Q4 2023 Quanex Building Products Corp Earnings Call

Presentation

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Q4 fiscal 2023 Quanex Building Products Corporation earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session to ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star one on your telephone. You will have been and are in automated methods. Advising your hand is raised to withdraw your question, please press star one. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Scott ZLB, SVP, CFO, and Treasurer. Please go ahead.

Thanks for joining the call this morning. On the call with me today is George Wilson, our President and CEO. This conference call will contain forward-looking statements and some discussion of non-GAAP measures and forward-looking statements, and guidance discussed on this call and in our earnings release are based on current expectations. Actual results or events may differ materially from such statements and guidance. Quanex undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or events. For a more detailed description of our forward-looking statement disclaimer and a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, please see our earnings release issued yesterday and posted to our website.
I'll now turn the call over to George for his prepared remarks.

Thanks, Scott, and good morning to everyone on the call in what turned out to be another year of operating in a macro environment with strong headwinds for the industries we serve. I am very pleased to announce that the performance of the Quanex team in our fiscal 2023 resulted in a record year for both adjusted earnings and cash flow, our team has stayed true to our mantra of controlling what we can control. In addition, we remain committed to our long term growth with appropriate strategy and have positioned the Company well to continue to create value for our shareholders.
I would like to take this moment to thank the entire Quanex team for their spectacular performance and hard work this past year while continuing to make a difference with their caring and charitable endeavors and the communities where we are located.
As I mentioned, 2023 was a year full of macro challenges that created headwinds for our top line. The devastating war in Ukraine continued to negatively impact consumer confidence in Europe and added unknown risks to energy costs for the winter months. In addition, we now have a war in Gaza, which again has the potential to disrupt markets, energy costs and global freight channels in the United States 2023 saw a return to the more normal seasonality pattern that existed pre-COVID. We also saw a housing market that slowed as a result of higher interest rates and elevated pricing in a repair and replacement market that softened throughout the year as COVID backlogs dissipated and more normal market drivers returned.
Finally, our top line was impacted by the raw material index pricing mechanisms that exist in North America for many of our key raw materials such as resin, steel, aluminum, wood and oil. The prices for these raw materials dropped rapidly during the year revenue dropped accordingly.
Notwithstanding these revenue challenges, our team remained focused on controlling what we could control, such as non-raw material, customer pricing, service and delivery performance, sourcing decisions and continuous improvement initiatives. From a fixed cost perspective, we continuously challenge the status quo of our operating structure, worked with our employees on medical cost programs and develop preventative programs to reduce expenses When combined, these focus areas contributed to what was another record year for adjusted earnings and cash generation.
Another accomplishment that I want to highlight from the year is our successful acquisition and integration of the LMI custom mixing assets. As a reminder, we bought the LMI assets in November of 2022 as the first move under our refreshed growth strategy. While this was a relatively small acquisition. It was a familiar operation that represented low execution and integration risk looking at it now 12 months later, I think it is fair to say that achieved all of the objectives that we had hoped it would first fit squarely within our material science and process engineering expertise. Second, it expanded our product portfolio into a new and attractive category with products that serve different and growing end markets. And finally, the acquisition was both immediately accretive to adjusted EPS and improved our consolidated margin profile. In short BLMI. acquisition has accomplished everything that we set out to do. And I would like to thank Jim Nixon and the entire Quanex custom mixing team as well as the Cambridge Ohio North American Fenestration team for their efforts and making this acquisition and integration a resounding success. As for cash flow, our management of working capital and ability to capitalize on reduced materials pricing contributed significantly to our year-over-year improvement in free cash flow, and it enabled us to repay $40 million of debt in Q4 alone. It is important to note that we borrowed $92 million to acquire the LMI assets on November first, 2022, and repaid $90 million of debt throughout the fiscal 2023 year.
Looking ahead to fiscal 2024, we expect to continue seeing a seasonal cadence that was normal before 2020 from a from a demand perspective. And based on conversations and forecasts, we have received from our customers. We expect the volumes will be pressured in the first half of the year. We have already seen customers in both the fenestration and cabinet markets announced longer than normal holiday shutdown periods. However, we believe demand for our products will begin to see an uptick in the second half of 2024 as consumer confidence starts to improve with the prospect of interest rates decreasing on the horizon. This should spur activity in the residential housing sector as we are still very underbuilt in both North America and Europe.
Looking forward, at our growth initiatives, we will remain steadfast in following the parameters of our growth with a purpose or set in a different way profitable growth strategy. This includes investment in both organic and inorganic growth projects from an order. From an organic growth perspective, we continued to invest in our compound development, spacer development and UPVC. Technologies continued growth in these areas will come through new product innovation and further expansion into flashing tapes, refrigeration, spacer systems and solar panel sealants. We will also continue to explore opportunities for inorganic growth through acquisition. With that said, we will remain diligent in our run rate review and make sure any present potential acquisition targets either fills out an existing market channel or takes us into an adjacent market with better growth and profit potential. In either case, we would expect margin accretion either on a stand-alone basis or through derive synergies in combination with our business, our strong balance sheet gives us flexibility and optionality, and we look forward to continuing to deliver results through both organic and inorganic opportunities.
I would like to now turn the call back over to Scott, who will discuss our financial results in greater detail.

Thanks, George. On a consolidated basis, we reported net sales of $295.5 million during the fourth quarter of 2023, which represents a decrease of 3.9% compared to $307.5 million for the same period of 2022, we reported net sales of $1.13 billion for the full year, which represents a decrease of 7.4% compared to $1.22 billion for 2022. The decreases were mostly attributable to softer market demand and lower pricing in North America. Net income increased by 11% to $27.4 million or $0.83 per diluted share during the three months ended October 31, 2023, compared to $24.7 million or $0.75 per diluted share during the three months ended October 31, 2022. For the full year 2023, net income decreased by 6.6% to $82.5 million or $2.50 per diluted share compared to $88.3 million or $2.66 per diluted share for the full year 2022. On an adjusted basis, net income was $31.2 million or $0.95 per diluted share during the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to $25 million or $0.75 per diluted share. During the fourth quarter of 2022, adjusted net income was $90.9 million or $2.75 per diluted share for fiscal 2023 compared to $88.9 million or $2.68 per diluted share for fiscal 2022. The adjustments being made to EPS are primarily for foreign currency translation impacts, pension settlement mix, events and transaction and advisory fees. On an adjusted basis, EBITDA for the quarter increased by 31.2% to $50.8 million compared to $38.7 million during the same period of last year. For the full year 2023, adjusted EBITDA increased by 4.6% to $159.6 million, which is a new record for Quanex compared to $152.5 million 2022. This equates to adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of approximately 160 basis points year over year. The increase in adjusted earnings for the three months and 12 months ended October 31, 2023 was largely attributable to effective cost control, real price increases, a decline in raw material costs and a decrease in income tax expense.
Now for results by operating segment, we generated net sales of $180.5 million in our North American Fenestration segment for the fourth quarter of 2023, an increase of 1.3% compared to $178.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2022, driven by the contribution from the Alpine mixing assets. Excluding the contribution from the LSI assets, revenue would have been down approximately 11% year over year in this segment. In the fourth quarter, we estimate, the volumes in this segment declined by approximately 9% year over year with the remainder of the revenue decline versus Q4 of 2022 due to a decrease in price. For the full year, we reported net sales of $667.5 million in our North American Fenestration segment, a decrease of 2.9% compared to $687.5 million in 2022. The decrease was mainly due to softer market demand and lower pricing. Excluding the contribution from the I. assets, revenue would have been down approximately 14% year over year in this segment. For the full year, we estimate the volumes in this segment declined by approximately 13% year over year with the remainder of the revenue decline versus 2022 due to a decrease in price.
Adjusted EBITDA was $29.7 million in this segment for the fourth quarter or 40.2% higher than prior year, which equates to margin expansion of approximately 460 basis points year over year. Adjusted EBITDA was $92.7 million in this segment for the full year or 2.1% higher than 2022, which equates to margin expansion of approximately 70 basis points year over year. Successful execution on operational and sourcing initiatives resulted in benefits that outpaced inflation and gave us the ability to expand margins. The group has also done a good job of controlling divisional SG&A despite lower volumes. In addition, our custom Quanex custom mixing business formula LMI continues to perform above expectations. We reported net sales of $51.9 million in our North American Cabinet Components segment during the quarter, which was 23.7% lower than prior year. For the full year, we reported net sales of $215.4 million, which represents a decline of 21.9% year over year. The decreases from both periods were driven by lower volumes and lower index pricing for hardwood, we estimate the volumes declined by approximately 13% and price declined by approximately 12% in this segment for the quarter. For the full year, we estimate the volumes declined by approximately 18%, with price declining approximately 4% versus 2022. The price declines for both periods were largely related to index pricing tied to the decline in hardwood costs. Adjusted EBITDA was $5.1 million and $16.2 million in this segment for the quarter and full year, respectively, which yielded margin expansion of approximately 250 basis points for the quarter and 130 basis points for the full year. The time lag related to our hardwood indexed pricing mechanism. This segment helped us with profitability in 2023 after hurting us on that front in 2022, we also did a good job of controlling costs throughout 2023 our European Fenestration segment generated revenue of $64.2 million in the quarter, which represents an increase of 3.3% compared to $62.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2022. We estimate the volumes declined by about 5% year over year in this segment, with pricing up approximately 1% and positive foreign exchange translation impact of about 7%. For the full year, we reported net sales of $250.8 million in our European Fenestration segment, a decrease of 4.3% compared to $262.1 million in 2022. For the full year, we estimate the volumes declined by approximately 7% year over year in this segment with pricing up by approximately 5% and a negative foreign exchange translation impact of about 2%. Adjusted EBITDA was $16.7 million and $59.9 million in this segment for the quarter and full year, respectively, which yielded margin expansion of approximately 630 basis points for the quarter and approximately 480 basis points for the full year. Continued improvement in operational metrics, combined with sourcing initiatives and pricing carryover all contributed to realizing margin expansion in this segment.
Moving on to cash flow and the balance sheet. Cash provided by operating activities was $44.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2023 and $147.1 million for the fourth for the full year 2023, which represents a decrease of 7.5% and an increase of 50.1%, respectively, compared to the same periods of 2022. We did a very good job managing working capital and the value of our inventory continued to decrease throughout 2023 due to easing raw material inflationary pressures also had a positive impact on working capital. We generated free cash flow of $109.7 million for the full year in 2023, an increase of 69.1% over 2022 and a new record for Quanta.
Our balance sheet remains strong. Our liquidity keeps improving and our leverage ratio of net debt to last 12 months adjusted EBITDA was 0.1 times as of October 31, 2023, excluding real estate leases that are considered finance leases under US GAAP, we are essentially net debt free. As George mentioned, we were able to repay $90 million of debt throughout fiscal 2023, $40 million during Q4 alone. Looking forward, we will remain focused on things that we can control. We will also continue to identify organic and inorganic profitable growth opportunities as they arise while continuing to preserve our healthy balance sheet. As always, the goal is to create shareholder value. As mentioned in the earnings release, based on current macro indicators, recent conversations with our customers, limited transparency and varying opinions on the outlook for 2024, we're taking a thoughtful approach to guidance. We intend to revisit guidance for 2024 when we report earnings for the first quarter. However, for modeling purposes on a consolidated basis, please use the following assumptions for fiscal 2024 until we give official guidance low to mid-single digit decline in net sales and some margin pressure compared to fiscal 2023. Depreciation and amortization of approximately $44 million to $46 million. SG&A of $128 million to $130 million, interest expense of $5 million to $5.5 million, a tax rate of 20% and CapEx of $40 million to $45 million.
From a cadence perspective for the first quarter of 2024 versus the first quarter of 2023, we expect revenue to be down 10% to 12% on a consolidated basis by segment for the first quarter of 2024 compared to the first quarter of 2023, we expect revenue to be down 5% to 7% in our North American Fenestration segment, down 25% to 27% and our North American Cabinet Components segment and down 8% to 10% in our European Fenestration segment from a margin perspective for the first quarter of 2024 compared to the first quarter of 2023. We expect minor adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in both fenestration segments, but margin decline in our North American Cabinet Components segment. On a consolidated basis, we currently expect adjusted EBITDA margin to be flat to down 50 basis points in the first quarter of 2024, again compared to the first quarter of 2023.
Operator, we will now take your questions.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

And thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one. Again, Please standby while we compile the Q&A roster. And one moment. Our first question, one moment for our first question.
And our first question comes from Steven Ramsey from Thompson Research Group. Your line is now open.

Hi, good morning. Maybe just sort of with wanting to have more to say to start with the North America Fenestration segment organically down 14%, I believe for the year you're looking at the first quarter decline being much better than that at previous organic rates. I guess maybe unpack the improvement there. How much of that is just comps and other and drivers to bridge that outlook?

Yes, Stephen, I'll take that question on. Really the major difference between this year and last year in Q1 for NAF on a revenue perspective is in our space or segment where, if you remember last year, we talked quite a bit about that that that product line being down heavily last year due to most customers on destocking or bleeding down their inventory. It's the one product line that we manufacture that has the ability to be packaged and put into a warehouse fairly easy. So throughout the year on and really in that first half of last year, our customers, we saw quite a bit of those destocking activities. And now we're really back up with our lead times back to being normal and effectively a just-in-time or make the order, which is typically our model. So what we're seeing now is normalized shipment and production rates specifically in that area.

Okay.
Helpful.
And then on the full year outlook, then a bridging that do what you said for the first quarter and the improvement expected is the second half outlook of growth and what are the drivers behind that? Maybe the end markets looking at existing home sales potentially for R&R, new construction restocking, potentially, what are the key drivers to that being better than the first.

So I think our view on the second half is really from the conversations we continue to hear from The Economist as well as our customers that we are still very underbuilt in both of our markets and as and especially as we've seen over the last week with some signals that there could be some easening in interest rates that the second half of this year on looks to have the potential being fairly robust, more so than was probably anticipated six months ago. So I think we've seen a shift in confidence level on the back half of the year for from a lot of different parties, which reinforces why we believe our second half will be strong as well.

Yes, Stephen, and then I'll obviously combine those comments with just the typical seasonality of our business. The first half is always weaker than second half in a normal year.

Okay, helpful. And then last one for me on the LMI. deal, which you discussed some of the success and learnings from I guess firstly on LMI's, the stand-alone margin, they're better now than it was a year ago. What are the next steps for LMI? And then kind of lastly, high level, if successful done that deal and debt is now paid down, do you feel like you're ready to do more deals? Or does this environment with this uncertainty, make it tougher to do deals?

I'll answer the first part of the question then turn and let Scott comment on the second half. So as it relates to Oman, I think we have seen improvement in their margins and it has to deal with more of their customer mix and as they continue to expand out of what was traditionally their normal Jordan joint venture partners, we've made it a priority for us to continue to grow their revenue in different markets and different segments, and we are seeing benefits from that initiative. And we'll continue to invest heavily in that mixing business on both through our investment in developing new compounds, investments and expanding our sales force as well as looking at acquisitions.
To add on to that, we like the business very much. We like the addition of new additional markets. And again, couldn't be happier with what we've accomplished and learned through that process.
As it relates to new acquisitions on, you know, I think we're in a pretty good spot on to be able to be functional if we sell something we like, and I'll let Scott expand more on that as well.

Yes, I think what I'll say around the acquisition front in this environment is we have positioned ourselves with optionality. We don't have to do anything. However, if something comes across our desk that we feel like will add value to shareholders over time we will take a hard look as long that check certain boxes and we are going to be very methodical like we have in the past on any acquisitions we may do. So just because there is some uncertainty in the market. I wouldn't say that we are close to looking at acquisitions at all.

Okay, that's helpful. Thank you.

Operator

And thank you.
And one moment for our next question.
And our next question comes from Reuben Garner from Benchmark. Your line is now open.

Thank you. Good morning, everybody, and we have an arm So as Stephen mentioned, the word restock, and you guys talked about kind of the destocking impact this year. Just curious, inventory in the channel. I know some of your products aren't really inventoried, but so I know we're talking about just part of your business, but what is what is the inventory like relative to maybe more historically normal periods? And we've seen rates drop quite a bit here recently and some maybe excitement about what that could mean for housing kind of heading into 23. Is the potential that your first half and sort of your first half outlook is maybe a little conservative just given the potential for restocking. There is a better consumer and housing environment in the early part of next year?

Yes.
So the first part of the question in terms of our inventory levels, I think we're in a very good position right now on, as you know, I think we manage our working capital very well and effectively, we're a just-in-time supplier. So what has changed and what we've done a very good job of over the last 1.5 to 2 years is with some of the supply chain challenges that we had that extended lead times and visitor for different things that forced our customers in de-stocking, whatever they could. I think we've done a very, very good job of improving our supply chain, finding alternate sources. We've really improved the robustness of that entire chain, which has allowed us to drive our inventory levels down and assets give our customers confidence to drive their inventory levels down, and that's what we do on. So I feel very comfortable going into this year on whether the markets go up or down that we are absolutely prepared to react and react accordingly to that.
As it relates to, you know, are we being conservative in the first quarter and May. I think traditionally we are a more conservative forecasting company and know I think what we've shown over again, over the course of the last really three or four years is that on our cost model reacts very well. So to wrap it up some downside, I feel very good about where we're positioned on in either scenario. And if some if interest rates come down or demand spikes as a result of that, I think we're very, very prepared to capitalize on that. But we are taking a very conservative view as it relates to the first quarter and really our first half.

Great.
That actually helped answer my second question. Someone asked another year. There's been some increasing concern about Europe, and I know your business is predominantly in UK. I've heard that come up of late. Your business has actually been, yes, pretty resilient in the face of that uncertainty. Can you just kind of talk about your outlook there for this year. Maybe just kind of I'll dig into some of the reasons why maybe your business is more resilient than some others might be seeing in the same kind of geography.

So when you look at both of our businesses, I think it's been resilient because our product lines are designed to perform at a higher thermal performance level and as codes and standards continue to and to be elevated to higher levels in Europe, it's pretty known that Europe is far ahead of U.S. and other markets in terms the expectations for environmentally positive products within the home and our products fulfill those expectations. So we have a product line that is relatively robust, even in down areas so that has helped on I think that there's still so many unknowns in Europe, which has are impacting customer confidence. I think the macro fundamentals that exist are very, very similar in terms of the US in terms of it being underbuilt and everything of that nature. But you've got this overlay of what's going on in the Ukraine and now in Gaza that that has a fairly dark cloud on, you know, when consumer confidence and these unknowns on hangover and how what will the impact of energy costs beyond consumer and no, I think that that's a little it's out into a different type of weight to demand in our markets that we serve in Europe versus the U.S. The other thing that's helped move. Our helped us, though in that region. And this is specifically with our spacer product line is that we've invested pretty large in terms of our international spacer business, which is primarily served out of our German Germany facility. So as we continue to gain new sales in other markets, such as the Middle East or India or China in different areas offer some of our high end space or product lines that has helped offset some of the volume drops in the traditional European markets. So I think we positioned ourselves well there Great.

Thanks for the detail, guys. Congrats on the year and Merry Christmas and Happy New Year.

And thanks.
Thanks for your question, and thank you.

Operator

Yes, and one moment for our next question.
And our next question comes from Julio Romero from Sidoti & Company. Your line is now open.

Thanks.
Hey, good morning, George and Scott. Wondering can you guys maybe talk about some repair remodel spend in the near term. You talked about your customers some have announced longer than normal holiday shutdowns. I understand that choppy kind of first half outlook, but maybe if you can help us think about maybe a range of outcomes for our volumes in the first half, we've seen a bigger impact in our cabinet segment.

Obviously, you can see the volumes there, what we're projecting being down more so than others, that's a combination of.
And then on the COVID pull forward of some of the seasonality backlogs dropping, um, you know, I think that impact and that's mainly R&R there from those markets will be hit a little harder in the first half than anything else that we see on the opportunity for a an improvement more so than what we're forecasting, um, you know, I suspect that there are a lot of it is dependent upon some of the macro things that I mean, if the Fed comes out and lowers interest rates and you do start to see some of that consumer confidence build on, I think that there still is a lot of pent-up demand in all the product lines that we serve and that there is a possibility, as I mentioned, Reuben known, we traditionally do take a little conservative view. So I think that the opportunity for upside is greater than not. But you know, I think dependent upon the Fed and the weather, the weather building season because again, as we go back to a more seasonal pattern. If you remember that, as Scott said, our first half tends to be significantly slower. That's dealt and a lot of that has to do with the building season. So hopefully, we have a mild winter and the builders can keep doing other things to help we fulfill that upside that we think is probably there.

And I appreciate the color there on maybe So going back to LMI a little bit, um, can you maybe give us some flavor for the primary end markets that are currently driving LMI sales. I know, can you talk about, I think about a different end markets when you did the deal. But Dom, maybe just highlight for us, what are the top one or two end markets that LMI currently sells into.

And so they sell on a wide variety that is pretty diverse market set on. They have a piece of business that goes into automotive. We have a piece of the business that goes into windows and doors, some other types of building products.
We have some of the products that go into electronics and consumer goods.
And we actually have some products that go like into pet toys on. So a wide range of markets that continues to expand and grow from no one market really dominates anything.

Okay, got it. And maybe thinking about the preliminary assumptions for fiscal 24, how do you guys think about free cash shaking out, especially after you just had a really strong fiscal 23 and is working capital become a benefit, a use of cash or kind of neutral?

So clearly, working capital was a benefit in 2023. It took a big hit actually in 2022. So as we forecasted this year, roughly flat, I mean, there may be a little benefit. There may be a little hit depending on how the year transpires, but we're not expecting huge swings in working capital this year from now. I mean, obviously, free cash flow, we had a record year at $110 million. I think there's probably going to hit somewhere lower than that this year, plus we expect to spend a little more on the CapEx side and we'll give more concrete numbers around that when we give official guidance.

But Jeff, that dovetails into my very last one, which is the CapEx range of $40 million to $45 million kind of nice to see that step-up there. Just maybe talk about the key organic growth initiatives that are targeted with that CapEx.

And so as mentioned, a little bit in my section of the script, we have first off the R&D and development of new products. So I think you'll see investment continued investment in our UPVC. facilities process. That is specifically in the UK market as we continue to do things both from a product line and a facility perspective, there continued development of new compounds and adhesives and sealants within our spacer business and the mixing compounds, those will be the priorities, but really starting to invest more heavily in new product development then been traditionally seen from us.

Thanks very much.
Taking the questions.

Thanks.

Operator

And thank you.
And I'm showing no further questions. I would now like to turn the call back over to George Wilson for closing remarks.

I'd like to thank everyone for joining us today, and I'd like to take this opportunity to wish everyone a very safe holiday season, and we look forward to providing an update on our next earnings call our first quarter call in early March.
Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call.
Thank you for participating. You may now.