4 Low Price-to-Cash Flow Stocks to Navigate the Market in 2024
The stock market experienced a resurgence in 2023, witnessing impressive gains of more than 20% for the S&P 500. The remarkable rally can be attributed to a trifecta of factors — a resilient economy, moderating inflation and growing optimism about a potential peak in interest rates. These elements played a pivotal role in dispelling concerns of an impending recession and enticing investors back into the equities market. Additionally, the recent prospects of interest rate cuts next year have further fueled the market's momentum.
So, what’s the best investment strategy for 2024? We believe investment in stocks made on diligent value analysis is one of the best practices. In value investing, investors pick stocks that are cheap but fundamentally sound. There are a number of ratios to identify value stocks but none alone can conclusively determine their inherent potential. Each ratio helps an investor understand a particular aspect of the company’s business.
One such ratio, Price to Cash Flow (or P/CF) can work wonders in stock picking if used prudently. This metric evaluates the market price of a stock relative to the amount of cash flow that the company is generating on a per share basis — the lower the number, the better. Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. PK, Centene Corporation CNC, Solo Brands, Inc. DTC and AZZ Inc. AZZ boast a low P/CF ratio.
Why P/CF Ratio?
You must be wondering why we are considering this when the most widely used valuation metric is Price/Earnings (or P/E). Well, an important factor that makes P/CF a highly dependable metric is that operating cash flow adds back non-cash charges such as depreciation and amortization to net income, truly diagnosing a company’s financial health.
Analysts caution that a company’s earnings are subject to accounting estimates and management manipulation. Then again, cash flow is quite reliable. Net cash flow unveils how much money a company generates and how effectively management is deploying the same.
A positive cash flow indicates an increase in the company’s liquid assets. This gives the company the means to settle debt, meet its expenses, reinvest in the business, endure downturns and finally undertake shareholder-friendly moves. Negative cash flow implies a decline in the company’s liquidity, which, in turn, lowers its flexibility to support these endeavors.
However, an investment decision solely based on the P/CF metric may not fetch the desired results. To identify stocks that are trading at a discount, you should expand your search criteria and take into account the price-to-book ratio, price-to-earnings ratio and price-to-sales ratio. Adding a favorable Zacks Rank and a Value Score of A or B to your search criteria should lead to even better results as these eliminate the chances of falling into a value trap.
The Bargain Hunting Strategy
Here are the parameters for selecting true-value stocks:
P/CF less than or equal to X-Industry Median.
Price greater than or equal to 5: The stocks must all be trading at a minimum of $5 or higher.
Average 20-Day Volume greater than 100,000: A substantial trading volume ensures that the stock is easily tradable.
P/E using (F1) less than or equal to X-Industry Median: This parameter shortlists stocks that are trading at a discount or are equal to their peers.
P/B less than or equal to X-Industry Median: A lower P/B compared with the industry average implies that there is enough room for the stock to gain.
P/S less than or equal to X-Industry Median: The P/S ratio determines how a stock price compares to the company’s sales — the lower the ratio the more attractive the stock is.
PEG less than 1: The ratio is used to determine a stock's value by taking the company's earnings growth into account. The PEG ratio gives a more complete picture than the P/E ratio. A value of less than 1 indicates that the stock is undervalued and that investors need to pay less for a stock that has robust earnings growth prospects.
Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2: Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) stocks are known to outperform irrespective of the market environment.
Value Score of less than or equal to B: Our research shows that stocks with a Style Score of A or B when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 or 2 offer the best upside potential.
Here are four of the five stocks that qualified the screening:
Park Hotels & Resorts, one of the largest publicly traded lodging REITs, sports a Zacks Rank #1. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 12.3%, on average. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Park Hotels & Resorts’ current financial year sales and EPS suggests growth of 7.9% and 29.2%, respectively, from the year-ago period. PK has a Value Score of A. The stock has increased 44.9% in the past year.
Centene, a leading healthcare enterprise, carries a Zacks Rank #2. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 5.6%, on average.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centene’s current financial year sales and EPS suggests growth of 4.4% and 15.1%, respectively, from the year-ago period. Centene has a Value Score of A. Shares of Centene have declined 12.2% in the past year.
Solo Brands, which operates a direct-to-consumer platform that offers outdoor and lifestyle branded products, carries a Zacks Rank #2. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 112.1%, on average.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Solo Brands’ current financial year sales suggests growth of 2.7% from the year-ago period. Solo Brands has a Value Score of A. The stock has risen 53.6% in the past year.
AZZ, the leading independent provider of hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions, carries a Zacks Rank #2. In the last reported quarter, the company’s bottom line outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 54.9%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AZZ’s current financial year sales and earnings suggests growth of 6.2% and 17.2% from the year-ago period. AZZ has a Value Score of A. The stock has risen 40.9% in the past year.
You can get the rest of the stock on this list by signing up now for your 2-week free trial to the Research Wizard and start using this screen in your own trading. Further, you can also create your own strategies and backtest them first before taking the investment plunge.
The Research Wizard is a great place to begin. It's easy to use. Everything is in plain language. And it's very intuitive. Start your Research Wizard trial today. And the next time you read an economic report, open up the Research Wizard, plug your finds in, and see what gems come out.
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Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.
Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and strategies are available at: https://www.zacks.com/performance.
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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Centene Corporation (CNC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Solo Brands, Inc. (DTC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
