Ally Financial (ALLY) Up on Q4 Earnings Beat Despite Cost Hike

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Shares of Ally Financial ALLY gained 20% following its fourth-quarter and 2022 results. Adjusted earnings of $1.08 per share for the quarter surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 98 cents. However, the bottom line reflects a decline of 46.5% from the year-ago quarter. Our estimate for earnings was $1.

Results were primarily aided by an improvement in net financing revenues. An increase in loans was another tailwind. However, a decline in other revenues, along with higher expenses and provisions, were the undermining factors.

After considering non-recurring items, net income available to common shareholders (on a GAAP basis) was $251 million or 83 cents per share, down from $624 million or $1.79 per share in the prior-year quarter. Our estimate for the metric was $305.4 million.

For 2022, adjusted earnings per share were $6.06, down from $8.61 in 2021. Our estimate for 2022 earnings was $5.91 per share. Net income available to common shareholders (on a GAAP basis) was $1.60 billion or $5.03 per share, down from $3 billion or $8.22 per share in 2021. Our estimate for net income was $1.66 billion.

Revenues Improve Marginally, Expenses Rise

Total quarterly GAAP net revenues were $2.20 billion, up marginally year over year. The top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.04 billion. Our estimate for revenues was $1.99 billion.

GAAP net revenues for 2022 were $8.43 billion, up 2.7% year over year. Our estimate for revenues was $8.21 billion.

Quarterly net financing revenues were up 1.2% from the prior-year quarter to $1.67 billion. The rise was driven by an increase in interest and fees on finance receivables and loans, interest on loans held for sale, total interest and dividends on investment securities, interest-bearing cash and other earning assets. Our estimate for net financing revenues was $1.61 billion.

The adjusted net interest margin was 3.68%, down 14 basis points year over year.

Total other revenues were $527 million, down 3.3% from the prior-year quarter. We had projected other revenues of $373.5 million.

Total non-interest expenses were up 16.1% year over year to $1.27 billion. The upswing stemmed from higher compensation and benefits expenses, insurance losses and loss-adjustment expenses, and other operating expenses. Our estimate for expenses was $1.20 billion.

The adjusted efficiency ratio was 50.6%, up from 44.4% in the year-ago period. A rise in the efficiency ratio indicates a deterioration in profitability.

Credit Quality Worsens

Non-performing loans of $1.45 billion as of Dec 31, 2022, were up 1.3% year over year. Our estimate for the metric was $1.74 billion.

In the quarter under review, the company recorded net charge-offs of $390 million, up significantly from $103 million in the prior-year quarter. We had projected net charge-offs of $116 million. The company also reported a provision for loan losses of $490 million, up significantly from $210 million in the prior-year quarter. Our estimate for provisions was $346.1 million.

Loans & Deposit Balances Increase

As of Dec 31, 2022, total net finance receivables and loans amounted to $132.04 billion, up 2.5% from the prior quarter. Deposits increased 4.5% from the prior-quarter end to $152.30 billion.

Capital Ratios Deteriorate

As of Dec 31, 2022, the total capital ratio was 12.2%, down from 13.5% in the prior-year quarter. Tier I capital ratio was 10.7%, down from 11.9% as of Dec 31, 2021.

Share Repurchase Update

In 2022, the company repurchased $1.7 billion worth of shares.

Our View

Ally Financial’s initiatives to diversify its revenue base will likely keep aiding profitability. Given a solid balance sheet, the company is well-poised to expand through acquisitions. However, persistently rising expenses (mainly due to the company’s inorganic growth efforts) and higher provisions will likely hurt bottom-line growth in the near term.

Ally Financial Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

Ally Financial Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Ally Financial Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Ally Financial Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Ally Financial Inc. Quote

Currently, Ally Financial carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Performance of Other Banks

Hancock Whitney Corporation’s HWC fourth-quarter 2022 earnings of $1.65 per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.63. The bottom line rose 6.5% from the prior-year quarter’s earnings of $1.55.

HWC’s results benefited from higher net interest income, supported by a rise in loan balance and increasing interest rates. However, lower non-interest income mainly due to higher mortgage rates was an undermining factor. Higher expenses and a rise in provisions were other concerns for HWC.

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.’s PNC fourth-quarter 2022 adjusted earnings per share of $3.49 lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.95. Also, the bottom line declined 5.2% year over year.

PNC’s results were primarily hurt by a decline in non-interest income and higher provisions. However, an increase in net interest income, supported by higher rates and loan growth, and a decline in expenses were tailwinds for PNC.

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