Did You Manage To Avoid Alcanna’s Painful 60% Share Price Drop?

Taking the occasional loss comes part and parcel with investing on the stock market. And unfortunately for Alcanna Inc. (TSE:CLIQ) shareholders, the stock is a lot lower today than it was a year ago. The share price has slid 60% in that time. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down (the share price is down 42%) in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 30% in the last three months.

View our latest analysis for Alcanna

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it’s a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the last year Alcanna saw its earnings per share drop below zero. Buyers no doubt think it’s a temporary situation, but those with a nose for quality have low tolerance for losses. We hope for shareholders’ sake that the company becomes profitable again soon.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

TSX:CLIQ Past and Future Earnings, March 5th 2019
TSX:CLIQ Past and Future Earnings, March 5th 2019

It’s probably worth noting we’ve seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. This free interactive report on Alcanna’s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We’d be remiss not to mention the difference between Alcanna’s total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Alcanna shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 59%, over the last year, isn’t as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Alcanna had a tough year, with a total loss of 59% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 3.5%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should ‘buy when there is blood on the streets’, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality businesses. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

Alcanna is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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