Katapult Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:KPLT) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Katapult Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:KPLT) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript November 8, 2023

Katapult Holdings, Inc. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $-0.71, expectations were $-1.79.

Operator: Greetings. And welcome to the Katapult Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce our host, Jennifer Kull. Please go ahead.

Jennifer Kull: Welcome to Katapult’s third quarter 2023 conference call. On the call with me today are Orlando Zayas, Chief Executive Officer; Nancy Walsh, Chief Financial Officer; and Derek Medlin, Chief Operating Officer. For your reference, we have posted materials from today’s call on the Investor Relations section of the Katapult website, which can be found at ir.katapultholdings.com. I would like to remind everyone that this call will contain forward-looking statements based on our current assumptions, expectations and beliefs, which include our future financial performance and financial results, and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements should be considered in conjunction with cautionary statements contained in the earnings release and on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2023, as well as the subsequent periodic and current reports the company files with the SEC.

These statements reflect management’s current beliefs, assumptions and expectations, and are subject to a number of factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those statements. The information contained in this call is accurate only as of the date discussed. Except as required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these statements, whether as a result of any new information, future events or otherwise. During today’s discussion, the company will provide certain financial information that constitute non-GAAP financial measures under SEC rules. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered replacements for and should be read together with our GAAP results. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is included with today’s earnings release and is available on the Investor Relations section of the company’s website.

With that, I will turn the call over to Orlando.

Orlando Zayas: Thank you, Jennifer, and thank you to everyone joining us this morning. I’m excited to give you an update on our progress this quarter, which illustrates the value we are creating for our merchant partners and the enhanced experience we’re delivering to our loyal customers. Our third quarter results represented another strong period of growth for Katapult. While Nancy will give you more details on our financial performance, as well as our outlook for continued growth in the fourth quarter, let me set the stage. Despite the ebb and flow of macroeconomic headwinds that caused the consumer to pull back on retail spending during the late summer, we delivered our fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year gross origination growth, which was up 12.5%.

This is also what we’d consider to be a breakout quarter for revenue growth. Revenue was up nearly 10% year-over-year, more than tripling the year-over-year revenue growth we achieved last quarter. In addition, by coupling our topline growth with continued focus on disciplined expense management, we were able to deliver a positive adjusted EBITDA, which improved substantially compared to last year. Our progress this quarter was driven by strong performance across our strategic pillars, focused on; one, expanding our merchant base and deepening our existing merchant relationships; two, growing our consumer reach by focusing mainly on doing more with our current customers, but taking measured steps to bring more consumers to our platform; and three, continuing to leverage our technology to support our merchant and consumer goals while expanding our competitive moat.

Let’s start with our progress on the merchant front this quarter. The success of our merchant strategy lies in three key areas, driving gross origination growth through direct integration, gaining market share with our anchor merchants and ensuring that our platform offers a wide variety of durable goods consumers are looking for. During the third quarter, we continue to make steady progress with our strategy to grow a number of merchants where Katapult is an integrated payment option at checkout. We successfully launched our online Casper integration and we expect to finish our in-store integration in the first half of 2024. In addition, we have also added Casper to Katapult Pay, creating yet another avenue for our customers to shop with this leader in sleep products.

The mattress category is important to us, and we are pleased to partner with Casper to give our consumers even more shopping choices. So far, our direct integration with Casper is off to a good start. These types of partnerships not only expand the depth of durable goods coverage, where Katapult is an integrated payment option, but they also allow us to acquire new customers at a very low cost. I also want to highlight an upcoming waterfall integration with Synchrony Financial that we recently finalized. This integration is expected to kick off in early 2024, at which time Synchrony will begin leveraging our innovative LTO solution and their digital waterfall application process. Synchrony works with a significant number of retailers in auto, electronics, appliances, home furnishings, home improvement and jewelry categories, which are some of our top categories.

This integration will enable Synchrony’s retail partners to offer our lease-to-own option to their customers and open the door for us to launch new merchant relationships at scale more easily. By creating a seamless experience with Synchrony’s waterfall, we can leverage this new relationship to drive growth in the future. We continue to look for opportunities to deepen our partnerships with our existing merchants and the work we’re doing with Wayfair is a great example of how we can grow these relationships. For example, during the third quarter, we did a lot of A/B testing with Wayfair and created targeted offers for high quality customers to improve their take rates. We define take rates as percentage of Wayfair customers who originate with us, divided by the number of customers who are approved for a lease with us.

Just to give you an example of this impact we can have, when we made a few changes to how the customer-facing offer was displayed, we saw a nice improvement in take rates just from that update. We look at take rate as a core metric for our relationships with merchants and we are always trying to optimize the customer and merchant experience to drive this higher. The results are encouraging and help drive our growth with Wayfair this quarter. Gross originations for Wayfair were up nearly 16% year-over-year, more than double the growth we achieved during the second quarter. Take rates also grew and were up mid-teens year-over-year and this growth was also accompanied by higher application volume from Wayfair shoppers, as well as higher same-day take rates.

Our strong growth with Wayfair indicates that we are gaining market share in their U.S. business and we believe this progress is evidence that our strategy is working. We are taking our learnings from Wayfair to create customized offerings for other direct merchants to help drive volumes. Let me now provide an update on our customer-focused activity and progress this quarter, starting with Katapult Pay. We launched our Katapult Pay feature in our general app about a year ago. Over the past 12 months, we’ve learned a lot and based on Katapult Pay’s early track record of performance, we believe it’ll be an important part of our future growth. As a reminder, Katapult Pay is the feature in our app and is powered by our virtual credit card technology.

Each time a customer uses Katapult Pay and enters into a new lease, we create a unique one-time use card number that can be used at the store’s checkout. Our advanced tech capabilities allow us to create models that predict whether a durable good is leasable. This is a highly specialized capability requiring a lot of technical knowhow and expertise. In other words, Katapult Pay is a very special offering and we believe it distinguishes us from the competition. Since launching Katapult Pay last year, we have continued to grow the number and variety of merchants with whom customers can shop within our app. This quarter, we added Target to the list of merchants that already includes retailers like Home Depot, Amazon, Wayfair, Best Buy, HP, Ikea and Lull, truly making our app marketplace a shopping destination.

I encourage you to download the app if you haven’t already to see it firsthand. We look at Katapult Pay and direct integrated merchants as complimentary go-to market channels for us. Together, they allow us to meet consumers wherever they are, shopping directly with the merchants or using our marketplace as their starting point. We measure our progress with Katapult Pay across several metrics. One metric that we are watching very closely is the penetration rate of our customer base. In other words, how many of our customers have downloaded and engaged in the app? This has increased substantially since our launch and our penetration rate is now in a low double digits range. In addition, we track the percentage of originations that come through Katapult Pay, specifically, and this has grown nicely over the past 12 months.

Features like Katapult Pay allow us to create more opportunities to interact with and communicate with our customers. With higher engagement, we’re able to create more meaningful long-term relationships with our customers. This in turn is allowing us to grow our lifetime value or LTV of our customers. In fact, for repeat customers who generated new leases through Katapult Pay, we estimate that their LTV is about 48% higher than it would have been if we didn’t have Katapult Pay and these customers originate approximately 50% more leases. Katapult Pay users are very high quality customers for us. They have high repeat rates and are also more likely to cross shop, two characteristics that are increasing their LTV with us. Beyond these important contributions, Katapult Pay is allowing us to get merchants on our platform more quickly and gather data that helps demonstrate Katapult’s value proposition to these merchants.

This is a win for merchants and customers alike. Right now, we are leveraging Katapult Pay to drive engagement with our existing customers, but we are seeing new customers coming to us through the feature and we see a path using Katapult Pay for customer acquisition in the future. Beyond this feature, our Katapult app in general has become a great engagement tool in its own right. In Q3, approximately 40% of our originations, whether they were done through Katapult Pay merchant or a directly integrated merchant, started in our app. We believe this engagement shows that in just one year, we have already demonstrated the value of the Katapult app to our customers. We are extremely proud of our progress. This is a great segue into progress we’ve made growing our customer base.

As you’ve heard so far, we are expanding where and how consumers can shop using Katapult and looking for opportunities to monetize our platform through a variety of partnerships that bring us new customers or leverage our technology to create new revenue streams. One such partnership that we’re excited to announce is our new pilot with Western Union. Just a few weeks ago, we launched our partnership which positions Katapult as the preferred LTO provider for Western Union customers. This means Western Union will actively promote Katapult and help us introduce our innovative LTO solution to their millions of active users across the U.S. We believe that we have a lot of overlap from a customer demographic perspective with Western Union and that this partnership will help us build brand awareness with a large untapped base of potential Katapult customers.

The company's CEO standing in front of a graph illustrating the rate of leased-purchase options for durable goods.
The company's CEO standing in front of a graph illustrating the rate of leased-purchase options for durable goods.

We believe that Western Union chose Katapult because our solution offers fair, transparent and flexible terms that will empower their users with financial resources to get the durable goods they need when they want them. Under the terms of our agreement, we will pay Western Union a referral fee for each customer they help us acquire that originates a lease with us. Like our waterfall relationships on the merchant side, partnerships like this will create an opportunity for Katapult to build low cost ROI positive consumer referral channels. And similar to Katapult Pay, this is yet another opportunity for us to control our destiny when it comes to growing our customer base. As we continue to look for opportunities to grow, we remain pleased with the performance of our existing customers.

During the third quarter, we achieved very strong repeat rates, which are defined as the percentage of in-quarter originations from existing customers. Approximately 51.3% of customers in the third quarter will repeat and with an NPS score of 58, we feel confident that they’re happy with their Katapult experience, a driving factor of why they come back again and again to do business with us. Lastly, on the customer front, we had a few consumer marketing updates that I’d like to highlight. Throughout the third quarter, we introduced new capabilities that will be fueled by the data we’re collecting from our mobile app and other direct-to-consumer app. We expect these tools to increase our ability to leverage email, SMS and in-app notifications to enhance conversion rates and provide insights on how best to allocate our resources in this area.

Ultimately, our goal is to optimize customer journeys, and based on initial results we’re seeing, we’re excited about the potential of these tools to help accelerate our consumer marketing efforts. While we are still in the early phase of consumer marketing strategy, we believe our prudent approach coupled with our current and future partnerships will prove to be a winning combination and support our efforts to grow our customer base. Before I turn it over to Nancy to go through our financial results and fourth quarter outlook, I want to spotlight some progress we’ve made on the tech front and why we believe our technology sets us apart from the crowd. I’ve already talked a bit about why our Katapult Pay feature is so unique from a consumer experience perspective, but let me put this into context on how our technology is creating a competitive moat for Katapult.

When our models predict if a durable good is leasable, this technology has to be deployed across every merchant. We have built dynamic and disciplined models that support our underwriting across all of our category coverage. Electronic merchants are different from furniture merchants, which are different from jewelry merchants, for example. This means that we must understand each merchant’s catalog within the context of their category and then teach our models to understand their specific catalog and that’s just the beginning. We also continuously update the model to address the many exceptions to our rules. These updates are actually the secret sauce of our technology and so novel that we recently filed a patent around Katapult Pay in the area of leasable detection to protect our intellectual property.

There is not a lot of patents in this area and we’re proud of the work our team is doing to protect our competitive positioning. This technical knowhow and massive amounts of data we’ve collected over years set our technology apart from our competitive landscape and we will continue to look for opportunities to both monetize and protect our tech lead. As I mentioned earlier, we’ve done a lot of A/B testing this quarter and our tech team is pivotal in allowing us to accelerate this important work. The Wayfair examples I provided you earlier, when we create targeted offers to drive take rates higher, for example, would not be possible if we didn’t have best-in-class technology. Finally, I’m excited about our exploration of generative AI, which we believe will allow our teams to remain on the leading edge of technology.

We believe we can leverage generative AI to optimize our processes, accelerate our progress using the same or fewer resources and create an even more scalable tech infrastructure here at Katapult. From pre-approval to approval and throughout their lifetime with us, our technology powers our ability to deliver a great customer journey while creating great business outcomes. And summarizing our third quarter, we’re really proud of our steady progress. We have a multi-pronged growth strategy that is delivering sustainable growth. On the merchant side, we are enhancing our shopability through new direct integrations and merchant additions to Katapult Pay, while exploring opportunities to help drive even more growth with our current merchants.

At the same time, we’re also nurturing our customer base with new features and targeted marketing campaigns that are driving take rates and engagement. With these solid fundamentals in place, we’re also embarking upon new partnerships such as the one with Western Union that are creating new channels for ROI positive customer acquisition. Finally, we continue to build and protect our technology lead and we are exploring opportunities to leverage our data, proprietary technology and industry knowhow to drive growth. Meet the unique and emerging needs of our merchants and meet customers wherever they are shopping. With that, I’ll turn it over to Nancy. Nancy?

Nancy Walsh: Thank you, Orlando. I’m excited to talk to you today about our strong third quarter results which have added to our track record of growth. For four consecutive quarters we have grown our gross originations year-over-year and in the third quarter, we more than tripled our revenue growth compared with Q2 resulting in more than $4 million in year-over-year improvement to adjusted EBITDA and we’ve achieved this growth against the backdrop of macroeconomic headwinds and growing consumer concerns about the economy. With that as a context, let me provide you with some financial highlights for the third quarter of 2023. Gross originations increased 12.5% year-over-year to $49.6 million. As a reminder, gross origination trends are a leading indicator of future revenue streams.

A percentage of revenue is realized in the quarter in which the gross origination occurs and increases cumulatively over the next four quarters. While we have continued to see healthy results from our direct merchants and Katapult Pay merchants, we did face macro headwinds and a few timing challenges during the quarter. Specifically, we saw retail slow in August and early September before picking back up again and we had one key integration that took a bit longer to launch than we anticipated. Our integrations are heavily dependent on our partners’ resources and schedules, which can often shift after the launch schedule has been planned. Katapult’s portfolio of direct merchants provides a funnel of new customers to drive gross originations at minimal customer acquisition costs.

And now with our Western Union partnership, we expect to have another low cost channel to acquire new customers. During the quarter, approximately 51% of our originations came from existing customers. This is consistent with the 51% we reported in Q2. Our customers are highly engaged and we believe we are fostering the engagement with our powerful mobile app. As Orlando mentioned, nearly half of our gross originations in the third quarter began in the app. One year post the launch of our app and the Katapult Pay feature, we are very excited about the long-term potential. We are driving engagement and delivering a best-in-class experience to our customers. One last note on our gross originations growth. When analyzing this metric, it is important to recognize that we achieved strong double-digit growth within the constraints of our dynamic underwriting model, risks and controls, which led to a lower approval rate year-over-year.

Revenue increased 9.8% year-over-year to $55.3 million, exceeding the 5% to 7% growth outlook we provided last quarter. This strong performance reflects the trends driving gross originations that I just mentioned, as well as the volume performance we saw in the first half of the year. Write-offs as a percent of lease revenue are about flat compared with Q2 and came in at 9.3%. During Q3, we saw this metric peak in July and then come down steadily during the rest of the quarter. Our long-term target for write-offs as a percent of revenue is 8% to 10% and we are comfortably within this range. We continue to benefit from our focus on disciplined expense management during the quarter. We lowered our overall operating expenses by 11.5% compared with Q2 2023 and 27% year-over-year.

Excluding underwriting fees and servicing costs, which are variable and depreciation and non-cash stock-based compensation expense, our fixed cash operating expenses were $9 million, down 31.8% compared to last year. Based on our topline performance and the structural and sustainable benefits we are realizing from our operating efficiencies, we were able to improve our adjusted EBITDA performance substantially. For the third quarter, we recorded positive adjusted EBITDA of $2 million, which was a $4.3 million improvement, compared with the $2.3 million loss we reported in the third quarter of last year. To put a finer point in our progress towards sustained profitability, our Q3 results mean that we have delivered $14 million more in adjusted EBITDA year-to-date than we did in the same period of 2022.

As of September 30th, 2023, we had total cash and cash equivalents of $32.2 million, which excludes $6.7 million of restricted cash, and we feel comfortable that our cash position and our credit facility provide us with the resources we need to support our growth strategy. As you’ve heard, like other companies, we’re navigating a dynamic and sometimes volatile macro environment, while there are tailwinds, such as stable inflation rate and a reduced likelihood of a recession in the U.S., there are also a number of headwinds. Retail traffic is down, interest rates remain elevated, lending standards are tight, and there is uncertainty about how the resumption of student loan repayments will impact our core customer. And while lease-to-own solutions have historically benefited when prime credit options become less available, we believe this mixed bag of economic indicators led to a slowdown in retail activity mid-third quarter and we also believe it could be temporarily dampening some consumer demand for many of the durable goods that are leaseable through Katapult.

Based on this macro outlook and our operating plan, for Q4 2023, we expect to deliver a 3% to 5% year-over-year increase in gross originations, which would be the fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. This outlook is driven by our expectation that macroeconomic conditions and our collections trajectory remain consistent with the first three quarters of the year and that we see a positive impact from marketing initiatives we discussed today. We also expect revenue to grow 13% to 15% year-over-year compared with the fourth quarter of 2022. Lastly, we expect our adjusted EBITDA performance to continue to improve significantly compared with the fourth quarter of last year, reflecting our revenue growth expectations and sustained reduction of our fixed cash operating expenses.

We expect to reduce fixed cash OpEx by approximately 25% year-over-year. For the full year, this translates to an outlook of 12% to 13% gross origination growth, 3% to 4.5% revenue growth and meaningful improvement in adjusted EBITDA, which as of the third quarter has already increased by $14 million year-to-date versus the same period of 2022. During the third quarter, we believe our performance distinguished us from our competitive landscape. We delivered our fourth consecutive quarter of gross originations growth, which translates to $159 million in gross origination year-to-date and double-digit revenue growth for the quarter and we drove this topline growth performance against the backdrop of continued disciplined expense management, which has allowed us to deliver substantial improvements to adjusted EBITDA profitability.

We have a clear growth strategy, a well-defined operating plan that we are executing against and a healthy balance sheet that provides us with the financial room we need to fund our pipeline of origination. We feel confident that we are well positioned for continued growth as we march toward profitability. With that, I’d like to turn the call over to the Operator to open the line for Q&A. Operator?

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