NACCO Industries, Inc. (NYSE:NC) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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NACCO Industries, Inc. (NYSE:NC) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript March 7, 2024

NACCO Industries, Inc. isn't one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the NACCO Industries Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we welcome back a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. This call is being recorded on Thursday, March 7, 2024. I would now like to turn the conference over to Christina Kmetko, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Christina Kmetko: Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2023 earnings call. Thank you for joining us this morning. I'm Christina Kmetko, and I'm responsible for Investor Relations at NACCO. Joining me today are J.C. Butler, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Elizabeth Loveman, Senior Vice President and Controller. Yesterday, we published our 2023 fourth quarter and full year results and filed our 10-K. This information is available on our website. Today's call is also being webcast. The webcast will be on our website later this afternoon and available for approximately 12 months. Our remarks that follow, including answers to your questions, contain forward-looking statements.

These statements are subject to several risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements made here today. These risks include, among others, matters that we've described in our earnings release, 10-K, and other SEC filings. We may not update these forward-looking statements until our next quarterly conference call. We'll also be discussing non-GAAP information that we believe is useful in evaluating the company's operating performance. Reconciliations for these non-GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release and on our website. With the formalities out of the way, I'll turn the call over to J.C. for some opening remarks. J.C.?

J.C. Butler: Thank you, Christina. Good morning, everyone. As we put 2023 behind us, I'm pleased to be looking forward to 2024. We expected 2023 to be challenging, and it ended up being more difficult than we expected. That said, challenges are what make us stronger, and I definitely believe that we are entering 2024 in a very strong position. Our teams have delivered on our two key strategies to protect the core and grow and diversify, and we emerged from 2023 with a solid foundation for future growth. The unfavorable comparisons we experienced throughout 2023 should turn favorable in 2024 and lead to continuing improvement in the future. Before I get into our fourth quarter highlights, I'd like to recognize our outstanding employees.

I'm extremely proud of the way these talented, dedicated, and motivated individuals have worked to make our operations run efficiently, despite any challenges they may face. They continue to find new and exciting ways to support our existing customers while growing and diversifying our company. I want to thank each of them for the hard work and many contributions that they put forth to strengthen us today and to secure new opportunities for our future. I am honored each and every day to work alongside such an amazing team. The most notable item this quarter is the impairment at Mississippi Lignite Mining Company. In mid-December, MLMC received a force majeure notice from its customer. This notice was the result of an issue affecting one of the two boilers at the Red Hills Power Plant.

This one unit is still not functioning and the timeline for resolution is uncertain. This issue is expected to result in a significant decline in customer demand during 2024, while the power plant is running on just one unit. Without getting into all the accounting details, I'll just say it was this anticipated reduction in demand that contributed to the company taking a non-cash impairment charge of $65.9 million during the 2023 fourth quarter. The combination of this non-cash impairment charge and substantially lower operating results at our Coal Mining and Minerals Management segments resulted in substantial consolidated operating and net losses for the fourth quarter and full year. Christy will go into more detail about our fourth quarter earnings and provide an overview of our outlook in a minute, but first let me talk about some of our accomplishments during the year.

I'll start with the Coal Mining segment. During 2023, MLMC successfully completed the move to a new mine area and overcame unfavorable mining conditions to remove the last remaining coal from the prior mine area. This move to a new mine area was a multi-year project. We've known that a move to a new mine area would be required since the mine was built back in the late 1990s, so this was no surprise. The new mine area is just across the state highway from the prior mine area, so it will not change the economics of hauling the coal in a meaningful way. But we did have to get equipment to the new mine area. You'll see a photo of the drag line walking across the state highway in our upcoming annual report. As anticipated, MLMC's costs began to improve after the move to the new mine area, which contributed to improve fourth quarter results compared to the third quarter.

While this move was challenging and expensive, it sets us up nicely for the future. We expect production costs at MLMC to decline significantly in 2024 from recent levels. These costs, however, are expected to remain above historical levels through 2024 until the boiler issue at the power plant is resolved and a pit extension in the new mine area is complete. Shifting to Minerals Management, the Catapult Mineral Partners team, which oversees our Minerals Management segment, successfully negotiated and closed on a $37 million acquisition in the Midland section of the Permian Basin. This acquisition of oil and gas mineral interest is Catapult's largest acquisition to date. The Catapult team has done a great job of growing and diversifying our portfolio of mineral interests over the last few years.

Prior to 2020, our income related to oil and gas mineral interests was highly concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, largely focused on natural gas. We still have these legacy interests and profit from owning them, but we now own oil and gas interests in other major basins across the country as well. We're also now more diversified in terms of operators and stages of development, ranging from producing wells to undeveloped mineral interests. We think this business is well positioned for the future, based on work done thus far, and we continue to invest. In 2024, Minerals Management is targeting additional investments of up to $20 million. Future investments, as well as development of new wells on existing owned reserves beyond those included in our current forecast, would be accretive to future results.

In 2023, North American Mining made significant progress on operational and strategic projects to improve profitability. While its fourth quarter operating results were down from the prior year, full year operating profit was up 52% compared with 2022. I think this improvement in results is a very positive sign that the team is making meaningful progress toward building North American Mining into a very successful business platform for us. North American Mining continues to grow. Our North American Mining team succeeded in winning a bid for a six-year contract extension with its largest customer and secured a new 15-year contract to mine phosphate, building on its goal to diversify into additional minerals. Wrapping up my North American Mining comments, let me mention Sawtooth Mining, which is the exclusive contract miner for Lithium Americas Thacker Pass lithium project in northern Nevada.

Aerial view of an opencast coal mine, its vastness conveying the magnitude of its operations.
Aerial view of an opencast coal mine, its vastness conveying the magnitude of its operations.

Construction at Thacker Pass commenced in the 2023 first quarter. With that, we began requiring equipment for the project and have acquired $23 million of equipment to date. We expect to continue to recognize moderate income prior to the commencement of Phase 1 lithium production. Moving to our Mitigation Resources of North America business, this team continues to advance existing mitigation projects and build on the substantial foundation established over the past several years. I'm very pleased with the level of growth Mitigation Resources has achieved since first starting five years ago, and I'm very enthusiastic about their prospects. During 2023, this business invested in people and data analytics to make even more informed decisions about which markets to target.

We anticipate that mitigation resources will further expand and develop its business model in 2024 with a focus on generating a modest operating profit by 2025 and achieving sustainable profitability in future years. Our team continues to look for ways to create additional value by utilizing our core mining competencies, including reclamation and permitting. Among the ways we are doing that is through development of utility scale solar projects on reclaimed mining properties. In 2023, we formed ReGen Resources to pursue such projects, including the potential development of a solar farm on reclaimed land at Mississippi Lignite Mining Company. I continue to be very optimistic about our outlook as we look past 2023. I have a lot of confidence in our team and I'm pleased with the way all of these businesses continue to advance their strategies, including efforts to protect our coal mining business.

With that, I'll turn the call back over to Christy to cover our results for the quarter and our outlook in more detail. Christy?

Christina Kmetko: Thank you, J.C. I'll start with some high level comments on our consolidated fourth quarter financial results and then add detail on our individual segments. We reported a consolidated net loss of $44 million or $5.88 per share loss compared with net income of $13.8 million or $1.84 per share last year. As J.C. mentioned, our fourth quarter results include a $65.9 million pre-tax asset impairment charge. I'd note that while the impairment relates solely to Mississippi Lignite Mining Company, we recorded 60.9 million in the coal segment and 5.1 million at Minerals Management because certain land assets were included within that business. We generated consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $7.1 million compared with 23.6 million in 2022.

Adjusted EBITDA excludes the impairment charge. These lower results were primarily due to significant decreases in our coal mining and Minerals Management earnings. Our coal mining segment reported an operating loss of $62.3 million, which includes the impairment charge of 60.8 million. This compares to a loss of 4.7 million in third quarter 2023 and operating profit of $3.7 million in fourth quarter 2022. We generated segment adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 million this past quarter compared to $8.1 million last year. The decrease in segment adjusted EBITDA was primarily due to the substantial decline in Mississippi Lignite Mining Company results, as well as a decrease in earnings at our unconsolidated operations because of lower customer requirements.

Higher employee related expenses also contributed to the decline. Decrease in Mississippi Lignite Mining Company results was primarily the result of fewer tons delivered in part due to the issue affecting the power plant. The decrease in tons delivered contributed to an increase in the cost per ton sold and a $900,000 write down of coal inventory to net realizable value. Excluding the impairment, the primary reason behind the decline in Minerals Management's results is significantly lower natural gas and oil prices. To put this more in context, current natural gas prices as measured by the Henry Hubb average natural gas spot price declined 51% from 2022 and oil prices, as measured by the West Texas Intermediate average crude oil spot price, decreased 5% from the prior year.

At North American Mining, improved fourth quarter 2023 earnings at Sawtooth and North American Mining's active quarry were more than offset by a $500,000 loss on sale of a drag line. $400,000 of higher outside service costs compared with 2022 related to business development activities and the impact of the substantial completion of services at Caddo Creek in 2022. As a result, North American Mining's fourth quarter 2023 operating loss of 600,000 increased over the prior year. Segment adjusted EBITDA was positive and comparable to 2022 despite the higher operating loss because results at the mining operations improved when the impact of depreciation expense was excluded. Looking forward at our coal mining segment, we expect strong 2024 operating profit compared with a significant 2023 loss and substantially higher segment adjusted EBITDA.

These anticipated increases are primarily due to an improvement in results at Mississippi Lignite Mining Company and higher earnings at Falkirk and Caddo. We are expecting MLMC to incur a loss in 2024, but it is expected to be significantly less than in 2023. As J.C. mentioned, we are anticipating lower production costs. However, while production costs are projected to decline significantly from recent levels, they are expected to remain above historical levels through 2024 when a pit extension in the new mine area is complete. Lower depreciation amortization expense as a result of the lower depreciable value of MLMC's assets after the impairment is expected to contribute to the improved results. An extended delay in repairs to the Red Hills Power Plant could significantly affect the company's 2024 outlook.

An anticipated increase in 2024 earnings at the unconsolidated coal mining operations is driven primarily by an expectation for increased customer requirements at Coteau and Falkirk, as well as a higher profit per ton management fee at Falkirk beginning in June 2024 when temporary price concessions end. We expect operating profit to be higher in the second half of 2024 compared with the first half due to anticipated improvements at MLMC, increased demand at the unconsolidated coal mining operations, and the end of the Falkirk price concessions in June of 2024. As a result, the impact of the new and modified contracts J.C. mentioned, we expect North American Mining to achieve consecutive quarterly growth in operating profit and segment adjusted EBITDA in 2024, leading to significantly improved full year results over 2023.

Finally, at Minerals Management, we expect 2024 operating profit and segment adjusted EBITDA to decrease moderately compared with the prior year, excluding the 2023 impairment charge. The forecast of reduction in profitability is primarily driven by current market expectations for natural gas and oil prices and modest expectations for development of additional new wells by third party lessees. Lower operating expenses are expected to partially offset the anticipated profit decline. Overall, at a consolidated level, we expect to generate net income in 2024 versus the 2023 net loss. Adjusted EBITDA is also expected to increase significantly over 2023. These improvements are primarily due to increased profitability at the coal mining segment from improved results at Mississippi Lignite Mining Company, Falkirk, and Coteau.

Growth at North American Mining is also expected to contribute to the higher 24 net income. Lastly, from a liquidity standpoint, we ended the quarter with consolidated cash of $85 million and debt of 36 million. We had availability of $105 million under our revolving credit facility. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased approximately 66,000 shares for $2.3 million under an existing share repurchase program. In 24, we expect cash flow before financing activities to be a moderate use of cash. We will now turn to any questions you may have.

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