Is Ulta Beauty Inc (NASDAQ:ULTA) Undervalued?

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Today we’re going to take a look at the well-established Ulta Beauty Inc (NASDAQ:ULTA). The company’s stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NasdaqGS. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Ulta Beauty’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists. View our latest analysis for Ulta Beauty

What is Ulta Beauty worth?

According to my valuation model, Ulta Beauty seems to be fairly priced at around 19% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Ulta Beauty today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $186.87, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Furthermore, it seems like Ulta Beauty’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Ulta Beauty look like?

NasdaqGS:ULTA Future Profit Mar 19th 18
NasdaqGS:ULTA Future Profit Mar 19th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 46.19% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Ulta Beauty. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? ULTA’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ULTA, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Ulta Beauty. You can find everything you need to know about Ulta Beauty in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Ulta Beauty, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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