Is It The Right Time To Buy Sims Metal Management Limited (ASX:SGM)?

Sims Metal Management Limited (ASX:SGM), a metals and mining company based in United States, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the ASX. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Sims Metal Management’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity. View our latest analysis for Sims Metal Management

What is Sims Metal Management worth?

The stock is currently trading at A$16.99 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 89% compared to my intrinsic value of A$9. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! In addition to this, it seems like Sims Metal Management’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What kind of growth will Sims Metal Management generate?

ASX:SGM Future Profit Jan 8th 18
ASX:SGM Future Profit Jan 8th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. Though in the case of Sims Metal Management, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -8.99%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? If you believe Sims Metal Management is currently trading above its value, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on Sims Metal Management for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Price climbed passed its true value, in addition to a risky future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Sims Metal Management. You can find everything you need to know about Sims Metal Management in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Sims Metal Management, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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