Q4 2023 Aemetis Inc Earnings Call
Participants
Todd Waltz; EVP & CFO; Aemetis, Inc.
Eric McAfee; Chairman of the Board, CEO & Co-Founder; Aemetis, Inc.
Andrew Foster; COO & EVP; Aemetis, Inc.
Manav Gupta; Analyst; UBS Investment Bank
John Annis; Analyst; Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated
Jordan Levy; Analyst; Truist Securities, Inc.
Amit Dayal; Analyst; H.C. Wainwright & Co, LLC
David Storms; Analyst; Stonegate Capital Markets, Inc.
Ed Woo; Analyst; Ascendiant Capital Markets LLC
Presentation
Operator
Good day and welcome to the Aemetis Fourth Quarter and Year End 2023 earnings review conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode and a brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Mr. Todd Waltz, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Aemetis, Inc. Mr. Wolf, you may begin.
Todd Waltz
Thank you, Allie, and welcome to the Amedisys Fourth Quarter and Year End 2023 earnings review conference call. Joining us for the call today is Eric McAfee, Founder, Chairman and CEO of Aemetis, and Andy Foster, President of Aemetis North America. We suggest visiting our website at a modest.com to review today's earnings press release, the Midas corporate and investor presentations filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission and recent press releases and previous earnings conference calls. The presentation for today's call is available for review or download on the Investors section of the Aemetis.com website.
Before we begin our discussion today, I'd like to read the following disclaimer statement. During today's call, we'll be making forward-looking statements, including without limitation statements with respect to our future stock performance plans, opportunities, expectations with respect to financing activities and the execution of our business plan. These statements must be considered in conjunction with the disclosures and cautionary warnings that appear in our SEC filings. Investors are cautioned that all forward-looking statements made on this call involve risks and uncertainty and that future events may differ materially from the statements made. For additional information. Please refer to the Company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings, which are posted on our website or available from the Company without charge.
Our discussion on this call will include a review of non-GAAP measures as a supplement to financial results based on GAAP because we believe these non-GAAP measures serve as a proxy for the Company source or use of cash during the period presented reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included in our earnings release or the the three and the year ended December 31, 2023, which is available on our website. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income or loss PLUS to the extent deducted in calculating such net income, interest expense, loss on extinguishment loss on lease termination USDA cash grants, income tax expense, intangible and other amortization expense, accretion expense, depreciation expense, gain on litigation and share-based compensation expense, less income tax benefit.
Let's review the financial results for the fourth quarter and year end of 2023 results for the three months ended December 31, 2023, revenues were $70.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2023, an increase from $66.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. The ethanol gallons sold increased from $13.4 million gallons during the fourth quarter of 2022 to $15 million gallons during the fourth quarter of 2023.
Biodiesel sales of 18,300 metric tons were recorded during the fourth quarter of 2023 at $1,157 per metric ton. Our California ethanol segment accounted for $45 million of revenue and our India biodiesel segment accounted for $22 million of revenue during the period. Cost of goods sold increased from $67.9 million during the fourth quarter of 2022 to $69.9 million during the fourth quarter of 2023 due to an 18% increase in feedstock costs from the incremental sales in our India biodiesel segment, coupled with an increase in corn ground from 4.3 million bushels during the fourth quarter of 2022 to 5.2 million bushels during the fourth quarter of 2023, offset by a 33% decrease in the average delivered cost of corn gross profit, selling, general and administrative expense and operating operating loss, we're consistent between the fourth quarter of 2022 and 2023 net loss was $25.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to a net loss of $22.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. Cash at the end of the fourth quarter of 2023 was $2.7 million compared to $4.3 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2022.
Financial results for the 12 months ended December 31, 2023, revenues were $187 million for the 12 months ended December 31, '23, compared to $257 million for 2022. During 2023, $77.2 million. Our revenues were generated by the India biodiesel segment, $55.5 million of revenue were generated by the California renewable natural gas segment and $104.3 million of revenue were generated by the California ethanol segment. We idled the plant during the first five months of 2023 to historic and unexpected high energy costs and took advantage of the security lead a variety of maintenance and plant efficiency projects.
Gross profit gross profit for the 12 months ended December 31, 2023 was $2 million compared to a gross loss of $5.5 million during the same period in 2022. our India, biodiesel segment accounted for $9 million of gross profit from sales of biodiesel for the year ended December 31, '23.
Selling, general and administrative expenses increased to $39.3 million during the 12 months ended December 31, 2023 compared to $28.7 million during the same period of 2022, attributable in part to the reclassification of expenses from cost of goods sold during the extended five month maintenance and upgrade cycle for the Keyes plant in early 2023. Net loss was $46.4 million for the 12 months ended December 31, 2023, compared to a net loss of $107.8 million during the same period in 2022 Investments in our low-carbon initiatives, increased property, plant and equipment by $33 million, while debt repayment of $51.3 million were made to our senior lender during the 12 months ended December 31, 2023.
Now I'd like to introduce the Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Aemetis, Eric McAfee, for a business update. Eric.
Eric McAfee
Thanks, Todd. We released the updated and Aemetis five year plan about two weeks ago, and we encourage investors to closely review the extensive information provided in the presentation, which is available on the homepage of the Midas website before discussing the many milestones that we achieved in 2023. Let's talk about financing since understanding of how Meta's plans to continue to grow rapidly in the current market environment is a key part of our five-year plan. First important point regarding the Amicus funding plan is that the financing of our projects is being completed on a project finance basis for each subsidiary. So the debt position of the immediate parent company does not impair our funding of new projects. I make this point to clarify any suggestion that our well established financing relationship with their capital somehow constraining our project financing or the growth of our company. In fact, the opposite is true.
Third Eye capital has been integral to our success in providing project development funding and then obtaining long-term project financing from our other lenders, enabling the Madison to receive $50 million of 20-year financing in just the past year. We expect more than $100 million of 20-year financing permitted by our gas capital expenditures to close in the current year. In addition to other significant project financings that are in process now through capital is a primary beneficiary of the long term lower interest rate project financings provided by other lenders as the excess cash flow from these new projects are expected to continue to reduce the amounts outstanding deferred capital rather than being a hindrance to the growth of hit them at us for the past 15 years, thereby, capital has been funding the growth of our initiatives and continues to support the Madison, attracting 20-year financing from other lenders for new projects that create new revenues, new cash flow and new debt repayment capabilities.
Second important point about financing at about us is our long relationship with the US Department of Agriculture, which is a major provider of loan guarantees that enable 20-year financing for projects over nearly two decades. And that assessment has built strong and productive relationships with a number of top leaders of the USDA as we share similar goals of strengthening the agricultural sector by creating new energy markets for ag and ag waste products and our Board member for the past 15 years.
Jack Locke, a former Secretary of the USDA has been extremely helpful in this shared vision and collaboration. Our positive relationships with the USDA are key to our confidence and USDA programs such as the Renewable Energy for America program known as reap that support renewable fuels projects. These USDA programs have already guaranteed funding of 20-year financing for the Inmet U.S. renewable natural gas business, but also can provide government guarantees and 20-year financing for sustainable aviation fuel the conversion of our ethanol plant to use electricity instead of petroleum natural gas for power and our carbon sequestration projects.
A third important point about financing. It matters because we have already fully repaid our long-term debt at our India plant and have been generating strong positive cash flow from India, biodiesel production operations over the past two years under cost-plus pricing with oil refineries owned by the Indian government. The strong financial position has allowed the India business to internally fund expansion to 60 million gallons per year from ongoing positive operating cash flow and now has positioned our India subsidiary for a planned initial public offering onto the India stock exchanges.
Our India business is highly attractive as an IPO company onto the fast-growing Indian Stock Exchanges. Since we are one of the largest biodiesel suppliers in the booming India economy, we have no long-term debt. We sell biodiesel on a cost-plus pricing formula to government owned oil marketing companies, and we are in a rapidly growing market that has more than $5 billion per year of growth to meet the biodiesel blending targets set forth in the 2022 Indian national biofuels policy. It only took 15 years tremendous to become an overnight success in India by building and operating a production plant paying off all of our long-term debt and then expanding production capacity.
Our strong financial foundation in India and $150 million of current biodiesel supply contract allocations is only the beginning of our plan to growth. We plan to expand our biodiesel production capacity in India using cash flow from operations, but a primary use of funds from a potential IPO onto the India stock markets would include the production of sustainable aviation fuel to meet growing global airline demand for SAF, the India plant can be expanded to supply SA for airlines in India as well as international markets such as the existing 10 airlines that have signed $3.8 billion of agreements with them at us for delivery of SAF in California.
The fourth important point about financing growth at Anadys is the attractiveness of our projects to lenders and preferred investors. The sophisticated investors and lenders in our projects understand that our risks are mitigated by using bonded contractors, technology guarantees and even cost-plus pricing to provide confidence that debt obligations will be paid. The markets for our new projects in dairy, renewable natural gas, sustainable aviation fuel and carbon sequestration are rapidly growing, supported by regulatory policy and uniquely positioned together to generate positive margins.
The final point I'd like to make about financing relate to Meta's projects is the design of our business model in which our existing cash flow from operations supports future capital expenditures to reduce the need for debt. As we grow in 2023, we generated positive cash of $32.7 million from adjusted EBITDA plus tax credit sales. This positive cash generation from operating the business is expected to continue to expand, allowing us to fund future interest and principal reductions on debt as well as fund a meaningful amount of our capital expenditures from our growing operational positive cash flow.
Let's review our five businesses in the India biodiesel fuels business. In late 2023, we announced a 150,000,001 year allocation for biodiesel from the three oil marketing companies under a cost-plus contract structure. We started deliveries under this contract in October 2023 and have achieved excellent production performance during the four months of winter fuel specifications that require higher cost feedstocks beginning this month, the summer fuel specification allows lower cost feedstock to be used the positive impact of cost-plus pricing that is now being used by the India oil marketing companies to purchase biodiesel is expected to continue for the foreseeable future. The India business is debt-free and now funds its own operations without outside long-term financing, our India plant expanded to 60 million gallons per year of capacity during the third quarter, entirely funded by the positive cash flow from operations. We continue to expand the production capacity of biodiesel using an enzymatic process technology developed by Emeritus at our India plant that allows lower cost, lower grade feedstock used to produce high quality. Biodiesel in metals believes that our India biodiesel plant is the largest capacity producer in the world using Novozymes' enzymes to convert low-cost feedstocks into biodiesel to meet rapidly expanding domestic demand for biodiesel by the government owned oil marketing companies, we are continuing to expand production capacity in India with a plan of 100 million gallons per year of capacity in 2025. The India market is about 25 billion gallons of petroleum diesel and the government has set a goal of a 5% blend of biodiesel. We expect the cost-plus contracts or media government oil refineries will support the addition of a significant amount of no new biodiesel production capacity in India over the next five years with Inmet is continuing to expand the capacity beyond 100 million gallons to supply the increasing demand for renewable fuels. The planned export of refined tallow from the India facility to renewable diesel producers in the US is making steady progress with feedstock sales to several by refinery customers in active discussions. Andy Foster, President of the metals North America, will now review the medi-spa gas and ethanol businesses. Andy?
Andrew Foster
Thanks, Eric. And in the metals biogas business, this summer we closed the second $25 million USDA guaranteed loan to build dairy by biogas digesters for an additional eight dairies. This closing brought our total to $50 million of committed USDA reef based project financing to build digesters receiving waste from 15 dairies that are designed to produce a combined 400,000 MMBTUs of renewable natural gas each year. This month, we will have nine fully operating dairy digesters supplied with waste from 10 dairies. We plan to accelerate the rate of biogas digester development in 2024 as we close USDA guaranteed financing for the next projects for $75 million of new financing, as well as other financing to accelerate project construction. We are very pleased to have passed the operational start-up phase and are now positive cash flow from operations at American famous biogas, eMedicine, other RNG producers Rx have experienced significant delays in the carbon pathway approval process for LCFS credits with some at 24 months and counting. We recently met with top staff at card and they expect to address this issue in the rule-making process and the upcoming reauthorization of the LCFS program. And this year, we generated revenue from the sale of LCFS credits from our aim at US Bio gas operations for the first time in Q1 of 2024. In addition to the sale of renewable natural gas as a fuel and the sale of federal D. ZAR3, this new LCFS credit revenue stream will only increase as we build new digesters and as Carv approves the lower carbon intensity values that we have already demonstrated in actual operations.
In October 2023, we repaid $30 million of the original Aemetis biogas start-up funding and the balance of that financing was recently extended at an effective interest rate of less than 8.5%. The California Air Resources Board has stated that renewable natural gas is an important source of renewable hydrogen for the future of truck engines, allowing the trucks to be zero emission. And I'm using a carbon negative fuel. We believe that a metaphor is very well positioned to supply RNG hydrogen and below zero carbon electric carbon intensity, electricity to future trucks and cars in California, enabling the transition to zero-emission and below zero CI. heavy and light duty vehicles for the administered ethanol business during Q1 and most of Q2 two of 2023, we experienced extraordinarily high natural gas prices in California, which made ongoing operations economically unviable during that time period. As a result, we chose to idle the Keyes ethanol plant and took advantage of this time to complete an extended maintenance cycle and to begin the implementation of energy efficiency projects. This pause in production helped us avoid future plant shutdowns that would have been required to install key components of our energy efficiency upgrades. The result was an acceleration of our planned projects to reduce our biofuels carbon intensity through a number of plant efficiency and electrification projects. We also accelerated the installation of an entirely new Allen Bradley just distributed control system with artificial intelligence capabilities, along with several other important progress of project upgrades. We restarted the Keyes ethanol plant in late May and ramped up production during June and July. The goal of our Keyes ethanol plant upgrades is to significantly reduce the use of fossil-based natural gas at the plant and when these projects are completed next year, we expect that natural gas usage at the Keyes ethanol production facility will be reduced by more than 80%. This transformation from fossil natural gas to renewable electricity will put a medicine at the forefront of decarbonized manufacturing facilities in the state of California and is expected to reduce the carbon intensity of our fuel ethanol produced at the Keyes plant by double digits, which will increase the value of our ethanol while recover reducing energy costs. In fact, this transition has already begun by the end of this month, we will have tested, commissioned and brought into service a 1.9 megawatt solar microgrid system that will generate zero carbon intensity electricity for plant operations and load shedding during peak hours in order to save on energy costs. This low-carbon electricity from solar energy reduces the carbon intensity of our ethanol, thereby increasing revenues by generating more LCFS credits.
In summary, despite facing some temporary and highly unusual external headwinds in the first and second quarters of this year in our ethanol business, operational performance and project milestones for the Amicus, biogas and aim at US ethanol plant businesses continue to be on track with the Company plan. Eric?
Eric McAfee
Thanks, Andy. And the meta sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel business. Earlier this week, we announced that we received the authority to construct air permits for the construction of the 90 million gallon per year SEF and our DI plant at the Riverbank site last September, the use permit and California Environmental Quality Act approval, allowing the use of this 24 acre site for sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel plant was were approved. We have signed $3.8 billion of final binding supply agreements with 10 airlines and a $3.2 billion renewable diesel supply contract with a national travel stop company. These agreements are final contracts not letters of intent or memorandums of understanding. So we expect to update these agreements to reflect project timing as well as pricing terms to reflect current market conditions currently for the hydro treated esters and fatty acids known as Epi process for SAF production is significantly less expensive than the ethanol to jet process to produce SEF, and that is deploying the top so hydro flex have a process that enables the production of SEF and renewable diesel at any output ratio, thereby allowing the maximization of pricing by the production sale to higher-value fuel when operating at a 50 50 production allocation of SCFRD., the plant is designed to produce 90 million gallons per year, comprised of 45 million gallons of SEF and 45 million gallons of renewable diesel at a 100% allocation of production to SEF and no RD. production. The plant is designed to produce 78 million gallons per year of SAF. The need for sustainable aviation fuel continues to increase, but the overall market supply as the U.S. continues to be delayed, resulting in significant supply shortages that are expected to continue for the foreseeable future. As the 90 billion gallon per year aviation fuel industry seeks to reduce air pollution and carbon emissions using renewable fuel to replace petroleum jet fuel as one of the very few companies fully permitted to construct a large-scale SAF production facility in Knight in the United States. Emeritus has a meaningful position as a leading supplier to the airline market that cannot currently meet their goal of transitioning to lower carbon fuel and the embedded carbon capture and sequestration business, we were issued the first CO2 sequestration characterization well permit by the State of California to a non governmental project in 2023. The CO2 characterization well is designed to provide geologic data for the EPA Class six injection wells planned for the Riverbank site in California. The passage of Senate Bill nine zero five last year, established a public engagement process to resolve specific issues related to CO2 sequestration projects, including royalty rates and the unitization of pore space rights. We are supported by this legislative process in California that is implementing regulations for CO2 cap capture to achieve the ambitious carbon emission reduction targets set by Governor Newsom. The California Air Resources Board has held several low carbon fuel standard public events, where staff's stated that carbon plans to significantly increase the number of credits required under the program by significantly expanding LCFS mandates, farms owned model estimates that the increased mandates will raise the price of LCFS credits credits to more than [$220] per credit in the next two years. So the updated regulations strengthen the LCFS have been delayed. We expect that the recent increase in LCFS credit prices reflects the market expectation of strong LCFS credit mandates will be adopted at a mid 2024 carb Board meeting. You'll see a bigger LCFS credits, generate revenues for Amicus and all of our US businesses and indirectly benefit our India business, which can produce feedstock for U.S. renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel by refineries.
In summary, all of the five eMeta businesses are synergistic and create what we refer refer refer to as a circular bioeconomy within a matter, we use the biofuels, byproducts and waste products from our facilities and local areas as feedstock to produce low and negative carbon intensity, renewable fuels to meet government mandates for air quality improvement and carbon emissions reductions. The strong demand for dairy, renewable natural gas and the rapidly growing sustainable aviation fuel market.
Our key areas of investment and project development at A. minus our existing facilities are focused on projects that improve energy efficiency, reduce carbon intensity to increase revenues at lower costs and technologies, enabling the use of lower-cost feedstocks at our existing production facilities. Our company's values include a long-term commitment to building value for shareholders. The empowerment of and respect for our employees and business partners and making significant and positive contributions to the communities we serve.
Let's take a few questions from our call participants.
Question and Answer Session
Operator
Thank you, Mr. McAfee. We will now be conducting our question and answer session. If you have any questions or comments, please press star one on your phone at this time. We ask that while posing your question. You please pick up your handset if listening on speakerphone to provide optimum sound quality, please hold while we poll for questions. Banqi.
Our first question is coming from Manav Gupta with UBS. You may proceed.
Manav Gupta
Morning, Eric and Andy. So my first question relates to the CarpX timing here from there was a meeting somewhere in March, looks like it's moved. There are two schools of thought again in all of their having second Nino considerations or the other school of thought is they looked at the program and thought it was not aggressive enough to reduce the rate at which the carbon credit bank was building, and they're now looking at ways to bring it down at a faster pace.
And you talk to those guys you're close to the size.
What's the thought process over there?
Andrew Foster
Andy. Hey, Manav, it's Andy.
So thanks for your question. I think it's a combination of those things that you just mentioned. I think there were frankly some incorrect estimates in terms of what the credit markets look like as it is this year would evolve and where it would end up at the end of this year. And I think it became readily apparent to Carv, especially when you saw the sharp decline in the LCFS price in the earlier part of this year that those estimates were not on target. And so I think that was one contributing factor. I think they received a lot of feedback, a lot of public comment, which I think has also kind of slowed down their their process a little bit. But I would suggest that the combination of the LCFS credit situation, which is a huge overhang in the market and sort of an unanticipated, but you know, not by us, but I think bicarb in some respects it was pretty apparent as we were exiting last year, that this is going to be a problem. So I think they are addressing that. And I do I do expect I mean, I'm certainly it's our hope that they will come back in April with the next meeting with some more aggressive goals when it comes to the overall program. So I think it's a combination of the things, but there there clearly was a realization of that that the LCFS credit overhang in the market was it's causing a serious deterioration. And you know, the ability for companies like us to make return on investment and further invest in programs, but also to encourage new investment in the entire renewable sector. I mean, this was this was clearly something that they were getting a lot of feedback on. So I would expect I'm hoping certainly that they will come back in April with some more aggressive aggressive numbers as a result of this delay.
Manav Gupta
I think a quick follow-up is you indicated you have nine days on So first, how many do you expect that to be online by year end? And then when do you mean that delay period here. So you do have nine days, but how long will it take? Do you think to, you know, start seeing the revenues from these nine days to flowing?
That is true the RFS is also with LCFS credit, and I'll turn it over after that. Thank you so much.
Andrew Foster
So I think by the end of this year, we're expecting to have 18 days online.
Yes.
And the second part of your question, would you repeat that? I'm sorry.
Manav Gupta
Like by when do you expect to start monetizing these credits from these nine days? Because there is a lag period before the dairy actually comes on and then you're storing the gas. So when do you expect to start monetizing these credits?
Andrew Foster
We actually started monetizing these credits this year at the of course, at the lower of the temporary pathway, the negative 150, but we actually started that process in Q1 went up. So as we go through the application process. There's specific milestones you have to get to from a timing perspective, but we've already begun that process, and we expect that process to continue on.
And then hopefully, you know, our applications have been in for it will be almost year end. Some in early May. I think it's one we submitted. So we are encouraging card to try to accelerate that process because obviously, once the once we get the full pathway, then the number of credits and it goes up significantly. But we actually have already started that process.
Manav Gupta
Thank you so much.
Andrew Foster
You're welcome.
Thank you.
Eric McAfee
Thank you, Manav.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question is coming from John Annis with Stifel. Your line is live.
John Annis
Hey, good afternoon and thanks for taking my questions for my first one, Eric, if I heard you right in your prepared remarks, you mentioned the potential for SAF production in India. Can you frame how you see SAF economics in India stacking up against the US markets. Are there any regulatory incentives in India that would support building out SAF capacity there?
Eric McAfee
Our initial opportunity is simply to tap into the less expensive waste feedstock in India and then export these SAF to the same Sysco Airport, where we have $3.8 billion of existing contracts with 10 airlines and so it's a direct feedstock arbitrage from a country that it has a tremendous amount of underutilized feedstock. And we already have a 50 million gallon per year tallow refinery in place direct relationships. We used to export biodiesel to Europe using Tableau as a feedstock. So we are well positioned to be a leading player in just doing that business model. The cost-plus structure with oil marketing companies is an opportunity for SAS SEF adoption in India. So that would be what I would call a secondary market opportunity would be to arbitrage the California price against the India price and the cost-plus structure that they're using for biofuels in India. And certainly, the third element is the feedstock itself that we make in India positions us just amazingly well due to the demand for waste feedstocks. And as you listen to California Resources, board and others, there is an increasing emphasis on waste feedstocks and the values of those feedstocks will, I believe, continue to increase.
John Annis
Makes sense. And for my follow-up and regarding the RNG fueling station that's under construction at the Keyes ethanol plant, can you provide some color on the potential margin uplift associated with selling there on RNG versus using the third party?
And then secondly, just in terms of volume, what percentage of your RNG production can be sold through your on fueling station there?
Eric McAfee
There are two elements of increased margin. First is that the molecule itself currently is sold into the pipeline as brown gas. So we get approximately $4 per MMBTU for doing that. However, we're selling the energy equivalent of 7.2 gallons of diesel, so 7.2 gallons of The Times and then being BTU is somewhere in the $35 of value. So if we were to sell it at the equivalent price of diesel and still selling at $5 per MMBTU, we'd be selling at 35 as a part of incentivizing customers and attracting new adoption of RNG into trucks fleets. We of course, we're selling at a discount. So we expect an uplift somewhere from $5 to around the $15 or $20 range as we sell out of essentially at 50% off price compared to running petroleum diesel. The second benefit is that current discounts are in the 15% to 20% range for RNG sold through other third party fueling stations. And so we would not incur any of that and that's 15% to 20% of revenues on the low-carbon fuel standard revenues and the Federal, the three rental revenues are both being hampered by the need to sell through other fueling stations. In answer to your last question, our goal would be that 100% of our product would go through our own fueling stations. We're in the middle. I've probably one most active trucking environments in the world, virtually all ag products at some point in time, touch a truck. There aren't a lot of railroad depots next to almond orchards or other crops in Central Valley, California. So trucking is very active in literally a quarter mile from our plant or probably tens of thousands of trucks that drive by every week. So and the next, the North American adoption Center of Innovation for both PepsiCo as well as Frito-Lay are within 15 minutes of our facility. It is it's absolutely a hotbed for innovation in trucking. So we have a goal of setting up multiple fueling stations and arrangements to use our RNG, not only with third parties, but moving our own products. Our Animal Feed biofuels, carbon sequestration, CO2 for us as well as for people that seek to get the environmental benefits of low-carbon fuels.
John Annis
I appreciate all the color. Thanks again for taking my questions.
Eric McAfee
Thank you, John.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question is coming from Jordan Levy with Truist. Your line is line.
Jordan Levy
Afternoon, all. Maybe just to start now that you've passed that important milestone with the authority to construct permit. Just curious, I know it's very recent since that announcement was made, but if you could just help us landmark sort of the next steps in terms of financing at River Bank and the options you're pursuing there?
Eric McAfee
We are well into a process of project financing. Of course, that has been delayed waiting for the three key permits, all three of which we now are sets of permits, essentially all three of which we have now. So we have been working on a preferred equity, let's call it, mezzanine financing structure as well as senior secured debt. We have in the Riverbank project have already signed up USDA biorefinery assistance program. It's called program number nine zero zero three m. for senior debt support of 20-year financing, but we have multiple opportunities in senior secured debt and we've got a very active customer base among airlines, several of whom authority actually many of whom have already funded into funds that are dedicated to the growth of SAF production. And our airline manufacturer airlines, as well as manufacturers of the wide-body jets, have all joined in together to provide, let's call it, mezzanine or even equity financing to support SEF. And we have active discussions with the largest of those investors. So now that we have a permit and we can actually have construction closure on those. I can have a constructive closure on those discussions up to today. We've had uncertainty around when we'd actually get the permitting and so now that's in place, I would expect this year, which is going to show a lot of action in closing project financing.
Jordan Levy
Appreciate that.
That's super helpful.
And then maybe just jumping over to the India biodiesel side, you made a mention of the potential for an IPO process on the Indian Stock Exchange there. Maybe what or what are some of the what's the process in getting that through the wire? And then how are you thinking about that progressing through the year?
Eric McAfee
As with any IPO process we see it as a evolving process. We've already gotten pretty well acquainted with many of the investment bankers. Certainly with some of the world's leading lawyers for IPOs in India, we've had that kind of instruction put infrastructure in place, but we're also expanding the senior management of our India subsidiary and are looking forward to just some very, very talented people joining our business there. And certainly, we have seen consistent success of IPOs in the Indian market. If that continues, I think we're very well positioned for completing something this year, but we are subject to market conditions. We are doing everything we're supposed to do to go through the process and to a certain extent, I would say it's a faster process in the US there is just a different way to interact with regulators in the Indian market. But I think that, Tim, we'll be learning over the next quarter about valuations and other terms. And we've already been approached by very large investors about a pre-IPO investment. So I want to say that we are open to that discussion as it strengthens the valuation of our company. So it's a very active opportunity in India and we're pursuing it.
Jordan Levy
Thanks so much for all the details.
Eric McAfee
Yeah. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question is coming from Amit Dayal with H.C. Wainwright. Your line is live.
Amit Dayal
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone.
I'm just with respect to timing. It looks like at least from your recent updated business plan, roughly $100 million-plus in CapEx is going towards the SaaS and R&D facility. So when will sort of this start getting deployed? Do you have sort of a time line or is it second half one, zooming in is there a catalyst that sort of triggers all of this and, you know, when would that materialize?
Eric McAfee
The $100 million we referred to is actually related to our biogas operations we have $50 million which we closed last year. We expect to be getting [$75 million] well, actually $100 million of financing, probably closing [75] with the last [25] dribbling into next year. So that's actually it's actually going to the biogas business separately. The SSAF. project financing is much larger than that at some $0.5 billion range. So we have also a little bit of carbon sequestration financing going on mechanical vapor compression of the ethanol plant going on India expansion going on. And so looking at each one of our subsidiaries as we described India self-funding, it is expansion from operating cash flow. The USDA is helping us with some of the other smaller financing's with 20-year amortize loans. And then we basically have one large financing this year. That's that's really not not been achieved before, and that's financed from this one SEF plant. But I tell you of the airlines and the aircraft manufacturers. We don't have a lot of new permitted facilities in North America and certainly ones that are not massive, you know, $2 billion projects so we're getting a lot of support and looking forward to cooperating with these customers so we can get this production facility operating.
Amit Dayal
thankful that, Eric. And then with respect to the India biodiesel facility. I know you're at 60 million gallons capacity now available on the business plan shows roughly another 50% to 60% of that being utilized or are you just being conservative with that outlook or is that just the visibility you have right now in terms of looking at these marked oil marketing companies?
Eric McAfee
You are correct that we have continued to expand capacity. So we're ahead of the oil marketing companies since they are government owned, they tend to move slower than everybody else, but we have seen them now get a pricing model that has reduce the constraints on expanding production. So we saw that coming. And so over the last two years, we have expanded capacity, 60 million gallons. We're continuing to invest to expand capacity. And I think we'll have some upside surprises in terms of what our revenue will be out of India because capacity won't be as much of the constraint will be literally able to contract 60 million gallons as we are building the plant capacity to [80] and then eventually [100]. And so our strategy is to be ahead of the market and then let the market catch up with us. And we expect that to later on this year when we get our next 12 months allocation with these three oil marketing companies, it could be substantially more than the [150 million] which we committed to last year.
Amit Dayal
Thank you.
That's all I have appreciated.
Thank you.
Eric McAfee
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question is coming from Dave storm's with Stone gate. Your line is live
David Storms
Good morning. My first question is just around the pacing of the dairy digesters. I know you mentioned we have 18 by year end, but how should we think about how that will be spaced for the year?
Eric McAfee
We'll be operating digesters for 18 dairies. And we're increasingly going to be talking by the way about what Kallik with Covance because you can multiply that times a certain number of MNBT. spear and get the revenue in one step. So over the course of this year during our earnings call, another messaging will be working working toward what Calquence which make make everybody's life a lot easier from. We have two dairies coming online this month, and that will be followed with about six months in the third quarter with another round of dairies coming online so in the third and fourth quarters, when you're going to see some of the ramp up the USDA financing process as temporarily made it somewhat chunky the way that we roll these processes out, we get them all permitted. We get environmental approval and all these other things all done. And then we kind of wait. We are putting some things in place that will allow us to not wait as much. And so over the course of the second quarter, I think you'll see some some additional liquidity provided that will enable us to just smooth out that process and accelerated. So especially as we exit 2024, I think we're going to have it an upside surprise on the pace of development in the Burgos business.
David Storms
So that's very helpful.
And then just as a follow-up on that as you're bringing on this next cohort of dairies and then beyond 18, how do you prioritize construction is that the cash equivalents that the dairy would have? Is it contingent on permits distance from either existing or future pipelines? Just to how do you how do you think about that?
Andrew Foster
Good question. Thank you.
So I think obviously, we want to maximize the distance or the proximity to the pipeline because obviously we're making a pretty significant investment there. And some of this has to do with, as Eric mentioned, the USDA's funding and the various vehicles that we're using to fund them in terms of how the timing works out because you sort of lump these into five or six dairies into a specific, we call it, maybe one, maybe two, maybe three and it sort of yet so that that creates some of the the timing, and it doesn't always necessarily makes sense. If you look at a map, unfortunately, if they were Chris, we would we would do it the most efficient way. We possibly can. The good news is these dairies are all generally located in and a good close proximity to one another. So it sort of doesn't really matter from obviously the larger the wet cat cover equivalent count, the faster we can get the bigger dairies on. That's that's and that's a good thing for all of us from. But to some extent, it's a little bit beyond our control with the USDA funding rolls out.
And and the other thing to keep in mind, and I'm glad Eric mentioned it in terms of the wet coal equivalents is really going to we're going to start to refer to this business because in the past year accounts, it was sort of a metric we used to have X amount of areas. But what we're finding is on funds on many of these projects, it's more economical for us to take three or four dairies and create one digester that these dairies. All feed we call mega digesters are grouped cluster digesters. However, you want to refer to it. So the number of dairies that you'll see reported can kind of get a little clunky and confusing. So we think on a wet coal equivalent basis, you can measure MMBTUs of gas. It's pretty it's a much more straightforward way to do it. But But back to your question, I think we obviously, um, if we can, if we can grouped areas together as we're doing construction from a labor perspective, that makes tons of sense and so we're trying to do that as much as we can and then obviously proximity to the pipeline on. But as I said, the USDA funding mechanism, the repo loans don't necessarily all developed in exact sequence of which dairies are assigned to each each loan and that constrains our ability a little bit in terms of how we plan.
Eric McAfee
And I should note that we have 43 dairies signed to their participation agreements or lease agreements and expect to be above 50. We don't really put press releases out every week or month when we sign an additional barrier to. So we'll probably press release when you cross 55. But in general, we've already feed animals at roughly 80 dairies. So we'll be just continue to exercise our relationship of dairies. Our five year plan is 75 dairies constructed, and that's less than the total aggregate number of dairies We supply with animal feed already today so our Our expectation is that we'll continue to sign dairies far ahead of our construction. And our opportunity this year is to provide additional liquidity, liquidity that process to pre pre-purchased equipment, et cetera, and just accelerate the dairy development phase of specifically because we have the interconnect and the pipeline already in place, we're focusing really just on building dairy, dairy digesters and seeking to increase that pace.
Operator
Thank you.
Our final question today will be coming from Ed Woo with Ascendiant Capital. Your line is live.
Ed Woo
Yeah. Congratulations on all your progress talking of going back to the India potential IPO, have you thought about listing in the U.S.? And also what are your plans with the capital infusion of ways to do it in the eye appeal, especially you said that India was cash flow positive already. It doesn't necessarily need funding going forward.
Eric McAfee
And if the US market were to be extremely excited about our India subsidiary would we'd absolutely take that in consideration consideration. We will we'll discover that over the next few months. India stock market is very, very hot and their CNG is a strong appetite to invest in companies in that country and even international funds are coming in India to do that, our use of funds would include stabilization fuel because it is 90 billion gallon market. There are not going to be hydrogen electric or nuclear powered airplanes flying in passenger and cargo jets across the oceans anytime soon. And so the major engine manufacturers and airframe manufacturers have all committed themselves to sustainably agents, aviation fuel as a major initiative. What's lacking is any of the fuel. And so being one of the few companies that's actually executed well in this space. We see really tremendous growth opportunities in our India plant, having access to cheap waste, low carbon low cost feedstock in a country of more than a 1.3 billion people. It's just a very unique positioning we have. So we'll leave it open to the markets to tell us where they want us to go. But I got to tell you that even the European market is very interested in this business model. So we think the India stock markets probably were going to end up, but we're certainly open to the feedback we get from investors and investment bankers.
Ed Woo
Great.
Well, thank you, and I wish you guys good luck.
Eric McAfee
Thank you.
Andrew Foster
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. As we have no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to management for closing remarks.
Eric McAfee
Thank you to Limited shareholders, analysts and others for joining us today. Please review the Emeritus five-year plan that is posted on the homepage of the investors website. We look forward to talking with you about participating in the growth opportunities at Aemetis.
Todd Waltz
Thank you for attending today. You say Medical earnings conference call, please visit the Investors section of the Midas website where we'll post a written version and an audio version of this embedded earnings review and business update. Ali?
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.
