Did Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries's (SGX:G0I) Share Price Deserve to Gain 33%?

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When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries Limited (SGX:G0I) share price is up 33% in the last 5 years, clearly besting than the market return of around -8.3% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 13% in the last year, including dividends.

View our latest analysis for Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 5.9% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 8.04 also suggests market apprehension.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

SGX:G0I Past and Future Earnings, September 17th 2019
SGX:G0I Past and Future Earnings, September 17th 2019

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries, it has a TSR of 83% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 13% over the last year. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 13% per year, is even more impressive. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Nam Lee Pressed Metal Industries's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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