Canadian Pacific (CP) Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Increase Y/Y

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Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP reported fourth-quarter 2023 earnings (excluding 6 cents from non-recurring items) per share of 87 cents (C$1.10), which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 83 cents. The bottom line increased 7.4% year over year. Quarterly revenues of $2.773 billion (C$3.776 billion) surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.712 billion and improved 53% year over year.

Freight revenues, contributing 97.9% to the top line, rose 53.2% on a year-over-year basis. We suggested the metric to jump 47.8% from fourth-quarter 2022 actuals. CP’s freight segment contains Grain (up 29%), Coal (up 115%), Potash (up 15%), Forest products (up 99%), Energy, chemicals and plastics (up 87%), Metals, minerals and consumer products (up 97%), Automotive (up 147%), Fertilizers and Sulphur (up 24%) and Intermodal (up 15%).

In the reported quarter, total Freight revenues per revenue ton-miles gained 9% year over year. Total Freight revenues per carload declined 6% from a year ago. Our projection for a fall of 8.3% was higher than the reported value.

On a reported basis, operating income was up 46%. Total operating expenses increased 58% year over year. Operating ratio (operating expenses as a percentage of revenues) improved 200 basis points to 61.8% from 59.8% in the year-ago quarter.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Quote

CP exited the fourth quarter with cash and cash equivalents of C$0.464 billion compared with C$0.451 billion in fourth-quarter 2022. Long-term debt amounted to C$19.35 billion compared with C$18.141 billion at the end of fourth-quarter 2022.

Management expects adjusted earnings for 2024to grow double digits from 2023 to $3.84 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged at a lower level at $3.27 per share. Capital expenditures are expected to be $2.75 billion.

Currently, Canadian Pacific carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Q4 Performance of Other Players

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.’s JBHT fourth-quarter 2023 earnings of $1.47 per share missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 and declined 23.4% year over year.

JBHT’s total operating revenues of $3.303 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.24 million but fell 9.5% year over year. Total operating revenues, excluding fuel surcharge revenues, fell 6% year over year.

Delta Air Lines DAL reported fourth-quarter 2023 earnings (excluding $1.88 from non-recurring items) of $1.28 per share, which comfortably beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.17. Earnings, however, declined 13.51% on a year-over-year basis due to high labor costs.

Revenues of $14.223 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.069 billion and increased 5.87% on a year-over-year basis, driven by strong holiday-air-travel demand. Adjusted operating revenues (excluding third-party refinery sales) came in at $13.661 billion, up 11% year over year.

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