Advance Auto Parts faces S&P Global downgrade amid underperformance

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Monday witnessed a significant development for Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), as S&P Global Ratings downgraded the automobile parts retailer's debt to "junk" status. The downgrade comes in light of the company's sales underperformance compared to industry rivals AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) and O'Reilly (NASDAQ:ORLY) Automotive over the past 18 months. The company's strategy of maintaining high prices has been identified as a contributing factor to its loss of market share.

This year, the stock value of Advance Auto Parts has seen a sharp decline, dropping by over 60%. This has triggered discussions among investors about the potential opportunity to purchase the depreciated stock or whether it should be avoided due to the company's ongoing struggles.

S&P Global's critique of Advance Auto Parts' strategy is rooted in the company's approach to preserving high profit margins by maintaining stable prices. The rating agency argues that this strategy has eroded the company's competitive standing in an industry where reasonably priced, readily available in-store parts are highly demanded by the professional market.

The company's revenue growth and operating margin progression have lagged behind its competitors due to this strategy. The newly appointed CEO, Shane O'Kelly, is expected to address these issues. O'Kelly replaces former CEO Tom Greco, who served from 2016-2023 and will remain as an advisor. Despite significant efforts and the involvement of activist investor Starboard Value during Greco's tenure, Advance Auto Parts failed to close the operational performance gap with AutoZone and O'Reilly Automotive.

O'Kelly will contribute to an operational and strategic review of the business, following the company's acknowledgment of its need for improved performance. Despite years of underperformance against its peers, management maintains a moderate outlook, citing recent investments made to enhance inventory availability and pricing as factors that have led to sales improvement during the last four weeks of the previous quarter and into the current one.

Gene Lee, Interim Executive Chair of the Board of Directors, stated that the new strategy has been in place for less than a year and expects to see incremental improvements soon. However, doubts persist about whether a strategy implemented within a year can reverse years of underperformance. Advance Auto Parts continues to trail behind its peers in areas such as profit margins, inventory management, and cash conversion.

While management believes they are on the right track, the results of the strategic review are yet to be seen. Potential investors may want to wait until these results are revealed before deciding on any investment action, as it remains uncertain whether Advance Auto Parts is on its way to generating value for its shareholders.

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