Q1 2023 Provident Financial Services Inc Earnings Call

In this article:

Participants

Adriano M. Duarte; Senior VP & IR Officer; Provident Financial Services, Inc.

Anthony J. Labozzetta; President, CEO & Director; Provident Financial Services, Inc.

Thomas M. Lyons; Senior EVP & CFO; Provident Financial Services, Inc.

Bill Young; Assistant VP; RBC Capital Markets, Research Division

Manuel Antonio Navas; VP & Research Analyst; D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division

Mark Thomas Fitzgibbon; MD & Head of FSG Research; Piper Sandler & Co., Research Division

Presentation

Operator

Good morning. Thank you for attending today's Provident Financial Services, Inc. First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Frances, and I'll be your moderator today. (Operator Instructions)
I would now like to pass the conference over to our host, Adriano Duarte with Provident Financial Services. Please go ahead.

Adriano M. Duarte

Thank you, Frances. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our first quarter earnings call. Today's presenters are President and CEO, Tony Labozzetta; and Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Tom Lyons.
Before beginning the review of our financial results, we ask that you please take note of our standard caution as to any forward-looking statements that may be made during the course of today's call. Our full disclaimer is contained in this morning's earnings release, which has been posted to our Investor Relations page on our website, provident.bank.
Now it's my pleasure to introduce Tony Labozzetta who will offer his perspective on the first quarter. Tony?

Anthony J. Labozzetta

Thank you, Adriano. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Provident Financial Services earnings call.
First quarter was an extraordinary time for the banking industry. What has been described as an idiosyncratic event resulted in the failure of 2 high-profile regional banks and caused the disruption to the banking system that can be properly termed a deposit flight crisis. Presently, it appears that the volatility has moderated, and the banking industry, including Provident, remains fundamentally strong, liquid and well capitalized.
Given this recent disruption to the banking system, out of an abundance of caution, we prudently took measures to maximize our on-balance sheet liquidity. This included increasing our cash position, using higher cost funding sources and higher costing deposit programs that provide more insurance.
Despite the current market conditions, Provident produced good financial results this quarter, which demonstrates the resiliency of our business model, strong deposit franchise and talented management team.
As such, we reported earnings of $0.54 per share, an annualized return on average assets of 1.2% and a return on average tangible equity of 14.1%. Our capital is strong and comfortably exceeds well capitalized levels.
Tangible book value expanded $0.52 or 3.4% during the quarter to $15.64 on the strength of our earnings and the improvement in the unrealized loss on our securities portfolio. Our tangible common equity ratio at March 31 was 8.56%. As such, our Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per share payable on May 26.
In response to the disruption that I previously mentioned, we instituted a robust customer outreach program. I am pleased to report that these efforts were well received by our customers. We identified a limited amount of deposit outflows that were directly associated with the deposit flight crisis.
Presently, our uninsured deposits are $2.9 billion or approximately 29% of our total deposits. Our on-balance sheet liquidity, plus our borrowing capacity is $3.7 billion or 126% of uninsured deposits.
Our core deposits are a valuable component of our franchise. During the quarter, our core deposits decreased $265 million or 2.5%, which we attribute to normal business activity, customers seeking higher rates and some outflow liquidity related to the market disruption.
For the first quarter, our deposit beta was 76%, while the rising rate cycle to date deposit beta was about 18%. Consequently, our total cost to deposits increased and, when combined with the excess liquidity previously mentioned, drove our total cost of funds up 42 basis points to 1.21% and compressed our net interest margin 14 basis points.
Our commercial lending team closed approximately $350 million of new commercial loans during the first quarter. However, increased -- prepayments increased 61% to $283 million as compared to the trailing quarter. Approximately $116 million or 41% represented desired payoffs. The remainder were due to the sale of the underlying collateral or refinanced elsewhere.
Our credit metrics improved in the first quarter, and we continue to maintain prudent underwriting standards, particularly in our CRE lending. In addition, our CRE monitoring processes have been enhanced with targeted in-depth initiatives to evaluate portfolio and loan level risks.
Areas of focus include the office property portfolio and the construction portfolio as well as loan level reviews for credits that are maturing or are upcoming rate resets.
Our line of credit utilization percentage decreased 3% in the first quarter to 31%, trailing our historical average of approximately 40%. As a result of the heightened payoffs and decreased line utilization, our commercial loans remained relatively flat versus the trailing quarter.
The pull-through in our commercial loan pipeline during the first quarter was good, and the gross pipeline remained strong at approximately $1.5 billion. The pull-through adjusted pipeline, including loans pending closed, is approximately $898 million, and our projected pipeline rate remained unchanged at 6.77%.
We are encouraged by the strength of our pipeline. And with normal payoffs, we expect to achieve our growth targets. However, we remain mindful of a potential economic slowdown.
Our fee-based businesses performed well this quarter. Provident Protection Plus had a strong first quarter with 35% organic growth, which resulted in a 26% increase in revenue and a 27% increase in operating profit as compared to the same quarter last year.
The conditions in the financial markets were more stable in the first quarter. And as a result, Beacon Trust experienced growth in the market value of assets under management and related fee income. Beacon's fee income increased $319,000 or 4.8% as compared to the trailing quarter.
Regarding our previously announced merger with Lakeland Bancorp, our team continues to work diligently towards obtaining the regulatory approvals necessary to combine our 2 companies. We are excited about this combination, which will enhance our ability to serve our customers and our communities.
Looking forward, we remain focused on growing our business, staying committed to our risk management principles and integrating the merger with Lakeland Bancorp, which we believe will create value for all of our stakeholders.
Now I'll turn the call over to Tom for his comments on our financial performance. Tom?

Thomas M. Lyons

Thank you, Tony, and good morning, everyone.
As Tony noted, our net income for the quarter was $40.5 million or $0.54 per share compared with $49 million or $0.66 per share for the trailing quarter and $44 million or $0.58 per share for the first quarter of 2022.
Nontax deductible charges related to our pending merger of Lakeland Bancorp totaled $1.1 million in the current quarter and $1.2 million in the trailing quarter. Excluding these merger-related charges, pretax preprovision earnings for the current quarter was $62.8 million or an annualized 1.86% of average assets.
Revenue totaled $130 million for the quarter compared with $132 million for the trailing quarter and $115 million for the first quarter of 2022.
Our net interest margin decreased 14 basis points in the trailing quarter to 3.48%. The yield on earning assets improved by 27 basis points versus the trailing quarter as floating and adjustable rate loans repriced favorably, and new loan originations reflected higher market rates.
This improvement in asset yields, however, was more than offset by an increase in interest-bearing funding costs of 54 basis points versus the trailing quarter. Increased funding costs reflected current market conditions, which resulted in an increase in borrowings accompanied by a decrease in deposits.
Certain noninterest-bearing balances also moved to our interest-bearing and short cash sweep product in order to obtain increased deposit insurance (inaudible) lower costing demand and savings balance has shifted to higher costing time deposits.
The average total cost of deposits increased 38 basis points to 1.05%. This represents deposit basis of 76% for the current quarter and 18% for the rising rate (inaudible) to date.
The average cost in total interest-bearing liabilities increased 54 basis points from the trailing quarter to 1.54%. While an increase in funding costs was anticipated, recent (inaudible) resulting industry liquidity concerns and an increase in the attractiveness of investment of (inaudible) have caused the competitive environment and increased deposit or security and price sensitivity. As a result, we expect to see some continued net interest margin compression for the balance of 2023.
Period-end commercial and total loans were partially stable, decreasing $19 million and $25 million, respectively, for the quarter. Our pull-through adjusted loan pipeline increased $184 million from last quarter to $898 million with a weighted average rate of 6.77% versus our current portfolio yield of 5.2 -- 5.12%.
The provision for credit losses on loans increased $2.6 million for the quarter to $6 million due to a worsened economic forecast. As a result, the allowance for credit losses on loans increased 91 basis points of total loans at March 31 from 86 basis points at December 31.
Current credit metrics, however, improved with delinquencies and criticized and classified assets falling, and nonperforming assets to total assets declining to 36 basis points at March 31. Net charge-offs were an annualized 3 basis points of loans for the quarter.
Noninterest income increased $3.9 million versus the trailing quarter as an additional $2 million gain on the prior quarter sale of REO was realized upon the satisfaction of post-closing conditions in the current quarter. In addition, our fee-based business lines performed well, with insurance agency and wealth management income both increased versus the trailing quarter.
Excluding provisions for credit losses on commitments to extend credit and merger-related charges, operating expenses were an annualized 2% of average assets for the current quarter compared to 1.79% in the trailing quarter and 1.90% for the first quarter of 2022.
The efficiency ratio was 51.85% for the first quarter of 2023 compared with 46.88% in the trailing quarter and 56.05% for the first quarter of 2022.
The first quarter of every year is impacted by increased employer payroll tax expense as Social Security and income limits reset each calendar year. In addition, the current quarter included nonrecurring charges of approximately $563,000 related to achievement projections on performance-based stock compensation and $363,000 related to the conclusion of a multiyear sales tax audit.
That concludes our prepared remarks. We'd be happy to respond to questions.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from the line of Mark Fitzgibbon with Piper Sandler.

Mark Thomas Fitzgibbon

Tom, I wonder if you could share with us what the spot deposit rates look like today.

Thomas M. Lyons

I don't have in front of me, Mark.

Mark Thomas Fitzgibbon

Okay. I can circle back with you on that. If I heard your comments about the margin trending down over the balance of 2023, do you have a feel for roughly where you think that will bottom, assuming we follow the forward curve?

Thomas M. Lyons

Yes, I have a little bit less confidence in our projections in this typical market because of a number of moving parts there and a little bit of volatility. But I can offer that the March net interest margin was 3.39%.
I'm thinking probably something in the [335] million range for Q2 and continue to drift down perhaps over the balance of the year as we continue to see that lag in deposit beta pick up. When you look at our long-term average as a public company, Mark, we -- I think the average overall was [324] going back to 2003.

Mark Thomas Fitzgibbon

Okay. Fair enough. And then secondly, I just -- and you may not have great color on this, but do you have any sense for the approximate timing of when the Lakeland transaction might happen?

Anthony J. Labozzetta

Mark, this is Tony. Yes, we don't have an absolute time, as you know, but we're getting closer. We've submitted the final comments that the FDIC required in our application. And they're processing that information as we speak. And hopefully, that should close out more requirements. And if they see clear, it get us to an approval soon. So if I had -- our internal expectations are May, but obviously, I have to caveat on that.

Mark Thomas Fitzgibbon

Okay. And then Tony, I saw -- your pipelines look like they strengthened nicely. How are you thinking about growth? Do you want to grow a lot in this environment? Do you feel like the spreads are attractive enough to justify really growing the balance sheet at this point in the cycle?

Anthony J. Labozzetta

I think what we're seeking does justify that. I think if we're not getting the pricing, especially on obviously adjusted basis, we generally would walk from those transactions. I think everything that is in our pipeline and that we discussed in our deal screens are deals that we think are Provident bankable, if you will.
So the answer to that is, yes, but we're not looking to have outsized growth. We're looking to have very rational growth in the asset classes that we desire, which, in the event the question will come up momentarily, I think where we're seeing our growth and what our pipeline is comprised of largely are assets in the multifamily space, industrial and some desirable retail. So that's what we see where our growth has been, and that's what we're focusing in on.

Mark Thomas Fitzgibbon

Okay. And then last question. Are you seeing any opportunities to pick up teams from places like Signature, First Republic or other places?

Anthony J. Labozzetta

The answer is yes. We opened a regional office on Long Island just as an example. That office has now been almost fully staffed, if not fully staffed, with a number of talented team leaders and RMs. And a number of them have come from Signature as well as other places.
So yes, the answer is yes, but it's not a wholesale hiring. It's just we're picking up the talent that we're looking for. In this case, it happens to be numerous members of the team. But usually, it's one-offs.

Thomas M. Lyons

Mark, it's Tom. And just to follow up on the deposit cost question, if I look at the average cost for March, it was about 120 basis points, 1.2%.

Operator

The next question comes from Billy Young with RBC Capital Markets.

Bill Young

Just to follow up on the loan growth question, can you just -- I guess, just kind of help us square the trend you saw in the first quarter with the higher payoff activity and lower utilization rates and your confidence in still hitting your mid-single-digit growth this year?
Is it -- was it more just timing of how give you confidence that you're not going to see continuation of the higher payoffs and lower utilization going forward?

Anthony J. Labozzetta

I'll start off by saying part of how we manage our loan portfolio, particularly our CRE portfolio, has something to do with that -- those levels of payoffs. As I mentioned in my remarks, nearly $115 million of those payoffs were desired payoffs, which means they are assets that we were looking to exit from. And if you adjust that portion alone, it would probably equate to an annualized growth rate of about 4% or a little over that.
So given what we're seeing in the pipeline, yes, the pipeline is being up that if we have normal pull-throughs, we should still be able to meet that 6% number that we're targeting.
In terms of payoffs, we're not seeing a lot of payoffs related to repricing. Some sales of assets are taking place. But in our continued management of our CRE portfolio or all of our loans, we may exit a loan here from time to time or not renew it. But on balance, we don't expect to see a ton of that. We expect that to be stable. And with the pull through, we're still guiding to that 6%, as I mentioned earlier.

Bill Young

Understood. And just drilling down a little bit into some of the deposit trends given everything that happened in March. Can you just give a little bit of color on -- if you saw any commonalities on the types of customers that drove the limited amount of outflows that you saw over the month as well as maybe a little bit of color on how pricing evolved pre and post mid-March?

Anthony J. Labozzetta

Sure. I'll start, and I'm sure Tom will help me. I just didn't put a little color on the macro picture. I'll try to break it into a couple of categories.
If we can first look at the municipal deposit categories, we saw a run out in first quarter, and that's typical. If you look at what's happened as we enter the second quarter, almost all of that has come back. So I look at that sector as being secured and business as usual.
As we break down the business deposit categories, we saw a small handful that went out as early on in this liquidity crisis, if you will, but we see the whole class as stabilized in terms of the business side.
What we did see there in terms of repricing was a number of customers that are moving into the ICS program, which is the insured program. That adds another 15 basis points. And where possible, we're passing that through to our customers.
I think what you're seeing industry-wide is it was also a little bit a flight out of noninterest bearing demand into more interest-bearing, even on the business side.
That -- and lastly, on the consumer, I think that's probably the area that I think was more surprising because I think this crisis has a weight in the sensitivity associated with pricing on the consumer side.
So we saw more behavior on the consumer side in terms of flow outs to either money markets or treasury securities or even moving between lower-cost products within our bank into higher costing CDs. So there was more of a dynamic there, and we're in uncharted waters. But what we're expecting as we move forward is that kind of levels out that people that have taken action.
We're presuming that a large percentage of it has happened, but we still expect some more to happen. Internally, we're doing a lot more analysis around it and to prepare a response.
But our overall attitude is not to chase deposits because the cost of chasing deposits is extraordinarily high. So our strategy is largely defensive and make sure that we don't have a tremendous amount of incremental cost pricing and thereby preserve our margin.

Operator

The next question comes from Manuel Navas with D.A. Davidson.

Manuel Antonio Navas

With the kind of more [mid] pressure expected, what are you kind of assuming for new assumption for deposit payments?

Thomas M. Lyons

Overall, we're still modeling the 25% through the cycle. We have stressed that. But as I mentioned earlier, it's a pretty volatile environment, a little bit more challenging to state predictions with confidence. So we kind of shortened our time horizon on our expectations.

Manuel Antonio Navas

Okay. That makes sense. With some of the -- I guess, some of the staffing in Long Island being from Signature, is there any color you can give on their prior book of businesses and if there's any pipeline for more hires in general from M&A disruption?

Anthony J. Labozzetta

I think -- so first, I will say that it's mix, both of C&I type lending team and some -- to fill in some open CRE preposition. It's a CRE lending staff that we needed out there, so it's a complement.
From the onset, the asset classes we're chasing and because -- and the strength of the sponsors appears to be solid, and we're thrilled with the progress there. I don't know if I caught the last part of that was whether we have a desire to do more, and I think I will characterize that by -- there's never -- we always seek to enhance our talent, right? But at the same time, there's a process, right?
We need to get the positive operating leverage on our investment and move forward as we look to go into other potential markets. So hopefully, I kind of gave you the answer on that.

Manuel Antonio Navas

I appreciate the color. Any kind of update on expenses? What type of run rate should we expect from here ahead of (inaudible) on the core basis?

Thomas M. Lyons

Yes. On a core basis, I'm thinking the $66.5 million to $67 million range makes sense if I kind of normalize Q1 back to some of the nonrecurring items and some of the seasonal items that were in there.

Operator

There are no questions waiting at this time, so I'll pass the conference back over to Mr. Labozzetta for any additional remarks.

Anthony J. Labozzetta

Thanks, everyone, for attending our call. We look forward to speaking with you at our next quarterly earnings call, and have a very nice day. Thank you.

Operator

That concludes the Provident Financial Services, Inc. first quarter earnings conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.

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