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One way to deal with stock volatility is to ensure you have a properly diverse portfolio. But the goal is to pick stocks that do better than average. Bogota Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:BSBK) has done well over the last year, with the stock price up 38% beating the market return of 34% (not including dividends). We'll need to follow Bogota Financial for a while to get a better sense of its share price trend, since it hasn't been listed for particularly long.
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 1 year and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Bogota Financial was able to grow EPS by 309% in the last twelve months. This EPS growth is significantly higher than the 38% increase in the share price. So it seems like the market has cooled on Bogota Financial, despite the growth. Interesting.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We know that Bogota Financial has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
A Different Perspective
With a TSR of 38% over the last year, Bogota Financial shareholders would be reasonably content, given that's not far from the broader market return of 36%. A substantial portion of that gain has come in the last three months, with the stock up 7.7% in that time. This suggests the share price maintains some momentum, and investors are taking a more positive view of the stock. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Bogota Financial better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Bogota Financial (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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