Q4 2023 Independence Contract Drilling Inc Earnings Call

In this article:

Participants

Phillip Choyce; EVP & CFO; Independence Contract Drilling, Inc.

Anthony Gallegos; Director, President & CEO; Independence Contract Drilling, Inc.

Steve Ferazani; Analyst; Sidoti & Company

Don Crist; Analyst; Johnson Rice & Company

Dave Strohm; Analyst; Stonegate Capital Partners

Presentation

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Independence Contract Drilling Inc. fourth quarter and year end 2023 financial results and conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. (Operator Instructions) After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. (Operator Instructions) Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Phillip Choyce, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Phillip Choyce

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today to discuss ICD's Fourth Quarter 2023 results. With me today is Anthony Gallegos, our President and Chief Executive Officer. For we begin, I would like to remind all participants that our comments today will include forward-looking statements which are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A number of factors and uncertainties could cause actual results in future periods to differ materially from what we talk about today.
For a complete discussion of these risks, we encourage you to read the company's earnings release and our documents on file with the SEC. In addition, we refer to non-GAAP measures during the call please refer to the earnings release and our public filings for a full reconciliation of net loss, adjusted net loss, EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA, and for definitions of our non-GAAP measures and with that, I'll turn it over to Anthony for opening remarks.

Anthony Gallegos

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter 2023 earnings conference call. During my prepared remarks, I'll talk about the current super-spec rig market and the progress we've made on some important strategic initiatives. Also, I'll close out by talking about our plans for 2024, but first, just a few comments. Looking back on the fourth quarter and full year in which ICD achieves meaningful accomplishments. Most important, we continued our fleet evolution towards 300 series specification and this trend was turbocharged in the back part of the year. To provide some context, we initiated our 200 to 300 series conversion program about 18 months ago, and at the beginning of 2023, we had completed only one conversion and only 50% of our operating rigs met 300 series specifications since the beginning of 2023. However, we have transformed our operating fleet.
Today, 90% of our operating rigs meet 300 series specifications with five conversions having occurred since September first. Today, all but one of our former 200 Series rigs operating today is a 300 series rig and budgeted for the remaining 200 series rig to be converted later this year, depending on customer requirement. I'd be remiss if I did not point out that we have received full cash payback or more during the initial contract term on the CapEx required for all of our 200 to 300 series conversions to date. And this fleet transformation paid significant dividends for ICD in 2023 as we navigated a severely depressed Haynesville gas market and an overall decline in the Permian rig count as well. In fact, as of today, we have increased our Permian rig count by over 40% compared to the beginning of 2023, even while the overall rig count in the basin declined 15%, along with our reputation for operational excellence and customer service, our ability to efficiently execute our 200 to 300 series conversions drove this significant market outperformance as we entered 2024 our conversion strategy is continuing to pay dividends on contract renewals and extensions for example, we just executed several multi-year contract extensions with one of the Permian's largest operators and signed another term contract with a new Permian customer. The majority of these contract extensions involve 300 Series rigs that were converted by us in 2023.
In 2023, we also began to take advantage of the par paydown opportunity in our indenture by paying down a total of $15 million worth of convertible notes, including a $5 million paydown in the fourth quarter. We have mentioned in the past that positioning the company for a potential refinancing of our convertible notes is a high priority for us. As you may have noticed in our press release today, although our convertible notes do not mature until March of 2026. The refinancing window for these notes will open later this year, and we have appointed a special committee of independent directors to proactively begin the process of reviewing and evaluating opportunities regarding the notes and any other strategic opportunities that can be considered in connection with that review.
Moving on to our fourth quarter results. Philip will provide more details during his prepared comments, but I wanted to make a few. While our margins came in on the higher end of our guidance, our overall results came in at the low end almost entirely due to higher rig reactivation expenses much, much of which was related to higher labor and related expenses originally earmarked to perform maintenance and upgrade CapEx on rig reactivations that ultimately did not mature material as the offset, of course, is that outlays for CapEx during the fourth quarter was only $2.7 million.
Now I'd like to talk about the market for super-spec rigs in our target markets, including what we are seeing from a dayrate perspective and what has changed from our last conference call. Obviously, our Permian market has held up pretty well based on ICD's increased rig utilization in that basin.
But let me begin with our gas-directed Haynesville market. It's no secret that the Haynesville market was severely depressed throughout 2023, but early in Q4 of last year. As we entered the winter season, we started to see some small opportunities for rig adds in 2024. And fortunately, the combination of further declines in commodity prices driven by a very warm winter has pause. These opportunities with these factors, combined with duck inventory builds in the area and customer consolidation Our expectation today, unfortunately, is for further decline in the Haynesville rig count overall. And for ICD, we had three rigs working in the Haynesville at the beginning of this year. However, two of our customers with whom we were anticipating contract extensions notified us that they were not going to continue their programs.
We've already relocated one of these rigs to West Texas including completing a 200 to 300 series conversion during the rig move and placing it on a six-month contract with a new customer all with zero off-rate time. While movement of this rig did cannibalize an opportunity we previously had earmarked for an incremental rig at the rig is performing exceptionally well and we feel we have a very good opportunity to add a second rig with that customer later this year, assuming their plans remain in place for the second Haynesville rig where we received notice, we have been successful in placing that rig on a follow-on opportunity with a different customer, but it is a short term program and we are continuing to market the rig for follow-on opportunities. The takeaway of all this is that we expect to run two or so rigs in the Haynesville for the foreseeable future and are scaling our operations accordingly.
Our West Texas market, on the other hand, has held up much better. And we obviously have been successful in adding rigs across our customer base, increase an increasing term contract exposure where it makes sense. And we currently have 14 rigs running in West Texas. However, capital discipline and increasing consolidation of E&P companies kept a lid on the overall rig count in the Permian Basin during the second half of 2023. And all indications today are for a flattish overall rig count in the Permian during the first half of this year. We also expect continued elevated churn and rig movement within this overall flat rig count driven by rebalancing of fleets following the closings of recent E&P consolidation transactions. Thus, the incremental rig adds for ICD in the Permian are going to be from predominantly directed toward high-grade opportunities, displacing lower spec and or underperforming competitor rigs.
These opportunities are very competitive. But so far, we have been successful in winning more than our fair share in light of the flattish rig count overall at around 600 rigs, day rates in general have moved sideways, which is what we expect for the first half of 2024 day rates and daily margins for super-spec rigs are still healthy, but obviously lower than they were a year ago. This is more pronounced for incremental rig adds with new customers, for example, compared to when we renew or rollover a contract with existing customers. And as you might expect, there's more day rate pressure in the Haynesville than in the Permian spot market day rates on competitive awards can be up to a couple of thousand dollars per day lower in rollover rates owing to efficiencies earn and friction costs of changing out rigs that are performing at today's required level of performance.
Day rates in the Permian for our 300 series rigs have remained stable in the low $30,000 range and for our remaining 200 series rig, the high 20s, there are some competitors bidding rigs at day rates less than this, but the largest providers have held up their pricing, which is helpful. We continue to earn full cash-on-cash payback over the initial contract for any CapEx associated with a 200 to 300 series conversion in light of this backdrop, our strategic operating objectives and priorities as we move forward are as follows. While we still believe we can return to a 21 rig operating rig fleet, that goal has been pushed to the right in light of the market dynamics I just described. During the first half of 2024, our priority will be to navigate the increased churn and choppiness we are seeing in the Haynesville from customer consolidation in the Permian and focused on maximizing utilization on the rigs we currently have operating as we expect to deal with some rig movements here in the first half of this year has the effects of lower gas prices and customer consolidation and capital allocation priorities work their way through the system.
Beyond that I expect we will see opportunities to grow our Permian Basin presence as this year plays out as the benefits of our 300 series rigs and our 200 to 300 series conversion program, combined with RICD. impact offerings, continue to bring new customers into the fold and allow us to expand existing customer relationships in the face of a likely flat overall Permian rig count. In the near term, we will likely need to continue to punch above our weight class to drive incremental rig reactivations. But I think we've shown that we're more than able to do that. Obviously, if the Permian rig count moves upward sooner, that will only increase our opportunities for rig reactivation and margin improvements in the first half of 2024, as I mentioned, given further declines in the Haynesville, we don't see a recovery in that basin until mid 2025, given a very warm winter, which is winding down large gas storage levels, significantly lower nat gas prices and the duck inventories which E&P companies have assembled, but we are leaving the door open for an eventual return when market dynamics in that basin turn more positive for drilling contractors with strong brands and reputations in the challenging operating environment, which the Haynesville presents Rolling all this up I'm confident that ICT is ready for the year, which has now started.
Overall CapEx budget net of disposals for 2024 has been set at $18.2 million and we have set our cash SG&A budget for fiscal 2024 at $15.3 million, both reflective of a flatter operating environment, which we are now experiencing. I'll make some additional concluding remarks before opening the call up for questions. But right now, I want to turn the call over to Phillip to discuss our financial results and financial outlook in more detail.

Phillip Choyce

For the fourth quarter of 2023, we reported an adjusted net loss of $8.6 million or $0.61 per share and adjusted EBITDA of $9.9 million. In calculating adjusted EBITDA and loss per share. We excluded $600,000 associated with non-cash SG&A marketing expense during the quarter, which related to an amendment to some contractual assets. We also excluded $14.7 million associated with a non-cash impairment charge. Impairment charge relates to idle equipment that we didn't.
We do not believe will be usable in the company's fleet of 26 marketed rigs on a go-forward basis as well as capital spares that will be disposed of in connection with efforts to consolidate the company's yard locations. During the quarter, we operated 14.9 average rigs in line with our prior conference call guidance. Margin per day during the quarter came in at $12,313 per day at the high end of guidance. However, as Anthony mentioned, reactivation costs of $2.1 million exceeded guidance from our last conference call, and there were no early termination revenues during the quarter. SG&A costs were $5.7 million during the quarter included approximately $1.8 million of stock-based and deferred compensation expense as well as a non-cash operating expense I previously mentioned.
Cash G&A expense during the quarter was $3.9 million, relatively flat with the third quarter and in line with guidance. Interest expense during the quarter aggregated $9.8 million. This included $2.6 million associated with non-cash amortization of deferred issuance costs and debt discount, which we excluded when presenting adjusted net income. Tax benefit for the quarter was $900,000. And during the quarter, cash payments for capital expenditures net of disposals were approximately $2.7 million.
Moving on to our balance sheet repaid $5 million of convertible notes at par at quarter end. Overall, adjusted net debt during the quarter was reduced by $4 million. Our financial liquidity at quarter end was $26.2 million, comprised of cash on hand of $5.6 million and $20.6 million of availability under our revolving credit facility.
Now moving on to guidance for fiscal '24 and the first quarter of 2024. As Anthony mentioned, we have set our capital expenditure budget at $18.2 million net of disposals for 2024. This includes completion of a 200 to 300 series conversion on alone 200 series rig we have operating today. Budget is based upon 17 operating rigs in the near term.
As Anthony mentioned, we're expecting a relatively flat operating rig count for at least the first half of 2024. We expect to adjust our capital budget forward on any incremental rig adds that increase our operating rigs above 17 earlier than these expectations. I would note that due to white space created by rig churn our reported average operating day during a particular quarter will likely be below 17 until we begin reactivating additional rigs.
We have set our cash SG&A budget for 2024 at $15.3 million, this is a reduction of approximately 8% compared to fiscal 2023 and represents consolidation of various corporate functions that occurred early in 2024. Noncash stock-based compensation during 2024 is expected to be approximately $5 million, but much of this is tied to variable accounting is driven by increases or decreases in relation to our stock price at periods end, we are budgeting interest expense in 2024 to approximate $30 million. In addition, we expect to recognize $12 million of non-cash interest expense associated with amortization of debt discount and offering costs. And finally, we expect our effective tax rate in 2024 to be approximately 5%.
Now moving on to more specific guidance for the first quarter of 2024, we expect operating days to approximate 1,343 days. We expect margin per day to come in between $10,400 and $11,000 per day with a sequential decline relating to lower day rates on contract renewals.
Breaking out the components, we expect revenue per day to range between $30,100 and $30,400 and costs per day to range between $19,300 and $19,600 based upon cost efficiency initiatives instituted at the beginning of 2024. We are expecting positive trends in our overall cost per day compared to 2023 and resort overhead expenses will be about $800,000 during the quarter, and we've excluded those expenses from our cost per day guidance. This includes approximately $200,000 associated with relocating rigs from the Haynesville to the Permian. But first quarter cash SG&A expense to be approximately $4.4 million, which includes severance costs of approximately $400,000.
Cash SG&A during the year is somewhat front-loaded due to year professional fees. Similar to our expectations around cost per day, we are expecting positive trends in our cash, SG&A. expense in future quarters. Based upon cost efficiency initiatives instituted at the beginning of the year. Stock-based compensation expense for the quarter should approximate $1.4 million semi, no material changes to our stock price that would impact variable awards. First quarter, we expect interest expense to approximate $10 million. And of this amount, approximately $2.7 million will relate to non-cash amortization and deferred financing costs and debt discounts. Depreciation expense for the first quarter is expected to be flat with the fourth quarter, and we expect our tax benefit during the quarter to be diminimus. With that I will turn the call back over to Anthony.

Anthony Gallegos

Thanks, Phil. So wrapping all this up, I believe ICD performed very well last year as we navigated many challenges successfully in the process. We grew our Permian Basin presence and we were able to expand some key customer relationships and attained some new customers, all the while delivering world-class performance, including industry-leading HS&E results we continue to make progress on the three most important strategic initiatives we have, which include paying down debt, increasing our exposure to the 300 series market and leveraging our D. impact offering.
So with that, we'd like to take your questions. Operator, please open up the line for Q&A.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions)
Steve Ferazani, Sidoti.

Steve Ferazani

Morning Anthony, Philip, thanks for all the color on the call. Just first, just so I can clarify the guidance. Sounds like you are setting CapEx based on 17 operating rigs, but it sounds like your guidance for Q1 is probably slightly less than 15 given the some whitespace. But can you sort of connect the two?
Yes.

Phillip Choyce

Yeah. There's a -- we've got by when you look at our fleet status. So if we've got 17, what I call hot rigs, there's about three or four of them really are moving around on us right now. There's a couple in the Haynesville, as Anthony talked about in his prepared remarks, we've got one characterize as caught up in the consolidation that's gone on where where the customer's going to where we're moving that around. And then you always have one, we've got one. So there's four so rigs that are that we're moving around right now. So there's 17 hot rigs. And so that's really why the difference between the average rig, the rig count in the quarter and what we're dealing with as far as actual rigs move moving around.

Steve Ferazani

That's helpful. When I think about how you're seeing '24 play out. And we know that the warm winter obviously had a significant impact on the Haynesville. But in general, you're talking about day rates being somewhat sideways. What's your what's your risk levels for that given if the Permian's at best flattish through the first half?

Anthony Gallegos

That's a good question, Steve, the risk. I mean, obviously, day rates could go higher, it could go lower. But we've been in this kind of pattern for the last three or four months where rig counts more or less moved sideways US land rig counts around 600 to five, it's down five. And that pricing has been pretty steady and also pretty level during that same period as well, where we've been able to add such as out in the Permian, it's been more on rig spec and capability as opposed to being a low bid, for example. So I feel pretty good feel pretty confident about the margin guide. The message I think we've tried to convey is we think here in the first half of the year, it's flattish and we're optimistic about the back half of the year. So that's how we think about it and feel pretty good about it.

Phillip Choyce

I might add, just if you're looking from fourth quarter to first quarter, we don't have all of our legacy contracts that were at higher day rates signed back when the market was stronger. Those have all expired or rolled over?

Steve Ferazani

Yes, you highlighted the fact that obviously the Permian was softer in '23, yet you were able to move a lot of rigs there and been from the Haynesville and win contracts, what's your ability in this environment? Because clearly you have had the ability with the 300 series rigs to displace other rigs. Is that harder now?

Anthony Gallegos

Is that harder now I think now, obviously, we need the programs to continue. We need to have a long enough rig line in front of us for the customer to justify the kind of the friction of changing competitor out. But I think it's why you heard us pound the table now for going on two years about the need to continue to evolve our fleet toward the 300 series spec spec because in this environment we're in now the laterals are getting longer. Our customers are more interested today and adopting evaluating and adopting technology. That's why the stuff we've been doing in the background that we refer to as I see, the impact is so important and of and I think we've proven certainly over the last year that we can increase our utilization. In some cases that's coming at the expense of a competitor's rig. But I mean, that's how I think about that. So to the extent the rig lines continue. Now we've proven our ability to do that and as our expectation will continue to be able to do, it won't happen as fast as any of us would like but we'll continue to chip away at it.

Operator

Don Crist, Johnson Rice.

Don Crist

Morning, gentlemen.
How are you all doing today. Anthony, in the press release, you talked about tech packages on about half of your rigs. Can you remind us what kind of uplift that due to? And is there opportunity to kind of expand that across the rest of the operating fleet spot have today?

Anthony Gallegos

Yes, I do think there's opportunities to continue to expand it and Don been very pleased with what we've been able to do so far. If anything, that number may be understating what we're actually doing when you think about all of the tools that are out there. But the ad the adder in the most important part of the other would be the margin uplift anywhere from a couple of hundred a day up to, in some cases a little higher than that.
So I could see someone say, well, look, so the other company over there is charging a couple of thousand wells that other companies got a lot of capital invested in that. And our strategy has been to be a very fast second mover here to partner with people that probably know more about that the intricacies of it that the IT part of it than we do that have been working on this in some cases for more than a decade and leverage their capability combine it with the AC pad, optimal super-spec rig, which we have and deliver value working together to our customer so that we probably aren't able to bring as much to the bottom line or the margin per day as some of our competitors. But we essentially got very little invested in this.

Don Crist

Right. And on the contracting side, you know, it sounds like you signed a couple longer time contracts here in the last couple of months or so. But are you getting significant inbounds from the people that you're working for today that kind of term up for two or three years or and what is your willingness to do that today?

Anthony Gallegos

Yes. We're not getting a lot of inbounds in this particular case, a very important strategic client for the company. They did approach us asked us what our thoughts were around that. And as we sat here and thought about the next year or two and some of the things that we have to get done and especially around addressing the convertible notes that aren't going to mature until March 2026, we felt that it would be good and prudent for the company to put some backlog on the books. And I mean, there's a couple of two-year contracts in that mix just starting up.
So I think we made the right decision didn't have to get in fact, the day rate on the longer term, but to your term was higher than the spot market rate.
So I hope we're in a situation where a year from now, we feel like we left money on the table because that's going to be really good for the industry and certainly is going to good for ICD, but we have gotten we did it and we would continue to evaluate it, especially as we navigate 2024 and start to chip away at some of the stuff we've got to get done.

Don Crist

Okay. And one final one for me. One of your major competitors at a conference last week talked about some strength maybe in the fourth quarter in the gas basins. But it sounds like you're not really seeing that in the Haynesville is or is it kind of just splitting hairs there? Or do you think that there could be some uplift in the fourth quarter in the gas basins as we move forward. Obviously, that will be dependent on the strip as it progresses through the year.

Anthony Gallegos

If I could maybe he's or they have spent more time on it than we have. I'm just looking at at a very high level, Dan, and what I see with inventory levels, the ability to liquefy and export gas, you look at the data inventory levels as well. It's just hard for me to see where there's going to be any real pickup until we get into the middle part of next year, I think we've got to work through winter of 2024 relevant at 2025. I think as the strip moves up. What a lot of our customers are going to do is they're going to reach into their inventory of ducts and complete, and then they're going to have to replenish those. So that's why maybe a little bit more bearish on that longer term, still very bullish on gas US gas, what it's going to do for society, what it's going to do for our country in terms of energy security, energy transition and all of that, just I think the next 12, 18 months are going to have some headwinds.

Don Crist

I appreciated all the color. Thanks, guys.

Operator

David Strohm, Stonegate Capital.

Dave Strohm

Morning. Wanted to hoping to start last quarter, we talked about some of the smaller contractors kind of pulling pricing down a little bit and tourism comment around and their capacity hopefully trying through this early half of the year. I'm just curious if you saw that come to fruition kind of where you see pricing going from here in relation to the smaller contractors capacity?

Anthony Gallegos

Yes, I think last time we talked, Dave, we were pretty optimistic about the rig count actually starting to increase as we exited 2023 and then in the first half of this year and two things have occurred since then one, the rig count has been flat and there's all kinds of reasons for that. And then I think also the churn that's being created with a function of the M&A that's happening among our customers does those two things flat rig count and then the churn have created a situation where where we thought more of our smaller competitors rigs might get soaked up and an increase. Obviously, that's not happened. So it's still their good news is you do see a bifurcation in pricing. You've got the big three that are doing a really good job at standing in their ground. It gets a little bit more competitive below that, but as we have seem to have landed at a floor in terms of pricing, we've not seen any real movement on spot market pricing among that group last few months. But where you see that impact ICD in our margin per day is that as these rigs are rigs that rolled off the legacy contracts at higher day rates, they've had to reprice into a spot market that of a few thousad dollars a day less. And that what you're seeing reflected in kind of how we're thinking about the first half of this year.
Understood.

Dave Strohm

Very helpful. And then just one more from a more macro level. Are you seeing any demand fluctuations in relation to the Canadian Trans Mountain pipeline and the impact that's expected to have on the North American energy segment.

Anthony Gallegos

I'm not not in the lower 48. I don't follow the Canadian market, but my understanding is they're busier up there than they've been in a long time. It's very good for them. But I'm not aware of any impact. We're not working in the bucket anymore. So I don't have a good feel of what's happening up there that would be an area where maybe they might see some uplift, some benefit from it, but in the lower 48, especially in our target markets, I'm not aware of any impact.

Dave Strohm

That's perfect. Thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Anthony Gallegos I guess, for any closing remarks.

Anthony Gallegos

Okay, great.
Thank you, sir. I'd like to close out the call. I want to say thank you to our many employees at ICD for their hard work and dedication. Also, I want to say thank you to our customers for their business, and we'd like to thank you for taking the time today to participate in this call. And with that, we'll sign off from here. Thank you.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending.
Today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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