Is Exponent Inc (NASDAQ:EXPO) Attractive At Its Current PE Ratio?

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The content of this article will benefit those of you who are starting to educate yourself about investing in the stock market and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.

Exponent Inc (NASDAQ:EXPO) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 54.7, which is higher than the industry average of 25.4. Although some investors may see this as unappealing, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before making judgments. In this article, I will deconstruct the P/E ratio and highlight what you need to be careful of when using the P/E ratio.

See our latest analysis for Exponent

Breaking down the P/E ratio

NasdaqGS:EXPO PE PEG Gauge October 5th 18
NasdaqGS:EXPO PE PEG Gauge October 5th 18

P/E is often used for relative valuation since earnings power is a chief driver of investment value. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

P/E Calculation for EXPO

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

EXPO Price-Earnings Ratio = $51.5 ÷ $0.941 = 54.7x

On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. Our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to EXPO, such as company lifetime and products sold. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. Since EXPO’s P/E of 54.7 is higher than its industry peers (25.4), it means that investors are paying more for each dollar of EXPO’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 25 Professional Services companies in US including Volt Information Sciences, ManpowerGroup and Navigant Consulting. You could think of it like this: the market is pricing EXPO as if it is a stronger company than the average of its industry group.

Assumptions to be aware of

However, you should be aware that this analysis makes certain assumptions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to EXPO. If not, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, Exponent Inc could be growing more quickly than the companies we’re comparing it with. In that case it would deserve a higher P/E ratio. We should also be aware that the stocks we are comparing to EXPO may not be fairly valued. Just because it is trading on a higher P/E ratio than its peers does not mean it must be overvalued. After all, the peer group could be undervalued.

What this means for you:

You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current overvaluation could signal a potential selling opportunity to reduce your exposure to EXPO. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for EXPO’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for EXPO’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has EXPO been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of EXPO’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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