T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Guidance Raised

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T-Mobile US, Inc. TMUS reported mixed third-quarter 2023 results, with the bottom line beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate but the top line missing the same. The Bellevue, WA-based wireless service providers reported a top-line contraction year over year, owing to declining revenues from equipment sales and prepaid services. However, the company witnessed an industry-leading postpaid customer growth with a record low postpaid phone churn rate. TMUS also achieved its full-year target of covering 300 million Americans with ultra capacity 5G network two months before its targeted deadline.

Net Income

Net income in the third quarter stood at $2,142 million or $1.82 per share, up from $508 million or 40 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. The year-over-year growth despite lower revenues was primarily driven by lower operating expenses. The bottom line surpassed the Zack Consensus Estimate of $1.75.

T-Mobile US, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

T-Mobile US, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | T-Mobile US, Inc. Quote

Revenues

Net sales during the quarter were $19,252 million, down from $19,477 million in the year-ago quarter. Declining equipment revenues impeded the top line during the quarter. The top line missed Zacks Consensus Estimate of $19,347 million.

Segment Results

Total Service revenues were $15,914 million, up from $15,361 million in the year-ago quarter. Net sales surpassed our revenue estimate of $15,458.5 million. The 4% year-over-year growth was primarily driven by improvement in postpaid revenues. Net sales from Postpaid Services contributed $12,288 million in revenues, up 6% year over year.

During the quarter, T-Mobile added 1.2 million postpaid net customers, while postpaid net account additions were a staggering 386,000, both metrics being the best in the industry. Postpaid phone net customer additions were 850,000, with a record low churn rate of 0.87%. High-speed Internet net customer additions were 557,000. Postpaid average revenues per account rose to $139.83 from $137.49 in the year-ago quarter.

Net sales from Prepaid services were $2,473 million, marginally down from $2,484 million in the prior-year quarter. Prepaid net customer additions declined year over year, owing to moderation of industry growth and fewer high-speed Internet net additions year over year. Prepaid churn rate decreased to 2.81% from 2.88% in the year-ago quarter. Wholesale and other service revenues decreased to $1,153 million from $1,329 million in the year-earlier quarter. Prepaid ARPU declined to $38.18 from $38.86 in the year-ago quarter.

Equipment revenues were $3,076 million, down 20% year over year. The top line fell short of our revenue estimate of $3,710.4 million. Sales drop of devices and accessories, owing to lower postpaid upgrades and prepaid sales and longer device lifecycles, impacted the top line in this segment.

Other revenues were $262 million, relatively flat compared with the prior-year quarter’s tally of $261 million.

Other Details

Total operating expenses decreased to $15,656 million from $18,196 million in the year-ago quarter. Consequently, operating income rose to $3,596 million from $1,281 million. T-Mobile recorded a core adjusted EBITDA of $7,547 million compared with $6,728 million a year ago driven by greater service revenues, lower cost of services and equipment sales.

Cash Flow & Liquidity

In the September quarter, T-Mobile generated $5,294 million of cash from operating activities compared with $4,391 million in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted free cash flow was $4,003 million, up from $2,065 million due to an improvement in operating cash flow and lower cash purchases of property and equipment.

As of Sep 30, 2023, the company had $5,030 million in cash and cash equivalents, with $70,365 million of long-term debt. During the quarter, it repurchased 19.3 million shares for $2.7 billion.

Outlook

T-Mobile has raised its guidance for 2023. The company currently expects postpaid net customer additions between 5.7 million and 5.9 million, up from 5.6 million and 5.9 million expected earlier. Core adjusted EBITDA is estimated to be between $29 billion and $29.2 billion, up from $28.9-$29.2 billion. It anticipates cash from operating activities within $18.3-$18.5 billion, up from $18-18.3 billion.

TMUS upgraded the lower range of adjusted free cash flow from $13.2-$13.6 billion to $13.4-$13.6 billion. It also raised the estimated range of capital expenditure to $9.6-9.8 billion from $9.5-9.7 billion.

Zacks Rank & Other Stocks to Consider

T-Mobile currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy)

Here are some other top-ranked stocks that investors may consider.

Model N Inc. MODN, sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present, delivered an earnings surprise of 21.26%, on average, in the trailing four quarters. In the last reported quarter, it pulled off an earnings surprise of 45.83%. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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NVIDIA Corporation NVDA, currently sporting a Zacks Rank #1, delivered an earnings surprise of 9.79%, on average, in the trailing four quarters. In the last reported quarter, it pulled off an earnings surprise of 29.19%.

NVIDIA is the worldwide leader in visual computing technologies and the inventor of the graphic processing unit or GPU. Over the years, the company’s focus has evolved from PC graphics to artificial intelligence-based solutions that now support high-performance computing, gaming and virtual reality platforms.

Arista Networks, Inc. ANET, presently carrying a Zacks Rank #2, is likely to benefit from strong momentum and diversification across its top verticals and product lines. The company has a software-driven, data-centric approach to help customers build their cloud architecture and enhance their cloud experience. Arista has delivered an earnings surprise of 12.8%, on average, in the trailing four quarters.

It holds a leadership position in 100-gigabit Ethernet switching share in port for the high-speed data center segment. Arista is increasingly gaining market traction in 200 and 400-gig high-performance switching products and is well-positioned for healthy growth in the data-driven cloud networking business with proactive platforms and predictive operations.

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