Target (TGT) Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Comps Increase Y/Y

In this article:

Target Corporation TGT came up with fourth-quarter fiscal 2022 results, wherein the top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate and grew year over year. Despite a tough operating environment, comparable sales increased, primarily gaining from growth in store channels.

The bottom line also came ahead of the consensus mark but fell sharply from the year-ago period. We note that higher markdown rates and increased merchandise costs continued to weigh on margins.

Sales & Earnings Picture

Target reported adjusted earnings of $1.89 per share, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.39. However, the bottom line declined significantly from the earnings of $3.19 reported in the year-ago period.

The big-box retailer generated total revenues of $31,395 million, which increased 1.3% year over year and came ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $30,692 million. We note that sales jumped 1.2% to $30,983 million, while other revenues rose 8.4% to $412 million.

Meanwhile, comparable sales for the quarter under discussion increased 0.7%. The comparable sales growth reflected a 0.7% jump in the number of transactions. Comparable store sales grew 1.9%, while comparable digital sales decreased 3.6%. Strength in Food & Beverage, Beauty and Household Essentials offset the ongoing softness in discretionary categories.

Target Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Target Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Target Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Target Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Target Corporation Quote

Margins

The gross margin decreased 300 basis points to 22.7%, reflecting pressure from higher clearance and promotional markdown rates, increased net merchandise costs and higher inventory shrink, partly mitigated by a favorable category mix. Meanwhile, the operating margin shriveled to 3.7% from 6.8% in the year-ago period.

Other Financial Details

This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $2,229 million, long-term debt and other borrowings of $16,009 million and shareholders’ investment of $11,232 million. During the quarter, Target paid out dividends of $497 million.

Target did not buy back any shares during the quarter under review. At the end of the quarter, the company had about $9.7 billion remaining under the repurchase program approved in August 2021.

Outlook

Target envisions first-quarter fiscal 2023 comparable sales in a wide range, from a low-single-digit decline to low-single-digit growth. It foresees an operating margin rate of 4-5%. For the quarter, the company expects both GAAP and adjusted earnings in the band of $1.50-$1.90 per share.

For fiscal 2023, management expects comparable sales in a wide range, from a low-single-digit decline to a low-single-digit increase. Target expects the operating income to grow more than $1 billion. It expects both GAAP and adjusted earnings between $7.75 and $8.75 per share.

Target expects its operating margin rate to reach and begin to move beyond its pre-pandemic rate of 6% over the next three years. Management believes to attain an operating margin rate of 6% as early as fiscal 2024, depending on the economy and consumer demand.

We note that shares of Target have increased 5.1% in the past six months compared with the industry’s rise of 2.1%.

3 Picks You Can't Miss Out On

Here we have highlighted three better-ranked stocks, namely Costco COST, Arhaus ARHS and Albertsons Companies ACI.

Costco, which operates membership warehouses, currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The expected EPS growth rate for three to five years is 9.6%. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Costco’s current financial-year revenues and EPS suggests growth of 7.3% and 8.6%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figure. Costco has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.7%, on average.

Arhaus, which operates as a lifestyle brand and premium retailer in the home furnishing market, carries a Zacks Rank #2. The expected EPS growth rate for three to five years is 16.1%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Arhaus’ current financial-year revenues and EPS suggests growth of 54% and 26.1%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figure. Arhaus has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 112%, on average.

Albertsons Companies, which operates food and drug stores in the United States, carries a Zacks Rank #2. The expected EPS growth rate for three to five years is 5.4%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Albertsons Companies’ current financial-year revenues and EPS suggests growth of 7.8% and 6.5%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figure. Albertsons Companies has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 17.2%, on average.

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Target Corporation (TGT) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Arhaus, Inc. (ARHS) : Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Zacks Investment Research

Advertisement