Analysts Expect Breakeven For nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) Before Long

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nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. nCino, Inc., a software-as-a-service company, provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally. The US$3.2b market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of US$103m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$65m shrinking the gap between loss and breakeven. As path to profitability is the topic on nCino's investors mind, we've decided to gauge market sentiment. We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

See our latest analysis for nCino

nCino is bordering on breakeven, according to the 12 American Software analysts. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2025, before turning a profit of US$11m in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 3 years from today. What rate will the company have to grow year-on-year in order to breakeven on this date? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 78%, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

We're not going to go through company-specific developments for nCino given that this is a high-level summary, but, take into account that typically a high forecast growth rate is not unusual for a company that is currently undergoing an investment period.

Before we wrap up, there’s one aspect worth mentioning. nCino currently has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making growth company, which typically has high debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on nCino, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at nCino's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of important aspects you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is nCino worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether nCino is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on nCino’s board and the CEO’s background.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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