Primoris Services Corporation (NASDAQ:PRIM) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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Primoris Services Corporation (NASDAQ:PRIM) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript February 27, 2024

Primoris Services Corporation isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good morning. My name is Dennis, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Primoris Services Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Blake Holcomb, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Blake Holcomb: Good morning, and welcome to the Primoris fourth quarter and full year 2023 earnings conference call. Joining me today with prepared comments are Tom McCormick, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Ken Dodgen, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I’d like to make everyone aware of certain language contained in our safe harbor statement. The company cautions that certain statements made during this call are forward-looking and subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from our projections and expectations. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in our reports filed with the SEC. Our forward-looking statements represent our outlook as of today, February 27, 2024.

We disclaim any obligation to update these statements, except as may be required by law. In addition, during this conference call, we will make reference to certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures are available on the Investors section of our website and in our fourth quarter and full year 2023 earnings press release, which was issued yesterday. I would now like to turn the call over to Tom McCormick.

Tom McCormick: Thank you, Blake. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2023 results and our initial outlook for 2024. 2023 was a good year for Primoris, as we delivered revenue growth for the 8th consecutive year and set a record for backlog for 3rd consecutive year. Revenue increased to $5.7 billion, up 29% from 2022. The growth was driven largely by our Energy segment, which was up 39%, primarily due to a robust utility-scale solar market, growth in our industrial business, and improvement in our pipeline business from 2022 lows. The Utility segment also saw strong revenue growth, up 18% from the previous year. This was driven by the organic expansion of our power delivery and communications businesses, as well as from acquisitions made in 2022.

Looking at backlog, we booked $7.5 billion of work during the year for a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3 times. This resulted in our ending the year with $10.9 billion of total backlog, or an increase of approximately 20% from 2022. Much of this increase was new project awards in our Energy segment. Our renewables, heavy civil and industrial construction businesses all secured key awards in part driven by infrastructure legislation and the ongoing macro trends of the energy transition and reindustrialization. These trends are leading toward higher energy demand and the desire that the power generation required to meet this demand come from lower carbon emitting sources. We also had a record year with respect to our safety performance in 2023 with a total recordable incident rate of 0.46, which surpassed the record we set in 2021, despite working approximately 10 million more work hours.

This is an accomplishment we take pride in and one that requires the commitment and diligence of all our employees in the field and in our offices across North America. Our success in these and other metrics demonstrate both the tailwinds and our end markets, and our ability to capitalize on opportunities within these markets due to our safe performance, quality execution and strong customer relationships. Continued success in these areas will enable us to remain on a path of profitable growth and earnings expansion. Now, let’s look at our operating segments in detail. In our Utility segment, we achieved a number of organizational and commercial goals during the year. We modified our organizational structure by service line to better align with how our customers are organized with the goals of improving our operational performance.

We hired additional talent to strengthen our operational leadership teams, particularly in power delivery and placed an emphasis on growing our mix of project work along with expanding the scope of our MSA contracts. We saw the benefits of these initiatives as our non-MSA revenue increased by more than 70% from the previous year, which included several transmission and substation projects. Our teams also worked hard to continue to secure new MSA contracts and update the billing rates of our contracts to be more in line with the current market. Although, negotiations on MSAs is an ongoing and often lengthy process, we began to benefit from updated rates in the back half of 2023 and should more fully realize these as we continue contract renewals in 2024.

Although, we have a number of accomplishments to highlight in these areas, there were also some challenges that we faced during the year that impacted our margins in the segment. In gas operations, we had solid execution performance, however, the business was impacted by a slight decline in revenues compared to the prior year. Power delivery margins were adversely impacted from legacy PLH projects that experienced higher costs than were anticipated. We also operated for much of the year under below market rates on several of our MSAs and with some excess equipment that weighed on margins during the year. Lastly, we had a communications project experienced cost overruns that led to lower than anticipated margins compared to 2022. However, we believe that we’ve been able to remedy many of the issues that we face in 2023 and are confident that we will be able to deliver improved margins in this segment back closer to the midpoint of our 9% to 11% range.

Turning to the Energy segment, our pipeline business delivered a strong turnaround from 2022, going from negative gross margins to the high-single-digits. This was accomplished through a significant project award in the Mid-Atlantic that was successfully executed by our union pipeline business and solid performance on projects acquired in the PLH acquisition. Our industrial construction business has also delivered a solid year of revenue and gross profit growth, while positioning the businesses to have an even better 2024 by securing several key projects in the back half of 2023 and early 2024. There continues to be a substantial number of opportunities for industrial construction and heavy civil businesses that line up well with their respective expertise.

The renewables business continued its impressive track record of revenue growth and margin expansion, while also closing the year with more than $2.4 billion in backlog. You may recall that we entered 2023 with over $1.3 billion of backlog for our renewables business, representing an approximate 1.8 times book-to-bill. We met or exceeded many of our goals, despite challenges that face the industry, including higher interest rates, supply chain challenges, or uncertainty around tax incentives. Our results are evidence of the resilience of our business model and collaborative client relationships as we were able to mitigate or work around a number of obstacles the industry faced during the year. We are optimistic about the future potential of renewables as our current portfolio of projects in various phases of our sales cycle is $5.8 billion.

A significant portion of the work we do for our existing customers is not competitively bid as they know our track record and appreciate the value we bring to their projects. We expect our teams to be fully utilized on projects in 2024 and are now building our backlog for 2025 and beyond. Our leadership is focused on building project management teams diligently and deliberately in order to meet this growing demand and we plan to expand from our current level of 15 project teams to 17 project teams by the end of the year. In addition to our growth in solar construction, we continue to make headway and building out other adjacencies in the solar business including battery storage, O&M, and high voltage work. We believe that these areas of growth will begin to have a more meaningful contribution to the business in 2024.

Overall, Primoris had a strong operational year in 2023 and we believe we are well positioned to have another great year in 2024. We have a healthy backlog of projects and the teams in place to execute on our growth plans. Our end markets are positioned for long-term growth and our expectation is that we will continue to benefit from ongoing investments in infrastructure services. However, our focus is on taking the right projects with the right contract terms in the right markets with the right partners, which will allow us to improve margins and generate additional positive cash flow. In certain instances, in businesses, we may opt to grow below market rates or even choose to exit a specific market in order to ensure that we maintain our focus and better position ourselves to grow earnings and cash flow.

Now, I’ll hand it over to Ken, for more on our financial results.

Ken Dodgen: Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone. Our fourth quarter revenue was $1.5 billion, an increase of $186 million or 14% compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily driven by substantial growth in our Energy segment, which was up $196 million from the prior year, driven primarily by a 38% increase in renewables revenue. Gross profit for the fourth quarter improved slightly on the higher revenue to approximately $157 million, an increase of $3 million. Gross margins declined to 10.3% from the prior year due to lower margins in the Utility segment. Turning now to our segments. The Utility segment revenue was essentially flat compared to the prior year. Gross profit was down to approximately $43 million, a decrease of 39% compared to the prior year on lower gross margins.

A construction site at dawn, a workers silhouetted in the morning sun, working on a utility plant.
A construction site at dawn, a workers silhouetted in the morning sun, working on a utility plant.

Gross margins were 7.5% for the quarter, down from 12.1% in the prior year. The decrease in gross profit and margin was driven by the mix of lower margin MSA at work during the quarter, less project work during the quarter, which generally has higher margins, and an earlier onset of winter in certain markets as compared to the prior year. Energy segment revenue increased $196 million compared to the prior year on the continued strength of our renewable business, an increased industrial activity in Canada and in the western United States. Gross profit increased over 36% to $114 million and gross margins increased to 12% compared to 11.1% in the prior year. Gross profit and gross margins benefited from growth in our higher margin renewables work and improved industrial margins.

For the full year 2023 revenue was up $1.3 billion to a little over $5.7 billion and gross profit increased by $131 million or approximately 29%, primarily due to continued strength in our energy segment and contributions from the PLH and B Comm acquisitions. Looking at segment gross profit for the year, Utilities gross profit decreased slightly due to lower gross margins partially offset by revenue growth. Margins declined to 8.7% for the full year. The lower gross profit and margins were driven by the lower margins in Q4 along with the higher costs on some legacy PLH projects noted back in Q3. We believe that the higher costs and productivity issues have been largely addressed and should not have a significant impact on the Utilities margins in 2024.

Energy’s gross profit increased over $134 million or 55% compared to the prior year. This is primarily due to higher revenue and better performance across all areas of the segment, renewables, industrial and pipeline. Gross margins increased 11.4% in 2023 compared to 10.3% in the prior year. This was mainly due to growth in our renewables business and improved pipeline and industrial margins. SG&A expense in the quarter was down almost $10 million to $81 million compared to $91 million in the prior year. The decrease was primarily driven by higher G&A expense in the prior year from the PLH acquisition. For the full year, SG&A was 5.8% of revenue, down from 6.4% in the prior year driven by the increase in revenue and the synergy savings from integrating PLH.

In 2024, we expect our SG&A will trend in the low-6% range as we continue to support our growth. Net interest expense in the fourth quarter was $22 million compared to $19 million in the prior year. Full year net interest expense was up almost $39 million from the prior year to just over $78 million. These increases were due to higher average debt balances from our acquisitions in 2022 and higher interest rates. We expect interest expense for 2024 to be between $77 and $82 million. Our effective tax rate was 29% for 2023 compared to 16.5% for the prior year. The higher rate was driven by the use of capital losses to offset capital gains in the prior year and the temporary change in allowing full deductibility of per diem expenses that expired at the end of 2022.

We expect our effective tax rate will likely remain at approximately 29% in 2024, but this may vary depending on the mix of states in which we work. Operating cash flows in the fourth quarter were approximately $206 million, and for the full year operating cash flows were just under $200 million, representing an increase of $115 million versus the prior year. The increase in operating cash flows were driven by our efforts to improve working capital, along with some early customer payments prior to the end of the year, partially offset by revenue growth. This shows we are beginning to make progress toward our working capital initiatives. These initiatives remain ongoing, and working capital will likely be needed as we seasonally ramp up during the year.

But we are pleased with our team’s efforts to prioritize cash conversion and the early success we’re seeing. Turning to CapEx, we invested $20.5 million in the fourth quarter and $103 million during the full year. This was up from $95 million in 2022. Similar to last year, we expect our gross capital expenditures to be $80 million to $100 million in 2024. Looking at the balance sheet and liquidity, we paid down $120 million on our revolver in Q4 and ended the year with almost $218 million of cash. Borrowing capacity under our revolver was roughly $273 million, providing total available liquidity of $491 million at year end. Total long-term debt was $965 million and net debt was $747 million, lowering our trailing 12-month net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to just over 2 times compared to 2.7 times at the end of last year.

This puts us ahead of our goal of 2 times leverage by the end of 2024. We expect to see this ratio increase up to around 2.5 times with our seasonal working capital peak during Q2 and Q3, but this should cycle back down to the low-2s by the end of the year. Overall, we are delivering on our objectives to execute with operational consistency, grow earnings and increase cash flow. Further success in these areas will allow us to meet our capital allocation objectives to support continued organic growth of the business, pay down debt, and opportunistically pursue acquisitions that align with our growth strategy. Moving on to backlog, we updated our backlog reporting to show our total fixed backlog and our total MSA backlog through the end of our current MSA contracts excluding renewals.

This gives a more complete and accurate picture of our total backlog, and how much is expected to burn over the next 12 months. Comparing year-end backlog to the prior year, our next 12-month backlog increased $768 million or 19%. This was driven primarily by an increase in energy fixed backlog of $678 million or 35%. Total backlog was approximately $10.9 billion, which was $1.8 billion higher than the prior year or roughly 20%. The primary drivers of the increased and fixed backlog were continued strength in our solar EPC bookings and heavy civil and industrial project wins. I will wrap up with our earnings guidance for 2024. We expect our earnings per fully diluted share to be in the $2.50 to $2.70 range and our adjusted EPS to be in the $3.05 to $3.25 per share, both representing double-digit percent growth from 2023 at the midpoint.

Our adjusted EBITDA guidance is $395 million to $415 million for 2024, representing a 7% increase over the prior year at the midpoint. This growth will be primarily driven by organic growth in our renewables, industrial, and utilities businesses. We believe these guidance ranges show solid, steady earnings growth from the prior year with the opportunity to exceed these targets through disciplined resource allocation and consistent execution. As a reminder, our first quarter is typically our lowest quarter of the year for both revenue and net income due to seasonality, which primarily impacts our Utility segment. As a result, we expect our Utility segment margins in the 9% to 11% range for the full year with Q1 in the 5% to 7% range. And for our Energy segment, we expect gross margins to be in the 10% to 12% range for the full year.

And with that, I’ll turn it back over to Tom.

Tom McCormick: Thank you, Ken. In closing, I want to highlight and reiterate the progress we are making in a number of our strategic focus areas that we shared with you in previous quarters. First, we are growing our target markets of renewables, power delivery, and communications. The combined top-line growth for these businesses increased more than 35% year-over-year and represented more than 55% of the company’s total revenue growth. We see multi-year favorable tailwinds in these markets and plan to allocate capital of their growth. We are building critical infrastructure that addresses the ongoing need for more generation capacity, grid infrastructure upgrades, resilience and maintenance, and initiatives to deliver more data over high-speed broadband to remote or low-speed areas of the country.

Second, we continue to shift our service mix toward the higher margin business lines and toward customers that value the collaborative solutions we can provide. We are allocating our financial resources and time toward the projects and clients or partners, where we see the greatest opportunity for mutual success. These efforts are bearing fruit as we expand with key customers to new markets and communications and renewables in 2024. And as noted earlier, we are succeeding in winning more project work and market rate increases in gas and power delivery. Although some of the markets we serve are experiencing more secular growth trends at the moment, the quality of our work and customer relationships are resulting in significant increase in cross-selling of services.

We have had a number of projects completed in under construction with scopes that include the construction of access roads and site clearing, combined with solar construction, battery storage, substation, and high voltage transmission work. It is the success of these businesses working in collaboration with one another, is offering our clients a more complete solution for their projects and allowing us to self-perform more of the work, which gives us better control of the project’s outcome. In fact, our power delivery major projects team already has nearly $90 million in substation and high voltage work plan for our renewables business at the start of the year, and we believe that this will be a continuing trend. Lastly, as Ken alluded to in his comments, we are increasing our operating cash flow and improving our leverage ratio.

We put in a lot of hard work in order to position ourselves to drive cash flow. We have established teams to ensure timely and accurate billing, negotiated with customers to improve payment terms, and even opted not to take on work where the terms for payment were not acceptable. Cash conversion is a continuously improving process for our company, but I am pleased to see our employees take ownership of this initiative. We believe a strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet will provide us with the most flexibility to invest in the business and be nimble when it comes to allocating capital towards the highest returns in our portfolio of services. In closing, Primoris set out in 2023 to have safe, consistent execution on our projects, perform toward our financial goals, improved cash flow and pay down debt.

We accomplished these objectives and believe it has put us in great position for another successful year in 2024. Our ability to continue performing well in these, and other strategic areas is the best way to ensure the long-term success of Primoris to the benefit of our employees, customers and shareholders. And with that, I’ll now open it up for questions.

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