Further weakness as MaxLinear (NASDAQ:MXL) drops 7.8% this week, taking three-year losses to 52%
Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. Long term MaxLinear, Inc. (NASDAQ:MXL) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 52% decline in the share price in that time. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 43% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 15% in the last three months.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for MaxLinear isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
View our latest analysis for MaxLinear
MaxLinear wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
Over three years, MaxLinear grew revenue at 12% per year. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. That contrasts with the weak share price, which has fallen 15% compounded, over three years. The market must have had really high expectations to be disappointed with this progress. It would be well worth taking a closer look at the company, to determine growth trends (and balance sheet strength).
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
MaxLinear is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.
A Different Perspective
Investors in MaxLinear had a tough year, with a total loss of 43%, against a market gain of about 34%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for MaxLinear that you should be aware of.
We will like MaxLinear better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
