|Bid||0.00 x 0|
|Ask||0.00 x 0|
|Day's Range||72.48 - 73.84|
|52 Week Range||64.65 - 80.96|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||330.09|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.14%|
President Trump’s back and forth on the Trans-Pacific Partnership deal is raising new questions over whether the U.S. might try to get back in. Yahoo Finance’s Alexis Christoforous and Rick Newman answer your questions.
Are Tax Cuts and Deregulation Boosting Industrial Production? The Federal Reserve publishes capacity utilization data along with industrial production data for US industries every month. Capacity utilization change is one of the few economic indicators that acts as a leading indicator for the economy and helps in predicting changes to the US business cycle.
Are Tax Cuts and Deregulation Boosting Industrial Production? The Federal Reserve released the March industrial production report last week. The report indicated that industrial production rose 0.5% in March as compared to stellar growth of 1.1% in February.
What Do March Leading Indicators Signal for the US Economy? The Institute of Supply Management (or ISM) publishes a monthly manufacturing (FIDU) report on changes to new orders, supplier deliveries, inventories, production, and employment. The ISM New Orders Index is one of the 11 indexes constructed using this survey data.
What Do March Leading Indicators Signal for the US Economy? The US Bureau of Labor Statistics conducts the monthly establishment survey and reports the number of hours worked by the manufacturing (FXR) sector workers. Manufacturing (IYJ) companies’ provisions for longer hours in response to increased demand for their products is a sign that the aggregate demand in the economy is improving.
On April 17, Genesee & Wyoming (GWR) published its freight volume data, which pertained to the North American region, the UK-European region, and the Australian region. In March, its freight volumes for the same railroad operations in those regions were ~279,300 railcars. That’s a decline of ~4% from ~290,800 units in March 2017. On a reported volume basis, its railcar volume was down 3.7% in March YoY (year-over-year).
Analysts expect Boeing (BA) to post adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $2.56 in 1Q18, representing 27.2% growth YoY (year-over-year). In fiscal 2018, they expect the company to report adjusted EPS of $14.10, reflecting 37% growth from its adjusted EPS of $10.30 in 2017. Boeing has guided for adjusted EPS of $13.80–$14.
B. Riley FBR chief market strategist Art Hogan believes strong market and economic fundamentals will prevail over rising rates and geopolitical risks.
Honeywell International (HON) reported revenue of $10.4 billion in 1Q18, marking a 9.5% increase from 1Q17. Honeywell beat analysts’ estimate of $10.0 billion and marked its highest-ever first-quarter revenue. Since 2012, Honeywell’s first quarter revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 2.2%. Its product sales rose 9.2% in 1Q18, and its service sales rose 10.5%.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics releases a monthly report that tracks price trends in wholesale markets. Industries from the manufacturing sector (XLI) are surveyed for changes in input prices, and this survey data is used to construct the PPI (Producer Price Index). The survey comprises questions on raw material prices, production levels, and finished goods.
3M (MMM) is expected to post an adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $2.51 in 1Q18—an increase of 16.2% compared to 1Q17. In 1Q17, 3M reported an adjusted EPS of $2.16. If 3M can beat Wall Street analysts’ expectations, it would continue its trend of beating the estimates in every quarter last year.
There was a time when GE Capital paid dividends to General Electric (GE). After some significant disclosures, GE took a $6.2 billion hit in GE Capital’s insurance portfolio. GE also declared that it would inject $15.0 billion into the Capital business’s reserves over the next seven years.
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) is set to announce its 1Q18 earnings on April 20, 2018, before the market opens. It plans to hold a conference call that day at 8:00 AM EST. In this series, we’ll look at SWK’s stock performance since its 4Q17 earnings and analysts’ revenue and EPS (earnings per share) estimates and recommendations.
Honeywell (HON) is set to announce its 1Q18 earnings on April 20, 2018, before the market opens. It plans to hold a conference call that day, at 7:30 AM EST (Eastern Standard Time). In this series, we’ll look at Honeywell’s stock performance since its 4Q17 earnings, and analysts’ revenue and EPS (earnings per share) estimates and recommendations. We’ll also compare HON’s latest valuation and short interest with peers’.
Analysts expect CSX (CSX) to register an operating margin of 32.2% in 1Q18. This expectation represents a potential 1.4% expansion compared to last year’s operating margin of 30.8%. For 2018, analysts expect the company to attain an operating margin of 35.5%, indicating an expansion of 1.8% over its 2017 margin of 33.8%.
Although markets seem to be shaking off their initial worries about tariffs and their unintended consequences—especially as they have yet to go into effect—Wells Fargo's Jay Bryson warns that if they are ultimately enacted, it could lead to higher material, labor, and other overhead costs for a number of American industries, either directly or indirectly. Some of the sectors facing higher costs from tariffs seem fairly apparent, writes Bryson. For example, the aircraft manufacturing industry looks especially vulnerable, as some 67% of the input costs for the group are at risk of higher pricing, either directly or indirectly, from the announced list of tariffs.
The non-farm payrolls for March rose by 103,000, which was below the consensus expectation of 193,000 jobs being added and way below the February number of 326,000 jobs. The unemployment rate for March remained unchanged at 4.1%.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes a monthly report on US international trade in goods and services that details the changes in imports and exports. The latest report indicated that the goods and services deficit was $57.6 billion in February, an increase of $0.9 billion from $56.7 billion in January. The trade deficit is currently at a nine-year high, and this could be cited as one of the key reasons the Trump administration has taken steps to increase trade barriers.
As is evident from its policy decisions, which include rate cuts, trade wars, and the easing of lending via the amendment of the Dodd-Frank Act, the Trump administration is pushing for domestic manufacturing. Railroads (XLI) could see improved traction and consistent growth amid improving coal and industrial output in 2018. Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.B) BNSF consistently grew its business in 2017 on higher operating profits aided by investments made to improve efficiency.
The big swings have inevitably led to investors questioning if leaders like tech, or markets in general, are witnessing the end of the big bull run. By contrast, Calvasina believes that industrials are a better long-term buy, given dislocations from trade fears.
The smallest US Class I railroad, Kansas City Southern (KSU), reported a high-single-digit fall in its carload traffic in Week 13 of 2018, by 7.1% YoY (year-over-year). The company hauled ~23,500 carloads in 2018, ~1,800 fewer than in Week 13 of 2017. In contrast, US railroads’ (XLI) carload volumes rose 2.8%.