Q3 2023 Postal Realty Trust Inc Earnings Call

In this article:

Participants

Jordan Cooperstein; VP F&A, Capital Markets; Postal Realty Trust, Inc.

Andrew Spodek; CEO; Postal Realty Trust, Inc.

Jeremy Garber; President; Postal Realty Trust, Inc.

Robert Klein; CFO; Postal Realty Trust, Inc.

Eric Borden; Analyst; BMO Capital Markets

Rob Stevenson; Analyst; Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

Ki Bin Kim; Analyst; Truist Securities

Jon Petersen; Analyst; Jefferies

Nahum Wanhan; Analyst; JPMorgan

Presentation

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to Postal Realty Trust third-quarter 2023 earnings call. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Jordan Cooperstein, Vice President of FP&A Capital Markets. Welcome, Jordan.

Jordan Cooperstein

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to the Postal Realty Trust third-quarter 2023 earnings conference call. On the call today we have Andrew Spodek, Chief Executive Officer; Jeremy Garber, President; Robert Klein, Chief Financial Officer; and Matt Brandwein, Chief Accounting Officer.
Please note the company may use forward-looking statements on this conference call, which are statements that are not historical facts are considered forward-looking. These forward-looking statements are covered by the Safe Harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements and will be affected by a variety of risks and factors that are beyond the company's control, including but not limited to, those contained in the company's latest 10-K and its other Securities and Exchange Commission filings. The company does not assume and specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Additionally, on this conference call, the company may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures such as funds from operations, adjusted funds from operations, adjusted EBITDA, and net debt. You can find a tabular reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most currently comparable GAAP measures in the company's earnings release and supplemental materials.
With that, I will now turn the call over to Andrew Spodek, Chief Executive Officer of Postal Realty Trust.

Andrew Spodek

Good morning and thank you for joining us today. The third quarter marked another strong period for Postal Realty. We demonstrated our ability to drive external and internal growth by expanding our asset base and achieving operating efficiencies. We acquired 70 postal properties across the US during the quarter at an 8% weighted average cap rate, the top of our stated range. Based on the acquisitions completed through October 20, we have added 153 properties to our portfolio for $58 million, continue to work towards our $80 million target and anticipate our full-year 2023 weighted average cap rate to be between 7.25% and 7.75% percent.
The increase in transaction volumes is encouraging, and we are optimistic that this will continue through the end of the year. The high retention and occupancy rates across our portfolio are characteristic of the niche market we serve, where we receive 100% of our monthly rent, a 100% on time. This predictability of cash flow is a significant differentiator for Postal Royalty. It's important to note that even at the discussion of a government shutdown persists, the Postal Service has affirmatively stated that not only will their facilities remain open but their services shall remain uninterrupted. We continue to be judicious with our deployed of capital.
Our revolving credit facility remains completely undrawn, and we've maintained conservative leverage with net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA of 5.5 times. We have positioned ourselves optimally to capitalize on attractive opportunities that arise, and we are confident they will.
Our team has over 30 years of experience acquiring, operating, and managing properties from small towns to big cities and everything in between. We take pride in the operation and management of each asset in our growing portfolio. For logistics network, we invest in on a daily basis its irreplaceable American infrastructure, enabling the Postal Service to serve the American people through the 165 million distinct delivery points they've reached five to six days a week.
This unique and niche space has proved its resilience in the past and present economic cycle. Regardless of whether the US economy will face a soft landing, hard landing, or no landing, we are exceedingly confident in the strength of our business, our tenants, and our opportunity for future growth.
I'll now turn the call over to Jeremy.

Jeremy Garber

Thank you, Andrew. In the third quarter of 2023, we added approximately 165,000 net leasable interior square feet to our portfolio, inclusive of 63,000 square feet from 45 last-mile properties and 102,000 square feet from 25 flex properties.
During the quarter, we received the fully executed 2022 renewals with the Postal Service, marking to market expiring rents on 86 properties, while also introducing annual rent escalations to these releases. The Postal Service is an exceptional partner to our company. Our discussions regarding the 2023 lease expirations remain ongoing, and we are making progress.
We have maintained a 99% historical weighted average lease retention rate of it the past 10 plus years, reflecting the strategic importance of these properties to both the Postal Service and the communities they serve.
I'll now turn the call over to Rob to discuss our third-quarter financial results.

Robert Klein

Thank you, Jeremy, and thank you, everyone, for joining us on today's call. We are pleased to discuss our third-quarter financial results. Funds from operations or FFO was $0.25 per diluted share, and adjusted funds from operations or AFFO was $0.27 per diluted share. We've continued to manage our balance sheet prudently by maintaining low leverage and minimizing our exposure to variable rate debt. At the end of the third quarter, our debt outstanding had a weighted average interest rate of 4.04%, a weighted average maturity of five years, and no notable debt maturities until 2027.
Our $150 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility was completely undrawn, and 100% of all borrowings were sent to fixed rates. Net debt to annualize adjusted EBITDA ratio was 5.5 times at the end of Q3 well within our target of below 7 times.
During our last call, we announced that we raised roughly $12 million by entering into forward sales agreements through our ATM program subsequent to the end of the second quarter. As of October 20, we settled these forward sales agreements, utilizing the $12 million in proceeds to repay the revolving credit facility and bond acquisition.
Recurring CapEx for the third quarter was under $0.02 per square foot at $97,000. As we've discussed in prior quarters, we anticipate the figure for 2023 to be around $0.02 per square foot. We expect to complete additional our R&M and CapEx projects prior to year end, and our recurring CapEx guidance for the fourth quarter is between $200,000 and $300,000.
Cash G&A expense came in lower than expected during the third quarter as we continued to achieve cost savings and efficiencies throughout 2023. We do anticipate an uptick in expenses for the fourth quarter, and our guidance is between $2.2 million and $2.4 million, reducing our projected 2023 total to between $8.8 million and $9 million, which is a slight increase over last year.
The projected increase as compared to the third quarter is primarily related to additional hires, further investment in technology, and the timing of work performed by our third-party vendors. As a reminder, the lower 2023 figures are result of employees electing to receive equity as part of their compensation, reduced third-party expenses, and internal operating efficiencies. Consistent with our guidance throughout the year, 2023 cash G&A as a percentage of revenue will decline on an annual basis.
Our Board of Directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.2375 per share, representing a 1.1% increase from the third-quarter 2022 dividend. Our business model continues to provide investors with stable cash flows through turbulent times in the broader REIT market. We are exhibiting patience with acquisitions and prudence in the capital markets, which should reassure investors that our business will continue to thrive across all economic cycles.
This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, we'd like to open the call for questions.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Eric Borden, BMO Capital Markets.

Eric Borden

Hey, guys, good morning out there. I know you mentioned that your lease negotiation process is currently ongoing, but I was just hoping that you could tell us kind of what inning you're in, in terms of the process, and how things are trending to date?

Andrew Spodek

Sure, Eric. As you know, the process is around an entire year's vintage. And as you saw through the 2022 renewal, it's a process that takes time. We completed the 2022 renewals received all the fully executed leases, and we're encouraged by the 2023 discussions. Our goal was to come up with a more efficient process as we sit here, almost through 2023. We would love to be in a position where we close out the year with all of our 2023 leases done. And we're hopeful that the process that we have been working towards will allow us to achieve our goals.

Eric Borden

Thank you. That's helpful. And then maybe just on the acquisition funding for the fourth quarter, I know you guys have multiple sources. How should we think about the right mix between cash equity either from the ATM or OP units and debt?

Robert Klein

Yeah. Thanks, Eric. This is Rob. I think that the story remains the same that we have a lot of tools in our toolbox. We continue to be vigilant on the markets watching where our stock trades to see if ATM is viable and makes sense. We do have our full revolver undrawn, so we have the complete availability of that. And at the asset times, there are OP unit transactions, and we'll do those that they're accretive to the cap rate of those transactions. So we still have the full load of things that we can use as equity and debt as we have in prior quarters.

Eric Borden

Thank you. And last one for me, if I may. I just noticed that NOI margins decreased sequentially. Was there any one-time cost and OpEx for the third quarter with that we should be aware of or is 3Q a good run rate for 4Q?

Robert Klein

Yes, so that there wasn't any one time one-time costs that we can point to. There's always things that are cyclical or that happened in a quarter and don't happen in other quarters. But I think, part of the reason for the margin decline this quarter versus the prior quarters was really that while there was an uptick in expenses, there was also some increase in tenants reimbursements. And you'll notice that the two of those together kind of do decreased margin, even though NOI may not be affected, the bottom-line NOIs. I think, probably is a good run rate as we noticed expenses going up, but also reimbursements increasing as well.

Eric Borden

All right. Thanks very much.

Operator

Rob Stevenson, Janney.

Rob Stevenson

Good morning. Rob, where is your marginal cost of debt these days?

Robert Klein

So on our facility, on our revolver, we have a rate that's SOFR plus 148 because it's 150. But we've gotten the 2 basis point reduction based on some ESG initiatives. So it's really wherever the term SOFR or daily SOFR, depending on which only choose, plus that margin, plus the 10 basis points adjustment when we went to SOFR.

Rob Stevenson

Okay. So there's not anything that you guys are looking at that will provide you any sort of a cheaper rate over the line at this point, that the line's going to be the primary debt financing for acquisitions over in the near term?

Robert Klein

So that's the variable rate costs. When you're saying marginal, I was assuming you draw the line that your marginal cost of debt. Obviously, for it to swap that out, the rates would the rates would be lower. The rates for, let's call it a five-year swap or probably somewhere in the low sixes at the time, at the current time.

Rob Stevenson

Okay. And if you guys do $20 million-plus of acquisitions in the fourth quarter, would that be your preference to do that? Or are you going to let that float for a while and see what winds up happening and early '24 in terms of rates?

Robert Klein

So if we do use debt, I think our philosophy remains the same where -- we have typically been on our revolver as kind of acquisitions line. And then as we determine that that debt is going to stay in our balance sheet longer term, we tend to swap it out, so that it's fixed rate because we're not loss looking to arbitrage fixed versus floating. We'd rather have fixed cost of debt. And that's if we're going that route.
Obviously, we were monitoring the markets as I kind of mentioned to Eric on the prior question. We're monitoring the markets and we do we do each quarter have an ATM active and OP unit transactions that can be done. So there are other sources, and we may use equity just depending on share price, cap rate, et cetera.

Rob Stevenson

Okay. And then, Andrew, Jeremy, how you guys thinking about the equity side of the equation at 13 and change where your stock is trading today? You did some OP units during the quarter. Are there big step-ups in some of these acquisitions that you think that you can get in the near term to make that work? And acknowledging that your cap rates are going up on acquisitions, are they going up enough to maintain the spread given the cost of capital today?

Andrew Spodek

That's a great question. So we're constantly evaluating what tour cost of capital is in relation to what we're purchasing. And as the OP unit conversation, we're getting interest from sellers to take operating partnership units. And we don't always say yes; it's opportunistic for us. The currency is very valuable, and it brings in deal flow. We're not really so happy with where our stock price is today. And so we're not doing that many transactions with the use of it as a currency today.

Rob Stevenson

Okay. Thanks, guys. Appreciate the time.

Andrew Spodek

Thank you.

Operator

Ki Bin Kim, Truist Securities.

Ki Bin Kim

Thank you. Good morning. Just going back to the topic of the lease renewals and that process, how would you describe the kind of key hurdle? Is that the fact that you're dealing with a kind of large, much larger bureaucratic entity? Or is it really just trying to negotiate the right rental rate? Just curious, if any kind of color you can provide.

Andrew Spodek

Sure. This is Andrew. So I think in general, it's complicated to negotiate 100, 200 leases at one given time, depending on how many we have rolling in that particular year. Dealing with a government agency adds a layer of complication to it, analyzing each individual properties market, and what the rates are negotiating that adds another layer to it. So I think it's just the process of going through it. I don't think there's a particular hurdle that's specific to it.

Ki Bin Kim

Okay. And in terms of G&A, any kind of ballpark idea of what we can expect going forward? I think last year, I mean, this year compared to last year, G&A went up about $2 million. Is that something that's reasonable to expect next year?

Robert Klein

So we haven't given guidance for next year. We plan to do that in the next quarter. But no, we don't believe that some of the one-time increases will be recurring in the coming years, so the increase shouldn't be as large. But we'll give you guidance in the next quarter as to how '24 is going to look.

Ki Bin Kim

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Ki Bin Kim, Truist Securities.

Ki Bin Kim

Yeah. That was a quick turnaround. Just a quick question on the acquisition yields. I didn't want to hang up the call. Yeah, I guess, where would you peg a seller expectations to this kind of new cost of capital environment? Have they kind of fully embraced it and realize what's happening to substitute buyers like yourselves in terms of the increased cost of capital? And what do you think cap rates can kind of drift to as we look forward?

Andrew Spodek

It's a great question, and I wish I had a great answer. We do a tremendous amount of volume. And so every seller's expectation is very different. And actually, every seller's asset is very different, right? And so this particular quarter, our team did very well closing out the quarter around an 8 cap, but that was really because of the mix of assets that we bought within the quarter.
From the first half of last year, where we closed out a 6.5 cap to where we are today with, let's call it a 7.5 to 8 cap, that's a big move, but this is not a market shift. We're still having to negotiate to get these cap rates on an individual deal basis. We're hoping that next quarter is going to be 7.5 or higher. I don't want anybody to expect this 8 cap quarter to be a change in the market itself. But we're working on getting the best pricing that we possibly can, and we're taking into account our cost of capital as we do those deals.
Can I tell you that the sellers recognize the cost of capital shift? If they are recognizing it, they're not voicing at the us. They're still saying that they want their price, which I guess is part of the game.

Ki Bin Kim

Okay. Thank you.

Andrew Spodek

Thank you.

Operator

Jon Petersen, Jefferies.

Jon Petersen

Great. Thanks. Good morning, guys. I'm just curious if there's any, maybe updated trends on where you're seeing the post office to make investments today, especially as it relates to your business? I know in the past, we've talked about them upgrading their fleet of trucks, or I don't know if there's different store design or like that that we should be aware. I'm just curious if there's any trends in that regard bit of that or impact in your business that we should be aware of?

Andrew Spodek

So I believe that there are trends, but I don't know that is directly impacting our business. They have been investing heavily in their own facilities and the modernization of those facilities, which is a good thing for the operations of their business. I don't know that it's directly impacting our property, so.

Jon Petersen

Okay. All right, thank you. That's all I got.

Andrew Spodek

Thank you.

Operator

Tony Paolone, JPMorgan.

Nahum Wanhan

Good morning, guys. You have [Nahum Wanhan] for Tony this morning. Congrats on executing the 2022 leases deal cut with the USPS, with the 2.5% escalators. I guess going forward, are you negotiating similar types of leases with USPS and is that maybe causing some of the holdup in renewals?

Robert Klein

As Andrew referenced, this is a process. The number of leases that were going through on an annual basis is voluminous, and facing off with the Postal Service and the back-and-forth just takes some time. And we've been at this for many, many years. This has been the experience over the history. And right now, we're more focused on developing with them a more efficient process, so we don't have through this year in, year out. Our goal is to achieve the best outcome for our shareholders on any type of lease renewal. And so that's where we are today. And again, our goal is to try to bring this to ahead as soon as we can.

Nahum Wanhan

Got it. Thank you. That's it for me.

Operator

Thank you. We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session, and I would like to turn the floor back over to CEO, Andrew Spodek, for closing comments.

Andrew Spodek

Thanks. On behalf of the entire team, thank you for your continued support and taking the time to join us today. We look forward to connecting with you over the next coming months. Thank you again.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may now disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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