Analysts Expect Breakeven For Nephros, Inc. (NASDAQ:NEPH)

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Nephros, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NEPH): Nephros, Inc., a commercial stage medical device and commercial product company, develops and sells liquid purification filters and hemodiafiltration (HDF) systems primarily in the United States. The US$61m market-cap posted a loss in its most recent financial year of -US$3.4m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of -US$3.9m leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is NEPH’s path to profitability – when will it breakeven? Below I will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for NEPH.

View our latest analysis for Nephros

According to the 3 industry analysts covering NEPH, the consensus is breakeven is near. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2020, before turning a profit of US$1.4m in 2021. NEPH is therefore projected to breakeven around 2 years from today. In order to meet this breakeven date, I calculated the rate at which NEPH must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 84% is expected, which signals high confidence from analysts. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

NasdaqCM:NEPH Past and Future Earnings, December 6th 2019
NasdaqCM:NEPH Past and Future Earnings, December 6th 2019

I’m not going to go through company-specific developments for NEPH given that this is a high-level summary, though, take into account that by and large a high forecast growth rate is not unusual for a company that is currently undergoing an investment period.

One thing I’d like to point out is that NEPH has managed its capital prudently, with debt making up 28% of equity. This means that NEPH has predominantly funded its operations from equity capital,and its low debt obligation reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of NEPH to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – NEPH’s company page on Simply Wall St. I’ve also put together a list of essential factors you should further research:

  1. Historical Track Record: What has NEPH's performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Nephros’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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