Should You Think About Buying SMART Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SGH) Now?
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SGH), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on SMART Global Holdings’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for SMART Global Holdings
Is SMART Global Holdings Still Cheap?
According to my valuation model, SMART Global Holdings seems to be fairly priced at around 10.77% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy SMART Global Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $26.19, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that SMART Global Holdings’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will SMART Global Holdings generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. SMART Global Holdings' revenue growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. Unless expenses grow at the same level, or higher, this top-line growth should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? SGH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SGH, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about SMART Global Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for SMART Global Holdings you should know about.
If you are no longer interested in SMART Global Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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