What Chanson International Holding's (NASDAQ:CHSN) 44% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Chanson International Holding (NASDAQ:CHSN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 44% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Chanson International Holding is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.3x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Consumer Retailing industry have P/S ratios below 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Chanson International Holding
What Does Chanson International Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Chanson International Holding's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Chanson International Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Chanson International Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.7% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.5% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 3.7% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Chanson International Holding's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Chanson International Holding's P/S?
Shares in Chanson International Holding have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We didn't expect to see Chanson International Holding trade at such a high P/S considering its last three-year revenue growth has only been on par with the rest of the industry. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term trends, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Chanson International Holding has 3 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
