—0.49% higher than its 15-day average of 56.96%. In contrast, the broader energy sector, represented by the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), has an implied volatility of ~17.8%—5.86% lower than the 15-day average of ~18.91%.
Whiting Petroleum (WLL) stock has been increasing since the beginning of this year. The stock has risen ~82.93% since the beginning of 2018 and 144% on a year-over-year basis.
Yesterday, the EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) released its oil inventory report. It reported that US crude oil inventories increased by 5.8 MMbbls (million barrels) to 411 MMbbls between July 6 and 13, but fell by ~80 MMbbls (16.2%) YoY (year-over-year). A Reuters survey had earlier estimated that US crude oil inventories fell 3.6 MMbbls last week.
The S&P 500 rose ~0.2% to 2,815.62 yesterday, its highest closing since February 1, supported by US banking stocks’ better-then-expected second-quarter results. Five out of the S&P 500’s 11 key sectors advanced yesterday. Meanwhile, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) rose ~0.2% to $281.06 yesterday, and E-Mini S&P 500 futures fell 0.04% in early morning trading today.
According to the EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration), natural gas inventories rose by 51 Bcf (billion cubic feet) to 2,203 Bcf in the week ended July 6. In the past five years, natural gas inventories have risen by an average of ~77 Bcf at this time of the year. However, on July 12, natural gas August futures fell 1.1% because of supply concerns.
Anadarko Petroleum (APC) stock has been on a significant uptrend this year due to the rally in crude oil prices (DBO). Anadarko Petroleum was also supported by strong first-quarter earnings. In the fourth quarter of 2017, Anadarko Petroleum’s EPS was positive for the first time since the first quarter of 2016.
August WTI oil futures contracts fell 0.7% in early morning trading on July 18. Brent and WTI crude oil futures rose ~0.5% and ~0.03%, respectively, on July 17.
The S&P 500 rose ~0.4% to 2,809.55 on July 17—the highest closing since February 1. The index rose due to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s bullish comments about strong US economic growth. The expectations of strong second-quarter earnings results also helped the index.
Oil exploration and production companies, which took the brunt of the hit during the crude selling, have benefited the most as prices rebounded, but ETF investors should begin to think about taking a more ...
The Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) , the largest equity-based energy ETF, is up about 5% year-to-date, but XLE and rival energy ETFs will be tested as the sector's second-quarter earnings reports start rolling in. “Q2 estimates moved up modestly since the quarter got underway, but the positive revisions were primarily because of the Energy sector. Excluding the Energy sector, estimates for the quarter would be modestly down in the last 10 weeks,” according to Direxion.
Hedge funds’ net bullish positions in US crude oil futures and options decreased 0.1% to 433,938 on July 3–10. However, the positions are near the highest level since April 17. The positions increased by 255,284 contracts or 143% YoY (year-over-year). Hedge funds’ net bullish positions in US crude oil futures and options suggests that they remain bullish towards oil prices.
The outlook for crude-oil prices has been clouded by a bevy of concerns on both the supply and the demand sides. All that news has weighed on oil prices, pushing the global benchmark Brent crude down to near $72 per barrel, the lowest point since early April. Goldman Sachs' analyst Damien Courvalin wrote in a report published Monday: "Ultimately, global inventories are low, oil demand remains robust and we still expect a deficit once U.S. secondary sanctions are reintroduced.
WTI crude oil prices hit $74.15 per barrel on June 29—the highest level since November 2014. However, Brent and WTI oil prices fell 5.2% and 4.2%, respectively, during the last two weeks. WTI oil prices fell 3.8% last week. However, the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) rose 0.8% last week. The companies in XLE develop and produce crude oil and natural gas and other energy-related services.
The S&P 500 Index rose ~0.11% to 2,801.31 on July 13—the highest closing since February 1. The expectation of strong second-quarter earnings results has been driving the S&P 500. However, the escalating trade war between the US and China has limited the upside for the S&P 500. Six out of the 11 key sectors in the S&P 500 advanced on July 13.
Offshore drilling (XLE) companies are capital-intensive, so looking at their financial leverage is very important. The debt-to-equity ratio and net debt-to-EBITDA ratio show these companies’ financial leverage. A higher ratio means higher financial leverage and higher financial risk.
Although US steel prices and physical aluminum premiums have spiked this year after the Section 232 tariffs, metal prices have been largely subdued. Recently, seaborne iron ore prices fell to a multi-month low. Aluminum, zinc, and copper have also come under pressure amid concerns about the US-China trade war. Gold (GLD), which is generally seen as a safe-haven asset, has also been subdued. However, energy prices (XLE) have shown strength amid supply-side concerns due to looming Iran sanctions.
The summer of 2018 should've been the most bullish period for crude in several years, but both Brent and West Texas Intermediate have taken a beating on mounting concerns about what could disrupt equilibrium. Energy stocks have also taken a hit with the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) notching a 1.2% decline. The negative implications for crude prices are hard to ignore.