The Adacel Technologies (ASX:ADA) Share Price Is Up 134% And Shareholders Are Boasting About It

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The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For example, the Adacel Technologies Limited (ASX:ADA) share price has soared 134% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. And in the last month, the share price has gained -4.1%.

View our latest analysis for Adacel Technologies

Given that Adacel Technologies didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

For the last half decade, Adacel Technologies can boast revenue growth at a rate of 5.5% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering the bottom line. So we wouldn't have expected to see the share price to have lifted 19% for each year during that time, but that's what happened. While we wouldn't be overly concerned, it might be worth checking whether you think the fundamental business gains really justify the share price action. It may be that the market is pretty optimistic about Adacel Technologies.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

ASX:ADA Income Statement, December 5th 2019
ASX:ADA Income Statement, December 5th 2019

This free interactive report on Adacel Technologies's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Adacel Technologies's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Adacel Technologies's TSR of 174% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 21% in the last year, Adacel Technologies shareholders lost 12%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 22%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Before spending more time on Adacel Technologies it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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