Why Alimak Group AB (publ)’s (STO:ALIG) Cash Is A Factor You Need To Consider

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Alimak Group AB (publ) (STO:ALIG) shareholders, and potential investors, need to understand how much cash the business makes from its core operational activities, as well as how much is invested back into the business. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. I’ve analysed below, the health and outlook of ALIG’s cash flow, which will help you understand the stock from a cash standpoint. Cash is an important concept to grasp as an investor, as it directly impacts the value of your shares and the future growth potential of your portfolio.

View our latest analysis for Alimak Group

What is free cash flow?

Free cash flow (FCF) is the amount of cash Alimak Group has left after it pays off its expenses, including its net capital expenditures, which is what the company needs to spend each year to maintain or grow its business operations.

There are two methods I will use to evaluate the quality of Alimak Group’s FCF: firstly, I will measure its FCF yield relative to the market index yield; secondly, I will examine whether its operating cash flow will continue to grow into the future, which will give us a sense of sustainability.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Alimak Group’s yield of 5.82% last year indicates its ability to produce cash at the same rate as the market index, taking into account the company’s size. However, given that the risk for holding single-stock Alimak Group is higher, this may mean inadequate compensation above and beyond merely investing in the whole market.

OM:ALIG Net Worth August 16th 18
OM:ALIG Net Worth August 16th 18

Is Alimak Group’s yield sustainable?

Does ALIG’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. In the next couple of years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 74.78%, ramping up from its current levels of kr284.70m to kr497.61m in two years’ time. Although this seems impressive, breaking down into year-on-year growth rates, ALIG’s operating cash flow growth is expected to decline from a rate of 35.25% next year, to 29.23% in the following year. However the overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.

Next Steps:

Alimak Group is compensating investors at a cash yield similar to the wider market portfolio. But holding the stock on its own is riskier than investing in the diversified market, which means the yield is not that attractive on a risk-return basis. Now you know to keep cash flows in mind, I recommend you continue to research Alimak Group to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is ALIG worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ALIG is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Alimak Group’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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