Is Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE:INSP) Potentially Undervalued?

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While Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE:INSP) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$326 and falling to the lows of US$241. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Inspire Medical Systems' current trading price of US$241 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Inspire Medical Systems’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Inspire Medical Systems

What Is Inspire Medical Systems Worth?

The stock is currently trading at US$241 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 27% compared to my intrinsic value of $189.38. This means that the opportunity to buy Inspire Medical Systems at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Inspire Medical Systems’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Inspire Medical Systems look like?

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Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 19% in the upcoming year, the short-term outlook is positive for Inspire Medical Systems. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? INSP’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe INSP should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on INSP for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for INSP, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Inspire Medical Systems has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

If you are no longer interested in Inspire Medical Systems, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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