How Does Cuba Ventures Corp (TSXV:CUV) Affect Your Portfolio Returns?

For Cuba Ventures Corp’s (TSXV:CUV) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. Every stock in the market is exposed to market risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few. This is measured by its beta. Not all stocks are expose to the same level of market risk, and the market as a whole represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

View our latest analysis for Cuba Ventures

What is CUV’s market risk?

Cuba Ventures has a beta of 1.21, which means that the percentage change in its stock value will be higher than the entire market in times of booms and busts. A high level of beta means investors face higher risk associated with potential gains and losses driven by market movements. Based on this beta value, CUV may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

How does CUV's size and industry impact its risk?

With a market cap of CAD $4.70M, CUV falls within the small-cap spectrum of stocks, which are found to experience higher relative risk compared to larger companies. Moreover, CUV’s industry, internet and direct marketing retail, is considered to be cyclical, which means it is more volatile than the market over the economic cycle. As a result, we should expect higher beta for small-cap stocks in a cyclical industry compared to larger stocks in a defensive industry. This supports our interpretation of CUV’s beta value discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

TSXV:CUV Income Statement Sep 30th 17
TSXV:CUV Income Statement Sep 30th 17

Can CUV's asset-composition point to a higher beta?

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I test CUV’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company's overall assets, CUV seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. This outcome contradicts CUV’s current beta value which indicates an above-average volatility.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? You could benefit from higher returns during times of economic growth by holding onto CUV. Its low fixed cost also means that, in terms of operating leverage, it is relatively flexible during times of economic downturns. Consider the stock in terms of your other portfolio holdings, and whether it is worth investing more into CUV.

Are you a potential investor? I recommend that you look into CUV's fundamental factors such as its current valuation and financial health. Take into account your portfolio sensitivity to the market before you invest in the stock, as well as where we are in the current economic cycle. CUV may be a great investment during times of economic growth.

Beta is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Cuba Ventures for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. But if you are not interested in Cuba Ventures anymore, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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