Does LCI Industries’s (NYSE:LCII) Past Performance Indicate A Stronger Future?

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Measuring LCI Industries’s (NYSE:LCII) track record of past performance is an insightful exercise for investors. It enables us to reflect on whether the company has met or exceed expectations, which is a powerful signal for future performance. Below, I will assess LCII’s recent performance announced on 31 December 2018 and compare these figures to its historical trend and industry movements.

View our latest analysis for LCI Industries

Were LCII’s earnings stronger than its past performances and the industry?

LCII’s trailing twelve-month earnings (from 31 December 2018) of US$149m has jumped 12% compared to the previous year.

However, this one-year growth rate has been lower than its average earnings growth rate over the past 5 years of 22%, indicating the rate at which LCII is growing has slowed down. Why could this be happening? Well, let’s take a look at what’s occurring with margins and whether the whole industry is facing the same headwind.

NYSE:LCII Income Statement Export February 11th 19
NYSE:LCII Income Statement Export February 11th 19

In terms of returns from investment, LCI Industries has invested its equity funds well leading to a 21% return on equity (ROE), above the sensible minimum of 20%. Furthermore, its return on assets (ROA) of 12% exceeds the US Auto Components industry of 6.4%, indicating LCI Industries has used its assets more efficiently. However, its return on capital (ROC), which also accounts for LCI Industries’s debt level, has declined over the past 3 years from 23% to 19%. This correlates with an increase in debt holding, with debt-to-equity ratio rising from 0.03% to 42% over the past 5 years.

What does this mean?

LCI Industries’s track record can be a valuable insight into its earnings performance, but it certainly doesn’t tell the whole story. While LCI Industries has a good historical track record with positive growth and profitability, there’s no certainty that this will extrapolate into the future. I recommend you continue to research LCI Industries to get a better picture of the stock by looking at:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for LCII’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for LCII’s outlook.

  2. Financial Health: Are LCII’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 31 December 2018. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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