Square Earnings Highlight Mind-Boggling Growth

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Square (NYSE: SQ) did it again. The company posted its sixth quarter in a row of accelerating revenue growth. The momentum was driven by strong double-digit growth in gross payment volume, triple-digit growth in subscription and services-based revenue, and recent acquisitions of website builder Weebly and corporate catering company Zesty. Further, Square flexed the scalability of its business model as it swung to a profit.

As investors look over Square's third-quarter results, here's an overview of the key takeaways from the quarterly update.

An employee and customer interact with the two displays included with Square Register.
An employee and customer interact with the two displays included with Square Register.

Square Register. Image source: Square.

Square's third-quarter results: The raw numbers

Metric

Q3 2018

Q3 2017

Year-Over-Year Change

Adjusted revenue

$431 million

$257 million

68%

Adjusted EBITDA margin

16%

13%

N/A

Earnings per share

$0.04

($0.04)

N/A

Data source: Square third-quarter shareholder letter. Adjusted revenue excludes transaction-based costs, bitcoin costs, and the effect of deferred revenue adjustment related to purchase accounting. EBITDA = earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Table by author.

What happened with Square this quarter?

  • Revenue climbed 51% year over year -- an acceleration from 48% year-over-year growth in Q2.

  • Adjusted revenue also accelerated, rising 68% year over year compared with Q2's 60% growth.

  • Gross payment volume increased 29% year over year.

  • Net income increased from a loss of $6 million in the year-ago quarter to a profit of $20 million.

  • Subscription and services-based revenue was up 155% year over year, or 117% when excluding Square's acquisitions of Weebly and Zesty.

  • Square facilitated $405 million worth of business loans, up 34% year over year.

  • Hardware revenue increased 74% year over year.

What management had to say

Square's subscription and services-based revenue continued to stand out. The segment's triple-digit growth "was driven primarily by Instant Deposit, Cash Card, Caviar, and Square Capital," management said in the company's third-quarter shareholder letter.

Meanwhile, Square's 74% year-over-year increase in hardware revenue was driven by "continued growth from Square Register, Square Reader for contactless and chip, Square Stand, and third-party peripherals," management said.

Another notable trend during the quarter was Square's higher transaction-based profit as a percentage of the gross payment volume it processes. This key metric rose to 1.07%, up from 1.05% in the year-ago quarter. Key to this improvement was strong momentum in Square's e-commerce payment processing, management explained:

Transaction-based profit continued to benefit from improvements in our transaction cost profile and growth in our higher-margin products. For example, Virtual Terminal, which allows sellers to accept payments using a web browser, totaled more than $780 million in GPV in the third quarter, up nearly 120% year over year.

Looking forward

As Square has done like clockwork in previous quarters, management raised its outlook for full-year 2018 revenue and other key full-year metrics. Management said it now expects 2018 revenue between $3.26 billion and $3.27 billion, up from a previous forecast of $3.19 billion to $3.22 billion. Further, Square said it now expects adjusted revenue to rise 60% year over year, up from a previous forecast of 55% growth.

Importantly, management now has higher expectations for profitability as well. Square expects its EBITDA for the full year to be between $250 million and $255 million. Previously, management was expecting 2018 adjusted EBITDA between $240 million and $250 million.

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Daniel Sparks owns shares of Square. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Square. The Motley Fool has the following options: short January 2019 $80 calls on Square. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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