Don't Sell AAON, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAON) Before You Read This

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This article is written for those who want to get better at using price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We'll look at AAON, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAON) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company's share price. Based on the last twelve months, AAON's P/E ratio is 53.19. That is equivalent to an earnings yield of about 1.9%.

View our latest analysis for AAON

How Do I Calculate A Price To Earnings Ratio?

The formula for price to earnings is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for AAON:

P/E of 53.19 = $50.17 ÷ $0.94 (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2019.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying a higher price for each $1 of company earnings. That is not a good or a bad thing per se, but a high P/E does imply buyers are optimistic about the future.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

AAON's earnings per share grew by -2.1% in the last twelve months. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 5.3%.

Does AAON Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

The P/E ratio essentially measures market expectations of a company. The image below shows that AAON has a higher P/E than the average (18.5) P/E for companies in the building industry.

NasdaqGS:AAON Price Estimation Relative to Market, June 29th 2019
NasdaqGS:AAON Price Estimation Relative to Market, June 29th 2019

That means that the market expects AAON will outperform other companies in its industry. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Is Debt Impacting AAON's P/E?

AAON has net cash of US$7.1m. That should lead to a higher P/E than if it did have debt, because its strong balance sheets gives it more options.

The Verdict On AAON's P/E Ratio

AAON's P/E is 53.2 which is above average (18.1) in the US market. Recent earnings growth wasn't bad. And the net cash position provides the company with multiple options. The high P/E suggests the market thinks further growth will come.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.' So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

You might be able to find a better buy than AAON. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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