Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLLI) Full-Year Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLLI) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest annual results, and the shares gained 5.6% to US$78.17. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings reported US$2.1b in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.92 beat expectations, being 2.8% higher than what the analysts expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings
After the latest results, the 13 analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings are now predicting revenues of US$2.26b in 2025. If met, this would reflect an okay 7.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to increase 7.8% to US$3.18. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$2.30b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.21 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$84.80, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$104 and the most bearish at US$64.00 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings shareholders.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings'historical trends, as the 7.7% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 8.6% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry (in aggregate), which analyst estimates suggest will see revenues grow 10% annually. So it's pretty clear that Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
