When Should You Buy China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited (HKG:308)?
Want to participate in a research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and earn a $60 gift card!
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited (HKG:308), which is in the hospitality business, and is based in Hong Kong, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$2.6 and falling to the lows of HK$1.96. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's current trading price of HK$1.96 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at China Travel International Investment Hong Kong’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for China Travel International Investment Hong Kong
What's the opportunity in China Travel International Investment Hong Kong?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 15.56x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 15.34x, which means if you buy China Travel International Investment Hong Kong today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that China Travel International Investment Hong Kong should be trading at this level in the long run, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since China Travel International Investment Hong Kong’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
Can we expect growth from China Travel International Investment Hong Kong?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. China Travel International Investment Hong Kong’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 22%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 308’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 308? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 308, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for 308, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on China Travel International Investment Hong Kong. You can find everything you need to know about China Travel International Investment Hong Kong in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in China Travel International Investment Hong Kong, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.
