Does The OFG Bancorp (NYSE:OFG) Share Price Fall With The Market?

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If you own shares in OFG Bancorp (NYSE:OFG) then it’s worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk’ in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

Check out our latest analysis for OFG Bancorp

What OFG’s beta value tells investors

Given that it has a beta of 1.68, we can surmise that the OFG Bancorp share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, OFG Bancorp shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see OFG Bancorp’s revenue and earnings in the image below.

NYSE:OFG Income Statement Export November 16th 18
NYSE:OFG Income Statement Export November 16th 18

How does OFG’s size impact its beta?

OFG Bancorp is a small company, but not tiny and little known. It has a market capitalisation of US$946m, which means it would be on the radar of intstitutional investors. It is quite common to see a small-cap stock with a beta greater than one. In part, that’s because relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company.

What this means for you:

Since OFG Bancorp tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it’s going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. In order to fully understand whether OFG is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as OFG Bancorp’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for OFG’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for OFG’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has OFG been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of OFG’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how OFG measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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