If You Had Bought Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA) Shares A Year Ago You'd Have Made 17%

In this article:

Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card!

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA) share price is up 17% in the last year, clearly besting than the market return of around 3.5% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 12% higher than it was three years ago.

View our latest analysis for Ingenia Communities Group

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over the last twelve months, Ingenia Communities Group actually shrank its EPS by 22%. This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

We think that the revenue growth of 28% could have some investors interested. We do see some companies suppress earnings in order to accelerate revenue growth.

You can see how revenue and earnings have changed over time in the image below, (click on the chart to see cashflow).

ASX:INA Income Statement, May 2nd 2019
ASX:INA Income Statement, May 2nd 2019

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Ingenia Communities Group

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Ingenia Communities Group the TSR over the last year was 21%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Ingenia Communities Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 21% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 4.1%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

Advertisement