Q4 2023 Camden National Corp Earnings Call

Presentation

Operator

Good day and welcome to Camden National Corporation's Fourth Quarter 2023 earnings conference call. My name is Cole, and I'll be the operator for today's call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. During today's presentation. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. If at any time you require operator assistance, please press star then zero. Please note that this presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve significant risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to vary materially from those projected in forward-looking statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ supplemental earnings materials, the Company 2020 annual report on Form 10 K and other filings from the SEC. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the forward-looking statements are made. Any references in today's presentation to non-GAAP financial measures are intended to provide meaningful insights and are reconciled with GAAP in your press release today. Today's presenters are Simon Gryphics, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Mike Archer, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please note that this event is being recorded.
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Simon Gryphics Gryphics. Please go ahead.

Good afternoon. Thank you, Cole, and welcome to Camden National Corporation's Fourth Quarter 2020 2023 earnings call.
I'd like to start by introducing myself. I joined Camden National Corporation last November and took over as the President, Chief Executive Officer on January first, and it's an absolute pleasure and honor to join the company. Since joining. I've been impressed with the strength of the management team and their focus on delivering an outstanding experience for our customers as I meet with team members and their customers have come to realize how deeply rooted Camden National is in the communities we serve. And my first months with the company have confirmed for me, the pivotal role we play from large commercial customers to small business owners. There's strong momentum for these businesses to grow and our teammates can deliver the products and services and have the customer relationships to guide them along the way.
I'm also impressed by the robust technology advancements the Company has made. The team has been driving innovation and utilizing sophisticated tools to automate process leverage data and deliver digital products to aid our customers and our team members.
Earlier this morning, we reported net income of $8.5 million or $0.58 earnings per share diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2023. This is this included the impact of repositioning a portion of our investment portfolio, we generated a $5 million pretax loss on the sale of securities. Excluding that impact, our adjusted non-GAAP earnings for the quarter would have been $12.4 million or $0.85 per diluted share. The Company continues to look for opportunities to adjust and optimize the balance sheet, and we expect the changes we made in 2023 will provide future benefits to our net interest, margin, earnings and capital.
The strength of our balance sheet continues to position us well for growth and to capitalize on market opportunities as the broader market shows signs of normalization. Our capital position remains strong and improving, highlighted by an increase in the tangible common equity ratio to 7.11% at December 31, 2023, compared to 6.47% at September 30, 2023. We continue to see solid demand for loans in the communities that we serve and our pipeline remains steady. We're excited by the addition of a new Director of Commercial Banking and New Hampshire with more than 22 years of banking experience we are already seeing positive momentum in the market, and we'll continue to look at opportunities to strengthen our team and expand our market presence. We remain focused on full relationship banking to strengthen customer loyalty, leveraging our robust balance sheet and actively managing new loan yields tightly given the decrease in the 10-year treasury yield over recent months. Personally, I'm invigorated by this opportunity to work with a talented and dedicated team to make an impact and build on that many successes.
The swift actions taken throughout the year, including steps to stabilize our net interest margin, fortify our balance sheet and position the Company for future earnings capacity to drive long-term shareholder value. These actions have positioned us well for the future and will enable us to capitalize on opportunities within our market.
Our priorities for 2024 will be to continue to manage the business with a focus on actions that prioritize long-term shareholder value. While having a prudent offense mindset. We have many exciting capabilities and delivery road map across our technology, digital data analytics and AI road map that will continue to drive growth. The team remains laser-focused on a long-term strategic plan to drive stability, profitability and growth with strong expense discipline, complemented by a talented team. I'm confident in our ability to adapt to the changing environment and economic landscape while continuing to provide long-term shareholder value.
Now I'm going to turn it over to Mike to provide some additional insights into our financial performance for the quarter.

Thank you, Simon. Good afternoon, everyone.
This morning reported net income for the fourth quarter and annual financial results for the year ended 2023. Like many others across the banking industry. Our annual financial results for the year were impacted by the macroeconomic conditions and other challenges faced during the year, which included higher short short term rates in an inverted yield curve compounded by several well-known larger regional bank failures, bringing deposits and related pricing into further focus across the banking industry. Our response to these market conditions in events included prioritizing deposits and liquidity, taking steps to help optimize our net interest margin and maintaining our strong asset quality. We believe our capital reserve level and liquidity position us well for future growth and shareholder value creation. These priorities continued throughout the fourth quarter and remain key priorities today.
Net income net income for the year ended December 31, 2023, was $43.4 million and diluted EPS totaled $2.97 each, a decrease of 29% compared to 2022 annual financial results included within within these results are pretax investment losses of $10.3 million as we sold lower yielding investments in the third and fourth quarters this year to reposition our balance sheet with a focus on driving future earnings and improved profitability as well as a $1.8 million write off of the Signature Bank bond. Adjusting for these items, our annual earnings on a non-GAAP basis for 2023 was $53 million and a diluted EPS on a non-GAAP basis of $3.63, decreases of 15% and 14% respectively compared to 2022. Net income for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $8.5 million and diluted EPS was $0.58. It's a decrease of 13% compared to the third quarter this year. As noted in my earlier comments, we sold investments at a loss in the third and fourth quarters, which affected our financial results for each quarter. Adjusting for these investment losses, our earnings on a non-GAAP basis for the fourth quarter were $12.4 million. Diluted EPS was $0.85. It's a decrease of 11% on a linked quarter basis.
Highlights for our fourth quarter operating results included seeing signs of our net interest margin, stabilizing, improving capital ratios and finishing the year with excellent asset quality. Our net interest margin for the fourth quarter was 2.40%, which was up one basis point from last quarter. We continue to redeploy our investment cash flows primarily to fund loan originations in order to improve overall asset yields and anticipate will continue to do so. We believe this asset remixing should help continue to stabilize net interest margin through the winter months within our markets, as we generally see a level of seasonal deposit outflows and as we continue to see pressures on funding costs from deposit mix shift. The strength of our liquidity positions position affords us the flexibility to continue to leverage the strategy in order to deploy all of the proceeds from the sale of securities in the fourth quarter, we also reinvested a portion of the proceeds into new securities yields, just about 6%, and that were purchased at a slight discount as our investment portfolio continues to produce cash flow. We expect to continue to leverage this cash flow to support loan fundings.
Our book and regulatory capital ratios improved across the board in the fourth quarter and we finished the year with a TCE ratio of 7.11%, up from 6.47% at September 30, 2023, and 6.37% at December 31, 2022. Our capital position community continues to be one of our strength in New England, and it positions us well to capitalize on market growth opportunities.
Our asset quality as of December 31, 2023, remained very strong by all measures a year end. Our nonperforming assets to total assets were 0.13% are past due. Loans were 0.12% of total loans and net charge-offs for the fourth quarter were $358,000 or 0.04% of average loans on an annualized basis. The overall health of our customer base continues to be very positive, highlighted by criticized and classified assets of 1.13% of total loans at year end, which is up from 1.05% for the third quarter, but down from 1.67% at December 31, 2022. We continue to monitor our loan portfolio proactively to identify any early signs of stress. And today, we are not seeing any systemic trends or material concerns the increase in provision expense between the third and fourth quarters was $1.1 million and contributed to the decrease in our linked quarter earnings on a GAAP and non-GAAP adjusted basis. In the third quarter, we recorded a negative provision expense or credit, primarily driven by a decrease in loan balances of 1% during the third quarter, whereas in the fourth quarter, we provisioned $559,000, driven by loan growth of 1%. Like last quarter, we maintained our loan loss reserve levels, 0.90% of total loans as we take into account our overall asset quality and way the macroeconomic forecast.
Noninterest income for the fourth quarter totaled $6 million and was higher than reported for the third quarter by 18%, primarily driven by a few no non-core items, including mortgage banking, fair value adjustments and a smaller loss on our sale of investment securities compared to the third quarter. Adjusting for these items, noninterest income for the fourth quarter would have been $10.6 million, which included the benefit of our annual Visa incentive bonus of $400,000 in the fourth quarter compared to $10.5 million of fee income for the third quarter. We continue to estimate that our normal recurring noninterest income will be $9.5 million to $10 million dollars quarterly in the near term.
Noninterest expense for the fourth quarter was $27.8 million, an increase of $1.6 million or 6% on a linked quarter basis. As anticipated, operating operating costs increased over the last quarter, given various factors, including timing of incentive accrual, true ups, senior leader transition costs and normal seasonal costs during the winter months. Higher noninterest expense for the fourth quarter translated into a non-GAAP efficiency ratio of 63.48% for the quarter. As we look forward, we anticipate we anticipate noninterest expenses will tick higher for the first quarter of 2024 and range between $28 million and $28.5 million as incentive accruals reset to target levels, and we continue to work through transition costs. We have taken and continue to take steps to manage costs, and we are focused on managing our efficiency ratio lower throughout 2024.
The last item I'll touch on is our effective tax rate. We saw our effective tax rate for 2023 decreased to 19.4% compared to 20.3% for 2022. In the fourth quarter, we participated in a renewable solar energy product project, excuse me, and as a result, we are currently estimating an effective tax rate for 2024 of 18.6%.
This concludes our comments. We'll now now open the call for questions.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

If you'd like to queue for a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. For any reason you'd like to remove that question, please press star followed by two again to join the queue for a question, please press star one. We'll pause here briefly as questions are registered.
Our first question is from Steve Moss with Raymond James.
Your line is now open.

Good afternoon and Dan, welcome aboard. Thanks, Dave. Maybe just starting well, maybe just starting on on loan growth here. Just curious how you guys are feeling about the loan pipeline, especially on commercial side these days and how loan pricing is?

Yes. Thanks for the question, Steve. I think we anticipate throughout the year low single digit loan growth for the first quarter. We continue to see solid resilience at the client level across our sectors. And we certainly are obviously going to look at the interest rate environment as a key driver of expectations as we move throughout the year. But overall, I think we see continue to see solid demand and continue to leverage our balance sheet to support our communities and deepen customer relationships. And I think I see a positive outlook certainly in the particularly as the positive.

Sorry. Okay. That's helpful. And just maybe in terms of the Fed probably going to cut rates this year. Just curious how you guys are thinking about the impact on on the margin with rate cuts. And I realize you're Blake talked about a couple months out, just how you're thinking about the margin here near term, given you do see obviously some deposit pricing pressures in the sector.

Sure. I'll take that one, Steve. I would say on the margin on the near term, certainly.
And we're seeing it to grow to Q4 right now into the quarter. I think as we think about the next three to six months, I would say that we're thinking about margin being flattish plus or minus a few basis points overall. And certainly in the first quarter, we generally have the seasonal outflows from a deposit perspective that are impactful to us. We're also seeing some asset Remec remix continue excuse me, deposit remix continue to where we're certainly focused on that. We've also done some things on the funding side, really trying to optimize where we can to the extent that had we had some higher higher cost, less of relationship, if you will, on the deposit side really trying to find alternate funding to optimize and think that should certainly help out as well in the first quarter. But long story short is, I think, for the first half, it will be pretty flattish. We're envisioning That's when rates cuts do happen, that we will see a benefit. We do think that it will certainly take some time to see that come through in the funding side, we want to be able to push and certainly rates and deposit costs lower, but you'll also recognizing that deposit with a pickup in our market and I'm sure others is very competitive and B will recognizing that. But that being said, I think in the second half, we do anticipate to see some level of margin expansion from there.

Okay, great. Appreciate that color. And just one on expenses here. I think the guide for the first quarter that Mike, you mentioned was $20 million to $20.5 million with some transition costs. Just kind of curious, you did does it back down a little bit from there for the rest of the year or should we think about maybe there some ongoing investments and we stay closer to a $28 million range for the upcoming year quarter?

Yes, I think I think realistically, at least as of right now, we're probably that $28 million and $28.5 million. I do think we'll probably on a run rate basis be closer to $28 million and normal.
Neil, on the norm there, Steve, we like, as I think Simon spoke to in his comments in mind, is we certainly are focused on the expenses and being prudent there. And from an efficiency ratio perspective, we keep a very watchful eye on that and always have historically and will continue to do so. But we certainly we're trying to balance the management of expenses short term with also making sure that we're continuing to reinvest for the long term. So we're trying to strike that right balance.

Yes. I'll just add, Steve, you and I think that's spot on things that short-term focus. And we have very specific actions in managing, obviously, our personnel staffing levels, another incremental best investments. And I've been really impressed with the team's work on automation. We've got some really great work on the data side and other areas that I think allowing us to provide and identify opportunities for process improvement and efficiencies. And we just actually had our one hundredth process automation, and that's automated over 1 million transactions. And just one example, Steve, of the kind of work the team's doing that, I think can drive long term productivity and efficiency in the organization. So I think that's obviously a near-term focus, but leveraging some of that technology is an opportunity for us.

Okay, great. I appreciate all the color.
Thank you very much.

Operator

Thanks, Dave. Our next question is from Damon DelMonte with KBW. Your line is now open.

Hey, good afternoon, guys. Hope everybody's doing well and welcome aboard. Simon on just wanted to follow up on the commentary on the margin. Mike, appreciate the color that you gave. Just wondering, do you anticipate doing any additional restructurings here in the early part of 24 or do you think those are done?

And I would say nothing imminent. I will just say that though, Damon, where constantly evaluating opportunities to optimize, if it if it makes sense and meet our ultimate financial parameters.

Got you. Okay. And with regards to the outlook for loan growth, I think you had said low single digit for the year on kind of how are the commercial pipeline shaping up right now and how is that kind of split between C&I and CRE? Has there been any increase in demand on the C&I side or is it more real estate driven.

And we're seeing some nice strength from the C&I and the real estate side. And certainly as rates start to come down, I think the resi side as well is going to pick up, particularly probably in the spring season, but we're seeing a nice, nice demand from our clients, and that's across the footprint as well. That's certainly across the Midcoast and then obviously into some of the southern areas, which I think is an area of focus for us. So that definitely is the demand out there. And I think that's a strategic, our strength that we have with the balance sheet and the position to continue to lend. And I think that's something we'll be very focused on this year.

Great. Thank you for that. And then just lastly, if I could sneak one more in here and the outlook for the provision. As you kind of look at your reserve level, it's pretty flat over the course of 2023. Do you envision kind of keeping that flat and no kind of low charge-offs and then the provision just basically supporting the growth that you get to keep that that reserve our flat?

Yes, I think that's I think that's fair game. And I think we've right now feel good at the 90 basis points. And considering our view on the macro outlook, I do think to the extent that things start to shake out and that becomes a clearer light on what you the path forward from a macro position and call it normalization. There is certainly opportunity over time to potentially release reserves. And I think it was before we adopted the CECL accounting method or when we did, we were around 80 to 82 basis points. So I do I do think that we have some opportunity there, of course, will depend on macro conditions and just overall credit quality metrics. But right now, things certainly look good.

Right. Okay. That's all I had. Thank you very much, ExteNet.

Operator

Our next question is from Matthew Breese with Stephens, Inc. Your line is now open.

Hey, good afternoon. Few questions from me. I first wanted to start with Mike. You'd mentioned that tax rate this year. It sounds like it's going to be a step down in the 18% kind of 18% range. I'm assuming that lower range is partly because of the tax credit investments. So one is that is, in fact, correct, too. And what I've seen historically, when folks investment tax credits is usually some sort of some expense or contract an income item that flows through fees. If that's the case, could you just enlighten us as to what that is and how much and is that included in the overall guidance you provided?

Sure. Great question, Matt. So we anticipate our effective rate to be around 18.7%. In part the rationale cost before I get to the renewable energy project there, Matt, is just the makeup of our revenue sources, if you will, is just the changing over time as our revenues come down, some of our tax exempt income as just a larger percentage and in part that's driving a lower tax rate right now as we think about the renewable energy project from solar power project. So that from an accounting perspective, we will account for that all within the income tax line item. So we do not anticipate that running through any of the operating expenses. I think that the new accounting method out the proportional amortization method that we're now allowed to use for those comps. So I think it makes it ultimately a little bit cleaner from an overall income statement perspective. And that's our intention to run it through the income tax expense.

Yes, I completely agree with you there. The second thing I wanted to touch on, and I am probably not going to get an exact answer here but would love your thoughts as I think about what's unfolded for Camden during this higher rate environment, you've done pretty well on the deposit front with the, you know, less than less than 190, all in cost deposits. But the thing that's held up the margin is loan yields have been kind of slow to reprice and there's a good chunk of loans that are in lower yielding budget buckets such as resin. And so as we look at the entirety of the loan portfolio, how much is yielding on the lower end of the spectrum, call it, 4% or below. And as you think about that bucket and repaying and flow into higher yielding on security, now, how long is that going to take what is the duration of some of the lower yielding paper?

It's a great, great question that I don't have probably a direct answer for you there, but I do think I mean we do have a certainly a good chunk of our residential portfolio and some on the commercial side, certainly to your point that during I think it was 21 and 22. In particular, we were adding quite a quite a bit into the resi portfolio and onto our book at coupons in the 3, 3.5 call it, I do think it will take some time. Certainly for those from those compounds, too, it would make their way off or just your normal cash flow off. So we will see a bit of compression there. I do think for the long, long term in terms of those asset yields on the resi side picking up, we are in terms of the residential mortgages, we are trying to be very prudent in terms of what we put on now in terms of rates. That said, rates, as you know, which is the 10-year dropping recently, we're seeing a lot of competitive pricing in the low sixes right now. We're not we're not there from a pricing perspective on the rescue side, but certainly something of an overall pressure and market perspective, that is something that we're dealing with at the moment. So I don't know if I answered your question there directly map, but I don't I don't have the duration piece right in front of me at the moment.

Well, I've tried another way. You know, there is some optimism there as we get to the back half of the year in rate cuts and assuming that continues into 2025, when you think you can that can get back to earning and above 1% ROA that that were all kind of Easter?

Yes, I think it's I think it's as we anticipated the back half of the year, we're going to see some level of margin expansion even I think I made a comment in the earlier set set Fed rate cuts aside, we have $100 million of derivative today on the commercial real estate book that will be falling off. That has been a drag. We anticipate that alone will be somewhere in the neighborhood of six to eight basis points of margin pickup. And then you couple that with just our CD repricing I think 90 over 90% of our book on the CDs reprices over the next year. So we'll get some benefit there as those continue to reprice. And certainly, we anticipate those repricing down. And then just coupled with the continued investment in our retail cash flow going into higher asset yields and really leveraging our investment book as well.
So we do see anticipate our margin picking up.
And so probably when we think about an ROA north of 1%, we're probably looking into next year, realistically, but I think over the course of the year, we're making strides in the right direction to get back there.

Got it. Okay. Simon, just a couple more for you, if you don't mind. You know, you're first of all, welcome. And as you've kind of spent time with all the various business lines, just curious, where do you see the greatest potential for change within Camden and what opportunities or geographies are there that Camden is currently not involved in today, but could be seen?

Yes. Thanks for the question, Matt. Really appreciate it. And I think, look, I think from a and from a growth perspective, and I think about it in a couple of ways. I think the existing footprint, I think office offers continued opportunities too, and to deepen our relationships in the Mid Coast and down these markets. We have obviously high share in those markets, but think great opportunities to continue to strengthen see particular opportunities around Business Banking I think the wealth business as well as a strong business for us. And I think we're looking to continue that strength. I think there's also new other markets as well. We have less market share, lower market share in the southern end, our Portland, Portsmouth markets and some of the markets on the southern end, I think offer great opportunities for us to continue to develop relationships. We have a strong commercial franchise, as you know, that operates in those markets, and I think we can continue to build out there. And again, along the lines of the commercial strength that we have and the relationships we have and look to I deepen those relationships and particularly on the wealth side, home equity is another business that interests us and I think is a nice component of our residential business. And I think that's another area we're looking at better and I'm excited by the footprint. It's got some nicer and opportunities to continue to grow. And the one thing I've been struck with in my meeting with colleagues and customers is just the tremendous partnership that that our other colleagues our stakeholders have and the relationships they have in the community. And I think that's a great foundation for us to build on.

I appreciate that. Just the last one is I would love your perspective on M&A. Historically can mean, if you look back over the last 20, 25 years, is one kind of a 50/50 or 60/40 mix between organic growth and M&A to drive overall balance sheet growth. And that's probably an older metric at this point. But I think it still holds true over the long term. What are your thoughts on M&A, and that's something that we'll be part of the repertoire here going forward.

Yes. Thanks, Matt. And the strength of our position obviously affords us to be opportunistic first with regard to M&A. But at the same time, I don't think we have feel pressure to do a deal unless it makes sense. Financially, I think it's always going to be the right deal. We're not going to chase anything over a hill and we have plenty of organic opportunities to grow. We've got a great team and great markets, and we see tremendous opportunity there and that but if the right opportunity came along, we'll be opportunistic. And that's certainly, I think part of the playbook.

Understood. That's all I had. I know it's a long winded, but I appreciate taking all my questions. Thank you.

Operator

We have no further questions registered.
So this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Simon for closing remarks.

Thanks a lot, and I just want to thank you all for your time today. And of course, your interest in Camden National Corporation. We wish you all have a great rest of your day. Thanks for joining.

Operator

That concludes today's call. Thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.