Murphy (MUSA) Q3 Earnings Beat Despite Lower Gasoline Prices

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Motor fuel retailer Murphy USA Inc. MUSA announced third-quarter 2023 earnings per share of $7.69, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.08. The outperformance reflects higher-than-expected petroleum product sales.

However, the company’s bottom line fell from the year-ago adjusted profit of $9.28 due to a fall in the retail gasoline price and fuel contribution.

Meanwhile, Murphy USA’s operating revenues of $5.8 billion fell 6.4% year over year and came below the consensus mark by $31 million.

Merchandise sales, at $1.1 billion, rose 2.8% year over year and outperformed our estimate of $1 billion. Revenues from petroleum product sales came in at $4.7 billion, ahead of our estimate of $4.5 billion but down 8.3% from the third quarter of 2022.

In important news for investors, MUSA’s board of directors recently declared a quarterly cash dividend of 41 cents per share to its common shareholders of record on Nov 6. The payout, which represents a 5.1% sequential increase, will be made on Dec 1.

Murphy USA Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Murphy USA Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Murphy USA Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Murphy USA Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Murphy USA Inc. Quote

 

Key Takeaways

MUSA’s total fuel contribution fell 10.5% year over year to $419 million due to margin contraction. Moreover, total fuel contribution (including retail fuel margin plus product supply and wholesale results) came in at 34.5 cents per gallon, 8.2% lower than the third quarter of 2022.

Retail fuel contribution decreased 28.8% year over year to $348.6 million as margins, at 28.7 cents per gallon, fell 27% from the corresponding period of 2022. Retail gallons fell 2.5% from the year-ago period to 1,214.9 million in the quarter under review and missed our projection of 1,271.9 million. Volumes on an SSS basis (or fuel gallons per store) dropped 4% from the third quarter of 2022 to 241.7 thousand. Meanwhile, the average retail gasoline price during the quarter came in at $3.41 per gallon, down from $3.67 per gallon a year ago.

Contribution from Merchandise increased 3% to $211.8 million on higher sales and a marginal rise in unit margins, from 20% a year ago to 20.1% in the third quarter of 2023. On an SSS basis, total merchandise contribution was up 1.2% year over year, primarily on the back of 3.1% higher tobacco margins. Meanwhile, merchandise sales increased 1% on an SSS basis, again due to an increase in tobacco sales.

The Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s monthly fuel gallons were down 4.2% from the prior-year period, though merchandise sales increased 1.4% on an average per store month basis.

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Balance Sheet

As of Sep 30, Murphy USA — which opened three new retail locations in the quarter to take its store count to 1,724 — had cash and cash equivalents of $124.8 million and long-term debt (including lease obligations) of $1.8 billion, with a debt-to-capitalization of 68.1%.

During the quarter, MUSA bought back shares worth $65.3 million.

Some Key Refining Earnings

While we have discussed MUSA’s third-quarter results in detail, let’s see how some other refining companies have fared this earnings season.

Phillips 66 PSX reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.63, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.78. The underperformance can be primarily attributed to declining refining margins worldwide. This was partially offset by PSX’s lower costs.

For the reported quarter, Phillips 66 generated $2.7 billion of net cash from operations, down from $3.1 billion a year ago. PSX’s capital expenditure and investments totaled $855 million. It paid out dividends of $465 million in the reported quarter. As of Sep 30, 2023, cash and cash equivalents were $3.5 billion. Meanwhile, Phillips 66 reported a total debt of $19.4 billion, reflecting a consolidated debt to capitalization of 39%.

Meanwhile, another refining giant — Valero Energy VLO —  reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings. EPS of $7.49 per share came in above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.36. This was on account of VLO’s increased refining throughput volumes and a decline in total costs of sales.

At the end of the third quarter, VLO had cash and cash equivalents of $5.8 billion, while the company’s total debt and finance lease obligations amounted to $11.4 billion. Valero’s third-quarter capital investment was $394 million. Of the total, $303 million was allotted for sustaining the business.

Finally, we have Marathon Petroleum MPC. It reported adjusted earnings per share of $8.14, which comfortably beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.79 on the back of lower costs and expenses, which offset the effect of a drop in refining margin. In an important development for investors, MPC’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of 82.50 cents per share to its common shareholders of record on Nov 16. The payout, which represents a 10% sequential increase, will be made on Dec 11.

In the reported quarter, Marathon Petroleum spent $522 million on capital programs (49% on Refining & Marketing and 45% on the Midstream segment) compared to $789 million in the year-ago period. As of Sep 30, MPC had cash and cash equivalents of $8.5 billion and total debt, including that of MPLX, of $27.3 billion, with a debt-to-capitalization of 46.2%.

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