Have Investors Already Priced In Etsy Inc’s (NASDAQ:ETSY) Growth?

Etsy Inc (NASDAQ:ETSY), a internet company based in United States, led the NasdaqGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at Etsy’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists. Check out our latest analysis for Etsy

What is Etsy worth?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 75%, trading at $20.5 compared to my intrinsic value of $11.69. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Etsy’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Etsy generate?

NasdaqGS:ETSY Future Profit Dec 18th 17
NasdaqGS:ETSY Future Profit Dec 18th 17

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Etsy. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in Etsy’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe Etsy should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on Etsy for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for Etsy, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Etsy. You can find everything you need to know about Etsy in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Etsy, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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