XOM - Exxon Mobil Corporation

NYSE - NYSE Delayed Price. Currency in USD
+0.30 (+0.40%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT

75.35 -0.02 (-0.03%)
After hours: 5:46PM EDT

Stock chart is not supported by your current browser
Previous Close75.07
Bid75.48 x 800
Ask75.46 x 1800
Day's Range74.75 - 75.76
52 Week Range64.65 - 87.36
Avg. Volume10,642,011
Market Cap319.049B
Beta (3Y Monthly)1.15
PE Ratio (TTM)17.37
Earnings DateN/A
Forward Dividend & Yield3.48 (4.64%)
Ex-Dividend Date2019-05-10
1y Target EstN/A
Trade prices are not sourced from all markets
  • Top Stock Reports for Microsoft, JPMorgan & Wells Fargo
    Zacks6 hours ago

    Top Stock Reports for Microsoft, JPMorgan & Wells Fargo

    Top Stock Reports for Microsoft, JPMorgan & Wells Fargo

  • Barrons.com10 hours ago

    Who Wins if the Fed Cuts Interest Rates? Try Oil Stocks.

    The impact of interest-rate cuts on oil stocks hasn’t always been clear-cut. But if the Federal Reserve does lower rates this month, the effect on economic growth could be good news for oil.

  • Why Exxon Mobil Stock Isn’t Too Compelling Here
    InvestorPlace13 hours ago

    Why Exxon Mobil Stock Isn’t Too Compelling Here

    When it comes to shares of Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), it's all about the market price of oil. When oil prices plunge -- like they did in 2015-16 amid escalating supply and slowing demand -= XOM stock plunges, too. Conversely, when oil prices rise -- like they did through the first few months of 2019 amid stabilizing demand and potential production cuts -- XOM stock rises, too.Source: Shutterstock As such, you should buy XOM stock when the outlook is for oil prices to rise in the foreseeable future. At the same time, you should avoid XOM stock when the outlook is for oil prices to fall.Unfortunately, at the current moment, the outlook for oil isn't too rosy. Supply is coming into the market at a record rate, and demand is being challenged by rising geopolitical tensions and adverse secular consumption trends. That combination ultimately implies that the most likely path forward for the price of oil is down.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsIf correct, then that means the most likely path forward for XOM stock is lower, too. That's why I'm avoiding XOM stock until the outlook for oil improves. As Goes Oil, So Goes Exxon Mobil StockThe XOM stock-oil price correlation isn't perfect, but it's pretty close. Just look at the chart below which layers XOM stock price on top of the WTI crude oil spot price over the past decade. Click to Enlarge As oil prices rebounded from their 2008 financial melt-down lows into the end of 2014, XOM stock similarly rallied from under $60, to above $100. Then, when oil prices tumbled throughout 2015 and into early 2016, XOM stock dropped from over $100, to $70. Oil prices rebounded in 2016, and XOM stock bounced back to nearly $100 again. * 7 Stocks Top Investors Are Buying Now To be sure, oil prices stayed in rally mode into 2018, but XOM stock failed to rally alongside rising crude prices because the stock was priced for oil to get back to its 2014 highs (they never did). Now, in 2019, as oil prices have risen and subsequently dropped, XOM stock has risen and subsequently dropped, too.In other words, over the past decade, Exxon Mobil's stock price has consistently tracked the price of oil, with one major exception (late 2016 to late 2018), and that was when XOM stock got ahead of itself and gains in oil remained sluggish.Importantly, over the past 10 years, Exxon Mobil stock has never staged a sustainable rally when oil prices were falling. Oil's Outlook Isn't GreatAt the moment, the outlook for oil prices is to keep falling for the foreseeable future.The price of oil -- as with the price of any other asset or commodity -- is determined by supply and demand. High supply plus low demand equals low prices. Low supply plus high demand equals high prices. * 10 Tech Stocks That Are Still Worth Your Time (And Money) On the supply side, the oil market is being flooded with new supply. U.S. oil output has been very strong this year. So has emerging market oil output. The result is that oil supply outstripped oil demand by 900,000 barrels per day in the first half of 2019, according to IEA. Thus, this market has high supply.Meanwhile, on the demand side, the global economy is heading into what many see as a manufacturing recession. The oil market gets a lot of demand from the manufacturing sector. So, as global manufacturing cools down, a major portion of the oil market's demand will remain weak. At the same time, electric vehicle adoption trends globally have accelerated in 2019, and that provides an additional demand headwind here. Simply put, the market has depressed demand.High supply and suppressed demand create an unfavorable outlook for the oil market going forward. Bottom Line on XOM StockOver the past decade, XOM stock has never staged a sustainable and sizable rally against the backdrop of falling oil prices. Unfortunately, the outlook over the next several months is for oil prices to fall. As such, it is highly unlikely that XOM stock heads higher anytime soon.As of this writing, Luke Lango did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Defense Stocks to Buy to Fortify Your Portfolio * 10 High-Flying, Overvalued Stocks in Danger of Crashing * 8 Stocks to Buy That Are Growing Faster Than Amazon The post Why Exxon Mobil Stock Isn't Too Compelling Here appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • GuruFocus.comyesterday

    Stordahl Capital Management, Inc. Buys Exxon Mobil Corp, Sells SPDR Select Sector Fund - Energy ...

    Investment company Stordahl Capital Management, Inc. (Current Portfolio) buys Exxon Mobil Corp, sells SPDR Select Sector Fund - Energy Select Sector during the 3-months ended 2019Q2, according to the most recent filings of the investment company, Stordahl Capital Management, Inc.. Continue reading...

  • Exxon Mobil (XOM) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know
    Zacks2 days ago

    Exxon Mobil (XOM) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know

    Exxon Mobil (XOM) closed at $75.07 in the latest trading session, marking a +0.11% move from the prior day.

  • The 10 Biggest Blue Chip Stocks
    Motley Fool2 days ago

    The 10 Biggest Blue Chip Stocks

    These top-quality stocks lead their industries, and they've been good to investors over the long run.

  • Will Chevron Outperform ExxonMobil in Q2?
    Market Realist2 days ago

    Will Chevron Outperform ExxonMobil in Q2?

    Chevron (CVX) and ExxonMobil (XOM) are scheduled to post their second-quarter earnings results on August 2.

  • Should You Invest in the Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY)?
    Zacks2 days ago

    Should You Invest in the Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY)?

    Sector ETF report for FENY

  • Financial Times2 days ago

    Wall Street ends higher as tech and oil stocks rally

    Technology stocks led the advance for the broader US market as investors kept an eye on the strained geopolitics of the Gulf. The S&P 500 finished 0.3 per cent higher on Monday, with an afternoon rally at one point putting up as much as 0.5 per cent. That also saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average turn positive and close fractionally higher, but it was tech names that led the way, with the Nasdaq Composite rising 0.7 per cent.

  • This Is the Reason I Won’t Buy Exxon Mobil Stock
    InvestorPlace5 days ago

    This Is the Reason I Won’t Buy Exxon Mobil Stock

    If there was one stock that I had to buy from the energy sector for capital gains, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) would surely not be in contention.Source: Shutterstock I would, however, consider Exxon Mobil stock if I were an income investor. The company's dividend payment has increased at a CAGR of 6.2% over the last 37 years.From a stock perspective, it is worth noting that Exxon Mobil stock has remained sideways to lower in the last 12 months. I believe that this trend can potentially sustain. Exxon Mobil stock is likely to underperform the broad energy sector.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips The Permian ConcernExxon Mobil is likely to focus on investments in the upstream segment between 2019 and 2025. To put things into perspective, the company plans upstream investment of $46 to $48 billion for 2019 and 2020. * 10 High-Flying, Overvalued Stocks in Danger of Crashing For the same period, the downstream investment is likely to be $9 billion. Investment in the chemicals business for the period will be $8 billion. Clearly, the revenue and EBITDA growth driver in the foreseeable future will be the upstream segment.Within the upstream segment, the company main focus is on the Permian asset. Exxon Mobil expects 2019-2025 growth to deliver incremental production of 2.5Moebd. Of the incremental production, 40% is expected to come from the Permian Basin.The company's resource base in the Permian is 10 billion barrels of oil equivalent. Exxon Mobil plans to increase Permian output to 1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2024.While these numbers look rosy, there are concerns related to the Permian Basin, which might translate into higher than expected cost and lower than expected production.The concerns related to the Permian are well summarized in this Bloomberg article. According to the article -"The constraints are manifold: pipeline limits, reduced flow from wells drilled too close together, low natural gas prices and high land costs. But the most consequential is that shale-well production falls off at such a high rate -- as much as 70% in the first year -- that you need to keep spending cash on new wells just to maintain output."Among the concerns, the cash spending to maintain output is the biggest concern. According to J. David Hughes, an earth scientist: "Of the $54 billion spent on tight oil plays in 2018, 70% served to offset field declines and 30% to increase production."With Exxon Mobil having significant asset presence in the Permian, it might end up spending more than estimated to ramp-up and maintain production at higher levels. This will dent the free cash flow estimates from the Permian asset.While Exxon Mobil can still address the infrastructure bottlenecks at the Permian, cost escalation will be a key challenge.I am also concerned because the global economy has slowed down and oil price is likely to stay sideways to lower in the foreseeable future. Asset Sale and Shareholder Value CreationThe concern related to the Permian Basin is likely to keep Exxon stock sideways. However, there is little doubt that dividend will sustain in the coming years.Exxon is plannning an asset sale worth $15 billion between 2019 and 2021. This will allow XOM to allocate free cash flow from core operations towards sustaining current dividend payout of $3.48 per share.Between 2019 and 2025, Exxon Mobil expects to generate $190 billion in free cash flow. The target is to allocate $100 billion toward Exxon's dividend. I believe that the company will pursue a share repurchase strategy for incremental value creation in the coming years. However, a lot will depend on price of crude oil and the possible escalation in cost in the Permian Basin to maintain production. Bottom Line on XOM StockAll that said, I am not entirely bearish on Exxon Mobil stock. If you're an income investor, you should still consider allocating a portion of your portfolio to buying XOM shares … However, I am skeptical about potential upside in Exxon stock due to the headwinds related to the Permian Basin. In addition, if the economic slowdown worsens, oil prices may trend lower, compressing the company's EBITDA margin and cash flows.Besides the upstream segment, Exxon Mobil plans to trigger sales growth in the chemical segment through new performance products. The company delivered eight innovative products in the segment in 2018. With focus on innovation, the segment growth is likely to be steady. However, the upstream segment is likely to dictate the stock price trend.In conclusion, I would wait for production rampup results in the Permian Basin before any chasing meaningful exposure to XOM stock. At the same time, any sharp corrections due to economic factors would make for a prime buying opportunity in Exxon Mobil shares.As of this writing, Faisal Humayun did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Tech Stocks That Are Still Worth Your Time (And Money) * 7 Marijuana Stocks With Critical Levels to Watch * 7 of the Best Smart-Beta ETFs to Target Right Now The post This Is the Reason I Won't Buy Exxon Mobil Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • This Integrated Energy Stock Has the Most Potential
    Market Realist5 days ago

    This Integrated Energy Stock Has the Most Potential

    As oil prices get volatile, it's imperative to know integrated energy stocks' outlook. Analysts’ mean price targets for Chevron (CVX), Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A), ExxonMobil (XOM), BP (BP), Total (TOT), and Suncor Energy (SU) suggest that SU has the highest upside potential of 36%. TOT and RDS.A follow with 32% and 29% upside potential. This […]

  • Stable Dividend, Minimal Growth Makes Exxon Mobil Stock a Hold
    InvestorPlace5 days ago

    Stable Dividend, Minimal Growth Makes Exxon Mobil Stock a Hold

    Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) stock is treading water. After rallying from roughly $69 in January up to over $83 in April, shares in the oil and gas giant have dipped below the $75 level.Source: Shutterstock While offering a solid dividend yield, a lack of catalysts means the XOM stock price will likely stay within the $70 to $80 trading range. Read on to see why Exxon Mobil stock continues to be a hold. Downstream Business Facing ChallengesFor the first quarter of 2019, the big oil firm saw quarterly earnings fall from $6 billion to $2.35 billion. Downstream (refining) was the biggest cause of the earnings decline.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsOne-time events such as asset sales in Q4 can explain some of the downstream earnings decline. But the lion's share was due to lower refining margins. The downstream segment went from a $2.7 billion profit in Q4 2018 to a $256 million loss in Q1 2019. * 7 Stocks Top Investors Are Buying Now Scheduled maintenance was another factor in the downstream unit's weak performance. Moreover, the company expects to spend similar amounts on maintenance in Q2. Upstream Offers Stability in XOM StockWhile the downstream business faces headwinds, upstream provides some positives for the XOM stock price. The company continues to increase production in the Permian Basin. Exxon Mobil's exploration off the coast of Guyana has also yielded strong production opportunities.In their June 2019 JP Morgan Energy Conference presentation, Guyana and other projects provide a high internal rate of return with a low breakeven rate. The company's expertise in developing new production partially outweighs the cyclicality of the downstream refining business.The relative strength of the exploration and production segment has blunted refining challenges. But additional weakness across Exxon Mobil's other business lines could hurt Q2 results. Q2 Earnings OutlookExxon Mobil is scheduled to release Q2 earnings in early August. While the company expects improved refining margins, this may not be enough to counter additional issues. Analysts project the oil firm's natural gas and chemical businesses to lower operating earnings.A decline in natural gas prices offsets an estimated $400 million to $600 million boost to Exxon Mobil's profitability from increased crude oil prices. Low margins and continued maintenance negatively impact the chemical unit.While earnings growth does not appear to be in the cards, there is a positive takeaway: Exxon Mobil stock continues to pay out a solid dividend, providing income-oriented investors a strong reason to consider a position. XOM Remains a Dividend AristocratExxon Mobil stock has seen annual dividend increases for 37 consecutive years. The five-year average growth rate of the dividend is 5.6%. With a current dividend yield of 4.6%, XOM stock is a solid opportunity for passive-income investors.The XOM stock price receives strong price support from the dividend. This somewhat coerces Exxon Mobil to continue the payouts to keep shareholders happy.Without a long-time rise in oil prices, it may be tough for XOM to continue growing the dividend. However, thanks to continued global demand for oil, the company may have the long-term earnings growth necessary to sustain approximately six annual dividend increases.But can investors count on the dividend yield alone to deliver value? Is the current valuation sustainable, or could the XOM stock price see additional declines? Let's see how Exxon Mobil compares to its peers: Exxon Mobil Stock Overvalued Relative to PeersAt the current XOM stock price, the company trades for 20.2-times forward earnings, and an enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA ratio of 9.7. This valuation appears stretched relative to the company's integrated oil and gas rivals:BP (NYSE: BP): 13-times trailing earnings, EV/EBITDA of 6Chevron (NYSE: CVX): 16.9-times forward earnings, EV/EBITDA of 8ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP): 12.4-times forward earnings, EV/EBITDA of 4.8Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A): 11-times earnings, EV/EBITDA of 5.9One may think that the XOM stock premium is the result of a high dividend. But Exxon Mobil stock does not have the highest yield: For instance, BP has a 6.26% yield, while Royal Dutch Shell sports a 5.94% yield. And Chevron and ConocoPhillips aren't too far behind at 3.83% and 2.04%, respectively.Therefore, looking at both earnings power and dividend yield, it is crystal clear Exxon Mobil stock is not an outstanding opportunity for value or dividend investors. Bottom Line: Exxon Mobil Stock Is a HoldExxon Mobil stock has been hammered by weak refining margins. Despite these risks, XOM stock trades at a premium to its fellow integrated oil and gas companies.The company continues to be a dividend aristocrat, raising the payout for the 37th consecutive year. The dividend yield is solid, but not as high as those paid by BP and Royal Dutch Shell.With improved refining margins, Q2 earnings (anticipated for early August) could satisfy investors. However, weakness in natural gas and chemicals could outweigh a rebound in refining margins.With upside questionable but downside protected by the dividend play, XOM stock is a hold. Investors should consider entering a position if the company starts trading at a discount to its peers.As of this writing, Thomas Niel did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Tech Stocks That Are Still Worth Your Time (And Money) * 7 Marijuana Stocks With Critical Levels to Watch * 7 of the Best Smart-Beta ETFs to Target Right Now The post Stable Dividend, Minimal Growth Makes Exxon Mobil Stock a Hold appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Barrons.com6 days ago

    Exxon Stock Is Too Rich, Analyst Says, and Falling Out of Favor

    RBC Capital Markets analyst Biraj Borkhataria worries that the company’s results will be hurt by weaker earnings in areas such as chemicals and refining.

  • Investing.com6 days ago

    Oil Slumps Almost 3% As Trump Tries Peace With Iran

    By Barani Krishnan

  • U.S. Oil Stocks Fall for a Fifth Week, Fuel Supplies Swell
    Zacks6 days ago

    U.S. Oil Stocks Fall for a Fifth Week, Fuel Supplies Swell

    Production shut-in and loss of imports forced by Hurricane Barry led to the stockpile draw with the world's biggest oil consumer even as lower refinery crude runs capped the decline.

  • Reuters7 days ago

    UPDATE 1-Australia's Santos posts record production in second quarter

    Australia's No 2 independent gas producer Santos Ltd said on Thursday it had clocked record gas production in the second quarter on stronger output across its Western Australia gas assets. Santos now expects annual sales of 90-97 mmboe and production of 73-77 mmboe. Santos also realized lower prices over the quarter.

  • Equinor Brings Online Trestakk Oilfield in Norwegian Sea
    Zacks7 days ago

    Equinor Brings Online Trestakk Oilfield in Norwegian Sea

    Equinor's (EQNR) final cost of starting Trestakk subsea field production is estimated at NOK 5 billion.

  • Why $70 Looks Like a Floor for Exxon Stock
    InvestorPlace7 days ago

    Why $70 Looks Like a Floor for Exxon Stock

    From a capital appreciation standpoint, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) stock has been a disappointment. Over the last decade, the XOM stock price has gained 12.5%. During that period, Exxon Mobil stock has badly lagged the S&P 500, which has returned a sizzling 223%.Source: Shutterstock But for investors focused on income, XOM actually hasn't been a terrible play. Exxon Mobil's dividends have more than doubled from a total of $1.66 per share in 2009 to what should be $3.48 in 2019. Investors' total return from Exxon Mobil stock has averaged 4.3% per year. * 8 Penny Stocks That Have Fallen From Grace That's still disappointing, since the S&P 500 has returned almost 15% annually, including dividends. But it's not terrible in an environment in which U.S. Treasuries have yielded less than 3% most of the time.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsWe're still in that environment, with the 10-year Treasury yielding just 2.1%.It's true that buying a stock just for its yield can be very dangerous, as previous income darlings like General Electric (NYSE:GE), Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC), and Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE:BUD) all have cut their dividends recently.But Exxon Mobil doesn't have the debt problem those companies did (and still do) have. And while XOM stock has exposure to crude oil prices, it also uses a hedge to protect its profits. As a result, XOM stock price probably won't fall below $70 for long. And that makes XOM stock, currently at $75.50, an interesting play for income-focused investors in general and value-oriented, income-focused investors in particular. Why $70 Is a Key Level for XOM Stock PriceXOM hiked its quarterly dividend to $0.87 in May. That, in turn, suggests that investors are receiving $3.48 per share of XOM stock annually. And so, if the XOM stock price reaches $69.60, the stock would offer a yield of exactly 5%.It's difficult to see Exxon Mobil stock consistently yielding more than 5% for a few reasons. First, that type of yield is noticeable and usually not offered by relatively safe stocks. Of the Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks, only Dow (NYSE:DOW) and IBM (NYSE:IBM) offer higher yields. Both companies have real challenges (Dow is facing cyclical pressure and IBM has long-running growth problems).In the S&P 500, there are 35 components with higher yields. All have warts, among them AT&T (NYSE:T) and its debt load and Altria (NYSE:MO) which is facing concerns about long-term demand for its products.The second reason is that, historically, XOM stock has hardly ever yielded 5%. Its yield peaked at 5.5% during the 1987 market crash and touched 5% a few times through the early 1990s.But that was a very dark time in the crude oil markets, which had crashed after their early 1980s boom. Meanwhile, interest rates were much, much higher; investors could get 7% to 9% yields from10-year Treasuries.Without that alternative, a 5% yield from XOM stock is going to look very attractive. Indeed, in late May, as XOM and other oil stocks sold off, XOM stock bottomed just above $70. A bounce in crude prices helped, but it's likely that at least some investors saw the yield nearing 5% and pounced. Exxon Mobil Stock Is Safer Than It AppearsOf course, the question is whether Exxon Mobil stock really is safe. A 5% yield - or even a 4% yield - is attractive in this market. But what happens when crude prices plunge?The answer is that XOM's earnings will decline, but in a mostly manageable fashion. As I've written before, Exxon Mobil's "downstream'" operations - notably in refining - and its chemicals business provide an internal hedge. That's why XOM stock actually is a poor play on oil prices. But it's also why XOM stock didn't fall that far when the shale bust hit in 2016 - and why the company was relatively unscathed during the fourth quarter of 2018, which was disastrous for many oil and gas companies.If oil prices rise, XOM's upstream business will thrive and its downstream business will take a hit. When oil prices fall, the reverse is (usually) true. Despite this hedge, the XOM stock price is boosted by higher crude prices, as seen in 2014 when XOM stock hit an all-time high. But even amid a plunge in prices two years later, Exxon Mobil's dividend continued to rise,.XOM stock isn't risk-free. But Exxon's earnings easily cover the current dividend of XOM stock. The odds of XOM executing a GE-style dividend cut are slim, even with crude and natural gas prices relatively low. And this is an environment where, as I noted just last week, investors usually have to stretch for yield. If XOM is yielding 5% and 10-year Treasuries have a 2.1% yield, many investors are going to buy XOM stock. The TradeFor income investors, then, XOM looks reasonably attractive at $75.50. Its valuation is reasonable, at 14.4 times analysts' average forward earnings estimate. And XOM still looks poised to deliver further growth, as its CEO, Darren Wood, last year set a target of doubling the company's earnings by 2025.For traders, there's an intriguing option trade to be made as well. A bull put spread at $70 (selling the $70 put and buying a lower-priced put for protection) can offer double-digit returns or better, depending on the expiration date. That's essentially a bet that the XOM stock price won't be under $70 at expiration, which seems a nice bet to make at the moment.But there are some risks facing XOM stock at the moment. The U.S. presidential election could pressure XOM stock if a "green" Democrat was to win or even starts to gain momentum. A plunge in oil prices is another risk: Exxon Mobil does have hedges, but XOM stock still fell when crude collapsed in 2016.But there's risk everywhere when the market is at all-time highs, particularly for income investors. Getting a 4%+ yield from Exxon Mobil stock is one of the better risk-reward options out there at the moment. And that's precisely the point: investors aren't going to let a yield above 4% last for long. XOM stock isn't going to be the biggest gainer in the market over the next six months or the next three years. But, at the right price, it's an attractive dividend play.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 9 Retail Stocks Goldman Sachs Says Are Ready to Rip * 7 Services Stocks to Buy for the Rest of 2019 * 6 Stocks to Buy and 1 to Sell Based on Insider Trading The post Why $70 Looks Like a Floor for Exxon Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • This Very Well May Be the Beginning of the End for Exxon Stock
    InvestorPlace7 days ago

    This Very Well May Be the Beginning of the End for Exxon Stock

    Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) Has been an energy stalwart for decades and Exxon stock has paid off pretty well, but the company's continued success increasingly looks unlikely.Source: Shutterstock Almost 40 years ago I was convinced to leave Houston by an economist who had modeled how the local economy might do with rising, stable, or falling oil prices. In all three scenarios, Houston went into recession.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThe early 1980s were indeed tough on Houston, but it came back stronger than ever. Houston today has about 2.3 million people. When I left in 1981 there were about 1.6 million. Houston is still an oil town like Detroit is a car town. For years its center was the Exxon Building, built in 1963. Early in this decade the company moved to Irving, near Dallas the smell of oil, or an oil refinery, still smells like money to me.The question is, for how long? * 9 Retail Stocks Goldman Sachs Says Are Ready to Rip Falling Demand and Exxon StockDemand growth for oil is slowing. The International Energy Agency (IEA) keeps cutting its demand forecast. It now predicts a huge glut in 2020. Exxon, which dominates the U.S. shale oil market, gets a lot of the blame. There's an assumption built into the IEA forecast, however, that shale will play out and demand will return.Maybe they're wrong. Electric cars are now displacing hundreds of thousands of barrels of demand each day. China is preparing for a boom in electric cars and is building charging infrastructure to meet demand. Buyers will have dozens of models to choose from next year.Electricity demand is rising around the world but so is renewable energy production. That's not counting the cheapest form of renewable energy, efficiency. LEDs take less energy to run than fluorescent bulbs. Putting intelligence into factories, stores and homes reduces demand. Exxon Stock and EfficienciesEfficiency has also hit the oil patch.That's why Exxon Mobil has remained profitable as prices have averaged $60 per barrel in the last half of this decade. Low oil prices have made Exxon stock a "dividend aristocrat," its 87 cents per share dividend now yielding nearly 4.5%, backed by earnings of $4.88 per share last year.Exxon hopes to drop the price of producing shale oil in its Permian Basin operations to as low as $15 per barrel. That may be below even Saudi Arabia's costs. While the IEA still sees demand increasing about 1 million barrels per day in the future, Exxon is becoming the dominant player in a very slow-growth market.What's keeping oil prices up right now are international tensions. A war with Iran, which could block the Strait of Hormuz through which Saudi oil flows, might result in a hybrid war against tankers, pipelines, and other infrastructure. In this case, Exxon's U.S. supplies will get top dollar from global buyers.But what if peace breaks out? What happens when the war ends? Fundamentals will re-assert themselves. Between 1980 and 1986 oil prices fell by two-thirds, from a peak of $120 per barrel to an average of about $40. The Bottom Line on Exxon StockExxon Mobil's best hope for profit in the near term is a protracted struggle over oil supplies, a threat of war that will keep China and other importers paying top dollar.But the long-term supply-demand equation is running against Exxon. These are the good old days.Exxon Mobil next reports earnings on Aug. 2, with 88 cents per share expected on revenue of $74.45 billion. That barely makes the dividend, even with cheap Texas crude and the prospect of still more from its recent Guyana finds.War might be good in the short term, but peace looks like a struggle for the Kings of the Oilpatch. The 1980s may be coming back and, this time, they may not leave. Don't believe me? Pick up some Exxon at about $77 per share and get back to me in five years.Dana Blankenhorn is a financial and technology journalist. He is the author of the mystery thriller, The Reluctant Detective Finds Her Family, available at the Amazon Kindle store. Write him at danablankenhorn@gmail.com or follow him on Twitter at @danablankenhorn. As of this writing he owned no shares in companies mentioned in this article. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 9 Retail Stocks Goldman Sachs Says Are Ready to Rip * 7 Services Stocks to Buy for the Rest of 2019 * 6 Stocks to Buy and 1 to Sell Based on Insider Trading The post This Very Well May Be the Beginning of the End for Exxon Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Exxon Mobil (XOM) Dips More Than Broader Markets: What You Should Know
    Zacks8 days ago

    Exxon Mobil (XOM) Dips More Than Broader Markets: What You Should Know

    Exxon Mobil (XOM) closed at $75.93 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.49% move from the prior day.

  • Jefferies Cuts Price Targets for XOM, CVX, Shell
    Market Realist8 days ago

    Jefferies Cuts Price Targets for XOM, CVX, Shell

    Jefferies has cut its target prices for integrated energy stocks ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A).

  • EU imposes sanctions against Turkey over gas drilling off Cyprus
    MarketWatch9 days ago

    EU imposes sanctions against Turkey over gas drilling off Cyprus

    European Union foreign ministers on Monday turned up the pressure on Turkey after approving an initial batch of sanctions against the country over its drilling for gas in waters where EU member Cyprus has exclusive economic rights.

  • 2 Great Stocks You Can Buy on Sale
    Motley Fool9 days ago

    2 Great Stocks You Can Buy on Sale

    These two energy industry stocks look cheap -- and they have solid balance sheets backing fat dividend yields.