Tailwind Smith Cooper Intermediate Corp. -- Moody's affirms Tailwind Smith Cooper's B3 CFR; outlook stable

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Rating Action: Moody's affirms Tailwind Smith Cooper's B3 CFR; outlook stableGlobal Credit Research - 27 Apr 2021New York, April 27, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody's") today affirmed the ratings of Tailwind Smith Cooper Intermediate Corp. (aka ASC Engineered Solutions). This entity is comprised of the combined Anvil International and Smith-Cooper International businesses. The company's Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and Probability of Default Ratings were affirmed at B3 and B3-PD, respectively. Concurrently, Moody's affirmed the company's first-lien senior secured term loan rating and the second-lien senior secured term loan ratings at B3 and Caa2, respectively. The rating outlook was changed to stable from negative.The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectation that the company will maintain adequate liquidity despite elevated financial leverage with debt/EBITDA in the 8.0x range. Moody's expects that the company's liquidity will enable it to maneuver through current soft but improving conditions in its diverse end markets that range from industrial to fire protection and energy. Importantly, the stable outlook also reflects Moody's anticipation that debt/EBITDA will not increase beyond the 8.0x range.The affirmation of the ratings is based on Moody's expectation that the company will gradually de-lever over the next two years, more meaningfully in 2022.RATINGS RATIONALETailwind Smith Cooper's B3 CFR reflects Moody's expectation that the company's financial leverage will remain elevated at the 8.0 times range for the duration of 2021. Part of the company's business is tied to commercial construction trends, which lag in terms of improvement in demand trends versus shorter cycle businesses. In addition, although the company's end-markets are diverse, its exposure to the comparatively more cyclical oil & gas sector (roughly 15% of revenues) adds a degree of earnings volatility. However, Moody's expects that the oil & gas end market will improve in 2021 versus 2020 and contribute favorably to the company's profit margins.Moody's expects that during the course of 2021, Tailwind Smith Cooper's end markets will gradually recover and correlate with improved general industrial macroeconomic factors. Further, the company benefits from positive annual free cash flow through economic cycles, brand strength reflected in EBITDA margins ranging from 15% to 19%, well-established long-term customer relationships, and product breadth and pricing/operational leverage.From a corporate governance perspective, Moody's notes that the company's high leverage reflects in part its private equity ownership. Event risk persists in the form of possible future dividends to the sponsor and/or transactions, including additional debt-funded acquisitions that sustain an elevated leverage profile.The following rating actions were taken:Affirmations:..Issuer: Tailwind Smith Cooper Intermediate Corp..... Corporate Family Rating, Affirmed B3.... Probability of Default Rating, Affirmed B3-PD....Senior Secured 1st Lien Bank Credit Facility, Affirmed B3 (LGD4, from LGD3)....Senior Secured 2nd Lien Bank Credit Facility, Affirmed Caa2 (LGD6)Outlook Actions:..Issuer: Tailwind Smith Cooper Intermediate Corp.....Outlook, changed to Stable from NegativeFACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGSThe company's ratings could be downgraded if operating margins and liquidity weaken such as EBITDA margins declining to below 15% and/or free cash flow turns negative, accompanied by constrained availability under the company's ABL. In addition, debt/EBITDA remaining in the 8.0x range beyond the first half of 2022 or an aggressive financial policy characterized by debt financed acquisitions that further elevate financial leverage could also pressure ratings.Conversely, the ratings could be upgraded through meaningful revenue growth through the acquisition of new customers. Improved financial metrics such that debt/EBITDA is sustained at less than 5.5 times and EBITA/interest grows to greater than 2.5 times would be required before Moody's would consider an upgrade.Headquartered in Exeter, New Hampshire and Commerce, California, Tailwind Smith Cooper Intermediate Corp. (aka ASC Engineered Solutions), manufactures and sources a broad range of industrial products. These include a variety of fittings, couplings, hangers, valves and related products for use in nonresidential construction (including HVAC and fire protection applications), industrial, power and oil & gas end markets. The company is owned by private equity sponsor Tailwind Capital. Pro forma for the ABZ and Quadrant product lines from Forum Energy Technologies, revenues approximate $600 million.The principal methodology used in these ratings was Manufacturing Methodology published in March 2020 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1206079 . Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.REGULATORY DISCLOSURESFor further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.The ratings have been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s) and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.These ratings are solicited. Please refer to Moody's Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on its website www.moodys.com.Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1263068.The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the UK and is endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Limited, One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E14 5FA under the law applicable to credit rating agencies in the UK. Further information on the UK endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating. Jadijhe (Gigi) Adamo Vice President - Senior Analyst Corporate Finance Group Moody's Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. 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