Have Investors Already Priced In Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc’s (TSE:POT) Growth?

Let’s talk about the popular Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc (TSX:POT). The company’s shares maintained its current share price over the past couple of month on the TSX, with a relatively tight range of CA$23.71 to CA$26.08. However, does this price actually reflect the true value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Potash of Saskatchewan’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. Check out our latest analysis for Potash of Saskatchewan

What is Potash of Saskatchewan worth?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 50%, trading at CA$25.83 compared to my intrinsic value of CA$17.25. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. Furthermore, Potash of Saskatchewan’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Can we expect growth from Potash of Saskatchewan?

TSX:POT Future Profit Dec 29th 17
TSX:POT Future Profit Dec 29th 17

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Potash of Saskatchewan. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in Potash of Saskatchewan’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe Potash of Saskatchewan should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on Potash of Saskatchewan for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for Potash of Saskatchewan, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Potash of Saskatchewan. You can find everything you need to know about Potash of Saskatchewan in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Potash of Saskatchewan, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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